USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Prediction: Back Balogun to find the net again

 | Wednesday 1st July 2026, 17:00

Wednesday 1st July 2026, 17:00

USA host Bosnia-Herzegovina at the Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara for their round of 32 tie at the FIFA World Cup on Wednesday (5pm local time/Thursday 1am BST, BBC One). The Stars and Stripes impressed during the group stage while Bosnia scraped their way into the knockout phase.

Below you'll find my USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina predictions, accompanied by the latest team news and match odds from Betfred.

USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Betting Tips

  • Home Team Total Goals - Over 2.5 @ 6/4
  • Player To Score (Sub Switch) - Folarin Balogun @ 20/23

*Odds correct at time of publishing

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Team News

Mauricio Pochettino might be without the services of Cristian Roldan (muscle), Mark McKenzie (foot) and Auston Trusty (ankle), who will all need to be assessed ahead of the match.

Folarin Balogun has scored twice at the tournament so far and he's expected to come back in to lead the line for the co-hosts. The striker is likely going to be supported by Sergino Dest and Christian Pulisic, who were also on the bench in the last game against Turkey.

Tyler Adams and Malik Tillman will partner each other in midfield as they look to dictate the tempo.

Bosnia's only injury concern is Amar Dedic (thigh). Other than that, Sergej Barbarez has everyone else available, so we can expect a similar lineup to the one that defeated Qatar on matchday three.

Tarik Muharemovic is back available after his suspension and he could be thrown straight back into the defence.

USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Predicted Lineups

  • USA: Freese; Freeman, Ream, Richards, Robinson; Adams, Tillman; Dest, McKennie, Pulisic; Balogun
  • Bosnia-Herzegovina: Vasilj; Dedic, Katic, Muharemovic, Kolasinac; Bajraktarevic, Sunjic, Basic, Alajbegovic; Dzeko, Demirovic

USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Odds

Betfred is offering 2/5 odds on USA to prevail in regulation time and the former semi-finalists have won two of their three fixtures at the tournament.

The draw can be backed at 18/5 and Bosnia recorded a point when they faced Canada during the group stage. Bosnia are a 15/2 punt to prevail inside 90 minutes.

USA are 1/7 to win the tie, while Bosnia are 4/1 to progress.

USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Stats

  • USA have scored 3-plus goals in 3 of their last 8 matches
  • Folarin Balogun has 2 goals in as many outings at the World Cup

Home Team Total Goals - Over 2.5 @ 6/4

Bosnia are a tough side to break down. It took a red card for Switzerland to start causing the Dragons real problems, with three of the Swiss' four goals coming after Muharemovic's dismissal.

USA have looked lively going forward, which is what to expect with Pochettino in charge. The Stars and Stripes have a lot of good attacking players who can cause a lot of trouble for Bosnia's back line.

I think they're worth backing to score three goals in Santa Clara inside 90 minutes because they've managed this feat in three of their past eight outings. It may take some time for them to find gaps in Bosnia's defence but once they do, I reckon the floodgates will open.

USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina - Home Team Total Goals
Over 2.5

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Player To Score (Sub Switch) - Folarin Balogun @ 20/23

Balogun's two goals at the World Cup have followed a bright campaign for Monaco in Ligue 1. The centre-forward scored 13 times in 30 league appearances in 2025/26, and he is being tipped for a big summer transfer.

His focus remains on the World Cup, though, and he'll be hoping that his golden touch in front of goal will continue on Wednesday. Balogun's movement allows him to get into good areas and with service provided by the likes of Pulisic and Dest, he's worth backing to add to his tally.

Betfred's Sub Switch offer means your bet stays in play even if your chosen player goes off

USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina - Player to Score (Sub Switch)
Folarin Balogun

Odds correct at time of publishing.

USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Score Prediction

  • USA 3-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina

I think USA have been the better side ahead of this clash but Bosnia are still capable of hurting the Stars and Stripes. With their attacking resources, I fancy the hosts to rack up a few goals but I believe we'll see their opponents get on the scoresheet.

USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina - Correct Score
USA 3-1

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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