Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction: Draw looks destined at Fratton Park

 | Monday 16th March 2026, 7:25

Monday 16th March 2026, 7:25

Portsmouth

A four-game winless run in the Championship has left Portsmouth just one point above the relegation zone. They welcome Derby County to Fratton Park on Monday (20:00 GMT, Sky Sports Football). The Rams, who once had the best away record in the division, have lost three games in a row on their travels.

Read on for my Portsmouth vs Derby predictions, accompanied by the latest match odds and team news.

Portsmouth vs Derby Betting Tips

  • Match Result - Draw @ 23/10
  • Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 10/11

*Odds correct as of the time of publication

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Team News

Portsmouth native Conor Chaplin will be pushing to start on Monday following his introduction at the start of the second half against Swansea City on Tuesday.

Conor Shaughnessy or Regan Poole could be restored to the defence if the pair are declared fit to feature. Josh Murphy, Keshi Anderson and Andre Dozzell are some of the notable names on Pompey's injury list.

Football Odds

Derby have a crisis in goal as Josh Vickers has joined Jacob Widell Vetterstrom in the medical bay. Richard O'Donnell is set to play between the sticks as a result.

Sondre Langas, Max Johnston, Callum Elder, Lars-Jorgen Salvesen, Liam Thompson and Danny Batth are all expected to miss the trip to the south coast.

Portsmouth vs Derby Predicted Lineups

  • Portsmouth: Schmid; Devlin, Shaughnessy, Ogilvie, Swanson; Pack, Adams; Caballero, Brown, Chaplin; Bishop
  • Derby: O'Donnell; Ward, Sanderson, Clarke, Murkin; Ozoh, Travis; Brereton Diaz, Szmodics, Brewster; Agyemang

Portsmouth vs Derby Odds

Portsmouth are deemed a 6/5 shot to end their winless streak in the Championship.

The draw was the result when the two sides met at Pride Park in December and it is marketed at 23/10 on this occasion.

Derby have two wins from their past three league games and they are 23/10 to collect the three points on Monday.

Three of the visitor's previous four matches in the second tier have gone over 2.5 goals, which is priced at 6/5.

 Portsmouth vs Derby Stats

  • Portsmouth have lost their last 3 home games in the league
  • Derby's past 3 away trips in the Championship have ended in defeat
  • 3 of Derby's previous 4 league outings have seen both teams score

Match Result - Draw @ 23/10

Portsmouth need to start turning their form around if they are to maintain their Championship status. Their confidence is expected to be low after the last four games but they should be sensing an opportunity against a Derby outfit who have been beaten in three consecutive away matches.

The Rams will likely see this as a good chance themselves as their hosts have suffered three successive defeats at Fratton Park in the second tier. John Eustace's side have won their previous two home games, so they have the momentum of the two teams, but their recent away performances suggest this will be another tough test.

Portsmouth need to buck the trend considering the teams around them, particularly West Bromwich Albion, look like they are getting their act together. I feel as though Pompey cannot afford another defeat here.

Seeing as they are struggling at home and Derby are having issues on the road, I think they will cancel each other out so I am backing a draw, which was the outcome in their last meeting.

Portsmouth vs Derby - Match Result
Draw

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 10/11

I think both defences are going to be vulnerable on Monday, so I think covering BTTS - Yes makes sense. Three of Derby's past four fixtures in the Championship have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.

Additionally, this has been a successful bet in five of Portsmouth's last six games in the league, including each of their previous two. It's also worth noting that these two sides both scored in the reverse fixture at Pride Park.

Portsmouth vs Derby - Both Teams To Score
Yes

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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