Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Prediction: Tune in for a Viola victory

The Conference League returns on Thursday with Jagiellonia Białystok hosting Fiorentina at Stadion Miejski in the first leg of their knockout play‑off tie (20:00 UK, Discovery+). The tie represents one of the most significant chapters in the history of the Polish club, who are top of the Ekstraklasa standings, but is less important than preserving their Serie A status to their relegation-threatened visitors.  

Jagiellonia's run through the league phase was built on pragmatism and resilience. They held Strasbourg and Shkendija to 1-1 draws away from home and secured a crucial goalless result at AZ Alkmaar, which ultimately sealed their place in the play‑offs. Fiorentina, the beaten finalists in this competition in both 2023 and 2024, began well before faltering with defeats against AEK Athens and Lausanne Sport.

Team news

Jagiellonia will be without two key players for the first leg because of suspension.

Top scorer Afimico Pululu pays the price for his red card against AZ, while long-serving captain Taras Romanczuk accumulated three yellow cards in the league phase.

Greek forward Dimitris Rallis is the like-for-like replacement for Pululu, while January loan signing Matias Nahuel looks likely to get the nod on the left after young winger Oskar Pietuszewski's winter transfer to Porto.

Jesus Imaz returns from a domestic suspension to feature in an attacking midfield role.

A much-changed Fiorentina line-up could see Cher Ndour return, but Daniele Rugani, Albert Gudmundsson and Tariq Lamptey are out.

Manor Solomon will start on the wing, with Moise Kean entrusted with the responsibility of leading the line in attack.

Football Odds

Today's Football Fixtures

Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Odds

Jagiellonia Bialystok are priced at 12/5 to win, with Fiorentina available at 11/10 and the draw at 12/5.

Over 2.5 goals is 10/11, while both teams to score is 4/6 and Fiorentina’s leading goalscorer Kean is 7/5 to score anytime.

Fiorentina to Win & Under 3.5 Goals @ 9/5

Fiorentina have the superior individuals in forward positions, which give them the edge, but this is unlikely to be a high‑scoring contest.

Jagiellonia have kept things tight throughout the competition, conceding just four goals in six matches, while La Viola have allowed only five.

Both sides favour structured, disciplined football and the first leg should be cagey as neither team wants to chase the tie in Florence.

A narrow Fiorentina win - something like 1-0 or 2-1 - fits the statistical profile.

Manor Solomon Anytime Goalscorer @ 23/10

Solomon has a fine pedigree as a goalscorer in Europe from his time at Shakhtar Donetsk, where he scored four goals in 18 Champions League appearances.

The Israeli winger only joined Fiorentina in January, but he has already made a stunning impact with goals in two of his last three appearances.

His ability to isolate defenders, cut inside and generate shots makes him a strong candidate to find the net in a match where individual quality may decide the outcome.

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