New Zealand vs Belgium Bet Builder Tips: 153/1 for major World Cup shock

| Friday 26th June 2026, 16:00

Friday 26th June 2026, 16:00

We’ve got a fascinating encounter from Group G coming our way from Vancouver as New Zealand take on Belgium (8pm local, 4am BST, BBC One).

It should be a superb watch given the loser goes home, and below you can find my New Zealand vs Belgium Bet Builder Tips.

New Zealand vs Belgium Bet Builder Tips

New Zealand to win
Elijah Just 1+ shot on target (Sub Switch)
Finn Surman to be booked (Sub Switch)

Bet Builder pays 153/1

*odds correct at time of publishing

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New Zealand to win

I’m going for a big shock in this one. But for good reason. Nothing about Belgium in this tournament has impressed me. Romelu Lukaku is half-fit, Kevin De Bruyne is past his best, and they’ve got a defence which looks shaky at the best of times. Now they will be without the suspended Nathan Ngoy at the back, and their price to win this game is a short 1/5.

I’m going completely the other way, as there is no point in backing a draw which would send NZ home and might only be enough for third for Belgium - when they were expected to win the group.

New Zealand were superb against Iran in that opening 2-2 draw, and then I think can count themselves unfortunate to lose 3-1 to Egypt after they took the lead but then ran out of steam. They created an xG of 1.24 and had five shots on target, after having eight in their opening draw, so they can certainly pose an attacking threat.

At 14/1, I think they are a massive price to send shockwaves around the World Cup, and send an underwhelming Belgium outfit home bottom of the group. Believe.

New Zealand vs Belgium Odds

Elijah Just 1+ shot on target (Sub Switch)

One of New Zealand’s standout players of the tournament has looked exciting going forward in both games. His eye-catching brace against Iran was special, as he found the net with both of his shots on target, and he followed it up with another effort on goal against Egypt.

I think he is the best value to land another shot on target, especially given the Belgian attackers have been cut extremely short in this market - with their side expected to dominate. I’m going the other way, and backing Just to get at least one shot on target.

Betfred's Sub Switch offer rolls your bet to the oncoming substitute, so you stay in the game, even when your player doesn’t.

Finn Surman to be booked (Sub Switch)

More amazing value in my eyes. New Zealand haven’t been a dirty team during this tournament, picking up one yellow so far. However, they benefited from a relaxed referee in their opener and with qualification on the line, I think we will see a far more gritty defensive showing.

I’m going to focus on goalscoring centre-back Finn Surman for this selection, given he had the most defensive contributions (16) against Iran and made the most fouls in the game against Egypt (three).

He somehow avoided a booking in that one, but up against the might of Lukaku, I think he is going to find himself in the referee’s notebook before the night is out.

This big Bet Builder is priced at 153/1.

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Odds correct at time of publishing.

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Pre-Match Bet Builder & Single bets on qualifying Player selections. Selected leagues & markets only. Applies to Price Boosts & Turbo Boosts. Extra-time will count. T&Cs Apply.

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Pre-Match Bet Builder & Single bets on qualifying Player selections. Selected leagues & markets only. Applies to Price Boosts & Turbo Boosts. Extra-time will count. T&Cs Apply.