PSG vs Bayern Munich Prediction: Goals to flow in Tuesday’s box office first leg

 | Tuesday 28th April 2026, 7:00

Tuesday 28th April 2026, 7:00

Fasten your seatbelts ladies and gentlemen because the Uefa Champions League semi-finals are here. On Tuesday, we get to witness the first leg of the box office tie between defending champions Paris-Saint-Germain and Bayern Munich at Parc des Princes (20:00 BST, Prime Video).

The two sides tussled in the league phase back in November, with the visitors winning 2-1 inside this stadium, so Les Parisiens will be out for revenge. Below you will find my PSG vs Bayern Munich predictions, alongside the latest team news and match odds from Betfred.

PSG vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips

  • Total Goals - Over 4.5 @ 21/10
  • Anytime Goalscorer - Harry Kane @ 21/20

*Odds correct as of the time of publication

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Team News

Despite being withdrawn at Anfield in the second leg of their quarter-final tie against Liverpool, PSG duo Desire Doue and Nuno Mendes have since returned to the squad, so they are expected to be involved on Tuesday.

Vitinha is a doubt to feature because of a heel issue he picked up against Lyon. The midfielder had been training alone before the weekend. Fabian Ruiz could be in line to start this clash having recently returned from a two-moth lay-off.

Football Odds

Bayern boss Vincent Kompany will have to watch this contest from the stands following the yellow card he picked up against Real Madrid two weeks ago.

Serge Gnabry (thigh), Tom Bischof and Sven Ulreich (both muscle) are ruled out for the visitors. Lennart Karl faces a late fitness call following a period out with a torn thigh muscle.

Joshua Kimmich and Dayot Upamecano were handed rests against Mainz in the Bundesliga over the weekend and both are anticipated to return to the defence on Tuesday night.

PSG vs Bayern Munich Predicted Lineups

  • PSG: Safonov; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Ruiz, Zaire-Emery, Neves; Doue, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia
  • Bayern Munich: Neuer; Stanisic, Upamecano, Tah, Laimer; Pavlovic, Kimmich; Olise, Musiala, Diaz; Kane

PSG vs Bayern Munich Odds

PSG have won four of their seven home games in the Champions League this season and they are a 13/10 shot to win this first leg.

Two of those clashes have been draws, with the stalemate here marketed at 3/1.

Bayern are a 7/4 (implied probability of 36.4%) bet to pick up a second victory at Parc des Princes in 2025/26.

The visitors are 1/1 to open the scoring, like they did in November's meeting.

 PSG vs Bayern Munich Stats

  • 4 of PSG's 14 UCL matches have featured 5-plus goals
  • Over 4.5 Goals has landed in 3 of Bayern's last 4 UCL fixtures
  • Harry Kane has 12 goals in 11 appearances in the Champions League

Today's Football Fixtures

Total Goals - Over 4.5 @ 21/10

I think we are all going to need popcorn, or whatever your favourite snack is, for this match. These teams are arguably the two most exciting attacking sides in Europe so the fact we will be treated to two legs of this should make for great entertainment.

PSG, like last year, have grown the further they have progressed, while Bayern have been pretty consistent throughout the campaign. It's bold but I think Over 4.5 Goals is worth covering on Tuesday. This bet has landed in four of PSG's 14 outings in the UCL this term.

For Bayern, at least five goals have been scored in four of their 12 fixtures in this competition, but three of them have come across their previous four.

With the star-studded talent on both teams, goals should flow in Paris.

PSG vs Bayern Munich - Total Goals
Over 4.5

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Anytime Goalscorer - Harry Kane @ 21/20

Someone who can play a key role in helping this game to have a flurry of goals is Harry Kane. The Bayern striker is having a phenomenal season having scored 53 goals in 45 appearances in all competitions.

Twelve of them have come in the Champions League in just 11 outings. Only Real Madrid's Kylian Mbappe (15) currently has more than Kane, but with the Frenchman out of the picture, the Bayern front man has at least two games to equal or surpass Mbappe's total.

Kane comes into this contest having bagged four goals in his last three Champions League games.

PSG vs Bayern Munich - Anytime Goalscorer
Harry Kane

Odds correct at time of publishing.

You can read all our latest Football Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub.

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