Aston Villa vs Burnley Predictions: Title outsiders look to right the ship

 | December 29 | 

3 mins read

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Aston Villa have endured a draw with bottom-placed Sheffield United and a chastening 3-2 comeback defeat to Manchester United over Christmas. Now Unai Emery's men aim to enter the New Year back at their best.

Aston Villa vs Burnley Betting Tips

  • Burnley Total Goals - Over 1.5 @ 10/3
  • Nicolo Zaniolo to score last @ 17/2

Aston Villa had been the subject of the sort of growing, whispered fervour that Leicester City enjoyed at the midpoint of the 2015/16 Premier League season. Could Unai Emery’s men really sustain a title challenge? Might the likes of Douglas Luiz and Ollie Watkins find themselves anointed this decade’s Riyad Mahrez and Jamie Vardy?

As the Midlands club prepare to face Burnley on Saturday, they sit third in the table and only three points off leaders Liverpool. But recent results have been rough, with many fans wondering if the blip could turn into a slump.

Villa drew 1-1 with bottom-placed Sheffield United in a game they came moments away from losing. Then Manchester United overturned their 2-0 lead to seal an unlikely 3-2 comeback. As it stands, two games can hardly be considered a run of poor form. But Villa must address some of the mistakes that have seen them emerge with a single point from two games against struggling sides.

As obvious as the transition is, you can’t talk about struggling Premier League sides without addressing Burnley. Vincent Kompany is paying the price for persisting with the cavalier football that won The Championship last term. A confessed disciple of Pep Guardiola, the Belgian is fighting an ideological battle between playing “the right way” and playing the sort of football that keeps a promoted side in the division.

Team News:

Lucas Digne misses out for Villa after going off injured against Manchester United. He joins a growing list of unavailable players alongside Youri Tielemans, Emi Buendia, Bertrand Traore and Robin Olsen. Boubacar Kamara will also miss Saturday’s game through suspension.

Burnley will be missing long-term absentee Luca Koleosho, who is considered touch-and-go to play again this term. Jack Cork is also expected to be out nursing a knock, with a January return targeted.

Match Odds:

Aston Villa are understandable favourites considering their position and the fact they’ll play at home. 1/3 is the price if you want to back Emery’s men. Burnley have won one of their last five games and you can get 15/2 for them to make it two from six. 

The draw is available at 4/1. Proceed with caution here, as the sides have only had one each in their last five Premier League games. 

Burnley Total Goals - Over 1.5 @ 10/3

Burnley have only scored more than one goal in a game on three occasions this season. So why suggest it as a bet? Well two of those three occasions came on the road. Meanwhile, Villa have the worst defensive record in the top four, shipping 25 goals. 

That’s the same as supposedly-beleaguered Manchester United and 17th-placed Everton, though the latter has had to contend with a points deduction. Villa have vastly overperformed this season, but the defence hasn’t always come along for the ride.

Nicolo Zaniolo to score last @ 17/2

Once tipped as a future superstar, Italy international Nicolo Zaniolo has taken a winding road to prominence. He left Inter Milan having never played a Serie A game before a promising spell at Roma that gave way to the usual Jose Mourinho fall-out. Galatasaray didn’t quite revive his career, but playing for Villa is slowly starting to look like it might.

The attacking midfielder has become a player Emery trusts to make a late impact. His equaliser deep into injury time against Sheffield United saved untold blushes. If Burnley go pragmatic and prove hard to break down, the manager might look to the 24-year-old to spring the trap once again.

You can check out all of our Football Betting Tips on our Football page.

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