Football Accumulator Tips: Northern Ireland to end qualification campaign on a high

We're coming to the end of the Uefa World Cup qualifiers, but while there are still games being played, I've got an accumulator for you.

Below are my Football Accumulator Tips for Monday, November 17, featuring the likes of Germany, the Netherlands and Northern Ireland.

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Under 37.5 Booking Points in Czech Republic vs Gibraltar (19:45) @ 8/11

Four of Gibraltar's seven qualifiers, including their last two, have seen 30 or fewer booking points awarded.

Only two of the Czech Republic's seven have gone under 37.5, but both have been in their last four.

With Gibraltar consigned to a bottom-place finish in Group L, and the Czech Republic guaranteed to come second, I don't see any reason for much tension at Andruv stadion on Monday, so I'm backing under 37.5 booking points. Remember, with Betfred, a yellow card is worth 10 booking points, a straight red 25, and two bookable offences resulting in a red, 35.

So, we could have three yellows in Prague, and the above selection would still land.

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Under 27.5 Booking Points in Netherlands vs Lithuania (19:45, Prime Video) @ 5/6

Much of the above can also be said for the Netherlands and Lithuania in Tuesday's game at the Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam.

The Dutch, three points clear of Poland at the top of Group G with a much superior goal difference, are 99.9% certain to qualify for next year's finals, and while Lithuania can still catch Malta in fourth, they would have to beat the Oranje in their own backyard on Tuesday. That feels highly unlikely, even if they made a game of it in Kaunas in September, only losing 3-2.

Just 20 booking points were awarded in that match, with Lithuania responsible for both yellow cards shown, and two of their seven qualifiers have finished with under 27.5 booking points.

The Netherlands, meanwhile, have been involved in three qualifiers this campaign where under 27.5 booking points have been awarded.

Over 32.5 Booking Points in Germany vs Slovakia (19:45, Prime Video) @ 8/13

We're going for overs now, as we head to the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig for a top-of-the-table clash between Germany and Slovakia in Group A.

The two teams are level on 12 points, but Germany are ahead on goal difference, so Slovakia need to win, as they did in September's reverse fixture (2-0), to secure direct entry to the 2026 World Cup.

Slovakia and Germany met on matchday one, with 'only' 30 booking points issued, but the latter's last four qualifiers have all gone over 32.5 booking points, with 50 produced in last Friday's 2-0 win in Luxembourg.

Three of Slovakia's last four, meanwhile, have finished with over 32.5, and with qualification on the line this week, I can see a fair few cards being dished out in Leipzig.

Malta (H) Over 2.5 Corners vs Poland (19:45, Prime Video) @ 10/11

Malta and Poland met in Warsaw in March, with the Poles emerging 2-0 winners on home soil.

The two countries face off again on Tuesday, this time at the Ta'Qali National Stadium.

Despite playing away last time, Malta still managed to take three corners, and with little riding on Tuesday's fixture, a similar number could be recorded in Ta' Qali.

Poland have conceded at least three corners in five of their seven qualifiers, including four to Lithuania in their last away game.

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Northern Ireland (H) to beat Luxembourg (19:45, BBC iPlayer) @ 4/6

Northern Ireland and Luxembourg are guaranteed to finish third and fourth in Group A, with Tuesday's hosts at Windsor Park currently on six points, and their visitors in Belfast still on zero.

Michael O'Neill's side won September's reverse fixture 3-1 at the Stade de Luxembourg, and they've been competitive in all five qualifiers, while Luxembourg have lost all five, failing to score in the last four.

Despite nothing riding on this game, I'm happy to back the hosts at 4/6, given the contrast in quality between the two teams.

Today's Football Fixtures

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