Football Bet of the Day: Cruzeiro to down resurgent Cuiaba on Thursday

 | Wednesday 12th June 2024, 16:30pm

Wednesday 12th June 2024, 16:30pm

Brazil begin their 2024 Copa America campaign against Costa Rica on June 25, and to warm up for the tournament, they face the USA in an international friendly on Thursday.

However, the domestic season in Brazil continues, and later on, Cruzeiro host Cuiaba in the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A in a match that features in my football bet of the day for Thursday, June 13.

Football Bet of the Day - Thursday, June 13

  • Cruzeiro to win & over 2.5 total goals @ 2/1

Cruzeiro endured a tough season on their return to the Brazilian top flight in 2023, eventually finishing 14th in a 20-team league after a solid end to the campaign.

They've made a good start this year, picking up 10 points from their first six games while finishing top of their Copa Sudamericana group to advance to the last 16 of the competition.

Cuiaba finished two places and four points above Cruzeiro last season but began the current campaign with five straight defeats, failing to score a goal in the process.

However, they gained their first point in a goalless draw with fellow strugglers Vitoria last Thursday and followed that result up with a 5-2 thrashing of Criciuma three days later to break their barren run in style and move off the foot of the table.

Both Vitoria and Criciuma are newly promoted sides, though, and Cruzeiro will represent a step up in opposition on Thursday.

The Foxes have won both league games at the Mineirao this season, beating Botafogo 3-2 there on the opening day of the season on April 14 and downing Vitoria 3-1 two weeks later. Cruzeiro are also unbeaten at home in the Sudamericana, picking up seven points from a possible nine.

Something that could be against them heading into Thursday's contest in Belo Horizonte is the fact that they haven't played since June 2, when a 2-0 loss to Sao Paulo ended their five-game winning streak.

Cuiaba have played twice in that time, gaining valuable momentum against Vitoria and Criciuma.

Cruzeiro should be uber-confident at home, however, particularly as their visitors were thrashed 4-0 by Athletico Paranaense in their first away outing of the campaign before losing 1-0 at Gremio in their second.

Football Bet of the Day Thursday June 13 2024 - Cruzeiro to beat Cuiaba & over 2.5 goals @ 2-1

Cuiaba may point to the fact that they have never lost to Cruzeiro, beating them 1-0 at the Mineirao in May 2023 and drawing 0-0 with them at home nearly seven months later.

But this is a different Cruzeiro side, one that should be full of confidence after a strong start to the season. Juan Dinenno, Filipe Machado, Matheus Vital and Rafael Bilu are missing for the hosts on Thursday, but Cuiaba are still without two crucial players - Filipe Augusto and Deyverson - due to injury.

Deyverson in particular is a big loss as the 33-year-old was the club's top scorer in Serie A last season with 12 goals, five more than any of his teammates.

Cuiaba hit Criciuma for five on Sunday, but I'm not sure how much we can read into a victory over a newly promoted outfit that experienced a fourth consecutive defeat.

As such, I'm backing Cruzeiro to emerge victorious when they lock horns this week, and we can boost the odds by adding over 2.5 total goals to the selection.

Cruzeiro's last four games have all had two goals or fewer, which may make this a perplexing suggestion, but two of those were in the Sudamericana, and in their most recent Serie A match, they were reduced to 10 men in the 38th minute.

There have been plenty of goals in their home games in the competition - five in a 3-2 win against Botafogo and four in a 3-1 victory over Vitoria - while there were seven in Cuiaba's last away outing and four in their first of the season.

You can read all our latest Football Bets of the Day at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub. 

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