Championship Golden Boot Odds: Szmodics, Armstrong and Summerville all in the running

 | February 20 | 

5 mins read

With Leicester City, Leeds United, Southampton and Ipswich Town battling it out for the top two places we are in for a thrilling end to the Championship season. But there’s another race that is unfolding as we approach the business end of the campaign, and one that seems much much harder to call. 

With just 13 league matches to go, the race for the Championship Golden Boot is still up for grabs. Blackburn Rovers’ Sammie Szmodics leads the way with 18 to his name so far, but with so much to be decided this term, the final run of games could make a huge difference. Below we’ve assessed the candidates in the running and given our outside pick for the Championship’s Golden Boot winner in 2023/24.

Championship Golden Boot Odds 2023/24

  • Sammie Szmodics @ 12/5
  • Adam Armstrong @ 3/1
  • Morgan Whittaker @ 7/2
  • Crysencio Summerville @ 13/2
  • Jack Clarke @ 8/1

Sammie Szmodics @ 12/5

Let’s start with the leader of the pack and an unlikely contender. Szmodics, usually an attacking midfielder, and playing for one of the weaker sides in the division, was as long as 100/1 when the season got underway. However, after 18 goals in 30 appearances, he is now the favourite to win the individual award come May. 

He’s one goal clear of his nearest contender, and is now Blackburn’s main man. His pace and finishing ability have both been remarkable this term and as a result, opposition defenders are struggling to stop him. Interestingly, his minutes per goal (147) is the lowest of the contenders, and he has a shot conversion rate of 25%. The change of manager at Ewood Park doesn’t seem to have slowed him down, and he’s notched two in three under John Eustace.

If Rovers can continue to improve, the 12/5 on offer for him to win the Golden Boot may still be worth backing. He’s proven to be pretty much impossible to stop so far. 

Adam Armstrong @ 3/1

Southampton’s Adam Armstrong is currently two goals adrift of Szmodics, but plays for a far superior team who are likely to win most of their matches between now and the end of the season. Saints have scored 63 goals this term, a total that can only be beaten by league leaders Leicester CIty, and Armstrong has bagged 16 of those.

He’s an integral part of the attack, with 11 assists, and under Russell Martin, Southampton are dominant in practically every match they play. All of this points to the fact that Armstrong should be handed a bunch of chances to win this Golden Boot. If Saints secure an automatic promotion place, Armstrong will have a big impact from now until the end of the season. I like this price of 3/1.

AdamArmstronggoldenboot3:1

Morgan Whittaker @ 7/2

Another player from a side currently in the bottom half. Like Szmodics, Whittaker has been the standout player for his team, and Plymouth Argyle’s probable survival is down to their main man. Since joining on a permanent deal in the summer, Whittaker has scored 17 league goals and looked like he belongs at this level. 

His physicality is impressive, while Plymouth constantly get the best out of him from that wide right position. Now under Ian Foster he is flying and has scored nine goals in his last 11 league matches. If he can replicate that over the next 11 games, he will surely be in the mix to win this individual award. Argyle are threatening going forward and perhaps with the pressure of relegation lifting slightly, they will be able to play with even more freedom.

Crysencio Summerville @ 13/2

Leeds’ star forward this term hasn’t been Georginio Rutter or Patrick Bamford. In fact, as you will see from this list, there is a distinct lack of number nines scoring goals this season. Like Whittaker, Summerville is a goalscoring wide man, but he is playing for arguably the best team in the league in 2024. 

Leeds have won every single league match since the turn of the year, and are hunting down Leicester City. Farke has finally found his rhythm and now it looks like Leeds are in the best place to secure promotion. Summerville is a constant threat, and alongside Dan James, Joel Piroe and Rutter, Leeds arguably have the best attacking unit in the division. 

As a result, I believe Summerville is the value pick coming into this part of the season. He has a high shot accuracy of 60% and I am hot on Leeds securing a top two spot. I think Summerville could fire them to the Premier League. 

Summervilletopscorer13:2

Jack Clarke @ 8/1

Another left-winger, and a man who will be hoping for a resurgence as the season comes to a close. Clarke is arguably the best player in the league. Bar none. He’s also scored 15 goals this season, level with Summerville but importantly for him, Michael Beale has just been sacked and Mike Dodds will take charge until the summer. 

Now Clarke scored five league goals in 11 matches under Beale, but the feeling around the club was dismal. Fans couldn’t wait to get rid of the manager that replaced Tony Mowbray and the players suffered as a result. If Sunderland are going to push for the top six, Clarke will lead that charge. A price of 8/1 feels long for a player who could find a new lease of life under Dodds. 

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