Angola vs Namibia Prediction: Which outsider can reach AFCON quarters?

 | January 26 | 

3 mins read

Stade de la Paix Bouake

The Africa Cup of Nations has reached the last 16 and we've got another local derby on Saturday afternoon (17:00), as Angola face Namibia. We've previewed this game and given you our betting predictions. 

Angola vs Namibia Betting Tips

  • Angola to win - 11/10
  • Mabululu to score - 2/1

What an intriguing game awaits us between two bordering countries and two footballing sides that have massively overachieved in Ivory Coast.

My colleague Nick Ware wrote about Angola's magnificent achievements in reaching the Last 16 and finishing top of their group, after starting the tournament as 200/1 outsiders.

The Black Sable Antelopes made a mockery of those odds, remaining unbeaten and beating both Mauritania and Burkina Faso, as well as drawing with 2019 champions Algeria, who once again finished bottom of the group.

Meanwhile, Namibia have probably been an even bigger shock, winning their first ever game at the finals with an historic victory over Tunisia, before a draw against Mali took them through as a third place qualifier.

It remains to be seen which, if either, of these two sides can reach the latter stages of the tournament and which will get das boot but how refreshing is it to see some of the so-called minnows of African football catching up with their more famous counterparts.

Team news

Pedro Goncalves' side has a couple of injury niggles, after Bruno Paz and Fredy were injury substitutions against Burkina Faso. It remains unclear if they will be fit to line up in Bouake on Saturday afternoon.

Namibia look to have a full complement to choose from and Collin Benjamin is expected to stick with the same 4-1-4-1 formation that pulled off this historic achievement.

Match odds

Angola are a solid 11/10 favourite to progress into the quarter-finals, with Namibia 13/5 to pull off another massive shock. If you fancy extra time and potentially penalties, the 90 minute draw is priced at 15/8.

As has been the case for the majority of these AFCON games, goals appear to be fairly frugal, with under 2.5 priced at just 2/5.

Angola to win - 11/10

The Brave Warriors have already achieved than even themselves must have thought possible but I think this could be a step too far for them here.

Angola have been far the better side in the tournament and though there are only two places between these in the FIFA world rankings, I expect this to be a fairly comfortable win for The Antelopes.

Namibia have struggled to score goals throughout the tournament and that could be their undoing here.

Angola to win 11:10

Mabululu to score - 2/1

Angola, meanwhile, have scored six goals in three games and the majority of those have been scored by Gelson Dala and Mabululu, who have each netted twice.

I've gone for the latter to score in this game, purely as he has a higher shot output, with 2.3 per game compared to just 2 for Dala.

The 31-year-old has a great record for Egyptian club Al-Ittihad, bagging 35 times in 63 games in his time at the club.


You can find all our latest Football Betting Tips over on our dedicated Insights football page. 

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