AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction: Emotions guranteed at San Siro

 | February 24 | 

5 mins read

Daniele Fisichella Serie A Tips

The biggest game from Serie A this weekend comes from the San Siro and can be watched on TNT Sports 1 from 19:45 on Sunday evening.

Our Italian football expert Daniele Fisichella is here with his AC Milan vs Atalanta Predictions within his full match preview below...

AC Milan vs Atalanta Betting Tips:

  • Back Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals via #PickYourPunt @ Evens
  • Back Atalanta in the Draw No Bet market @ 11/10

Atalanta are, alongside leaders Inter, the in-form team in Italy.

Since late December they have started an almost irresistible climb: six wins and a draw, plus two victories in Coppa Italia, thanks to a total of 19 goals scored in Serie A (24 in all competitions) and only three conceded.

Gianpiero Gasperini’s men have gained points on all their direct rivals for a top-four finish and now look to make an historical treble over AC Milan.

In fact, this season the Bergamaschi have already beaten AC Milan twice, in the league (3-2) and in Coppa Italia (2-1 at San Siro). Another success on Sunday will see them going only four points behind Stefano Pioli’s side.

The Neroazzurri colours are AC Milan’s nemesis, considering the hosts have also lost the last five derbies to their city rivals Inter.

The visitors have a tough calendar ahead, in fact they’ll return to San Siro on Wednesday to play Inter and will then face teams in the top half of the table, plus the Europa League Round of 16.

After a shaky start of the season, with only 13 points gained after eight games, Atalanta players have started to run, press and score more than anybody and, at the moment, they seem desitned to finish in fourth spot.

In the last five matches they’ve netted 17 times, and seven of these goals have been produced in the last quarter of an hour of matches. Another sign that Atalanta is in a very strong physical condition.

Milan have now lost back to back games only for the second time this campaign, as both defeats to Monza (4-2) and Rennes (3-2) highlighted their issues at defending in transition and controlling the tempo of games.

Scoring goals is not an issue for the Rossoneri (they’ve got Serie A’s second-best attack and have netted 28 times in 2024), who however seem to give their best only when their back are against the wall.

Eleven teams in Serie A have conceded fewer goals than AC Milan, 31, the same as Genoa, but only seven at San Siro, where they’ve already lost four games this season in all competitions.

Team News:

In the AC Milan’s camp Jovic (who scored on Thursday) is suspended, Giroud will start with Pulisic, Loftus-Cheek and Leao (also in goal at Roazhon Park) behind him.

Bennacer and Adli are in contention for a place in midfield. Thiaw and Kjaer will play as centre-backs, Calabria might return from his injury and play at right back in place of Florenzi.

Atalanta are monitoring the conditions of Lookman who got back from AFCON with a slight ankle problem. Gasperini might opt to start with former AC Milan player De Keteleare as ‘false nine’, with Koopmeiners and Miranchuk supporting him. However, Pasalic is also in contention.

Holm will play on the right-hand side, whereas on the left either Ruggeri or Zappacosta will start. De Roon returns from suspension and will play in midfield alongside Ederson.

Match Odds

Despite having lost already twice to Atalanta this season, the hosts are favourite (11/8) to win on Sunday.

Stefano Pioli’s men have won the last two matches played at San Siro by the same scoreline (2-0). They haven’t won and kept three consecutive clean sheets against Atalanta at home since 1995.

The last Atalanta league win at San Siro against the Rossoneri came in January 2021 (3-0, with goals from Romero, Ilicic and Zapata). The visitors are 2/1 to get the three points, the Bergamaschi haven’t won two leagues games against AC Milan during the same campaign since 2007/2008. The odds for the draw are 12/5.

It should be anything but a cagey game, in fact four of AC Milan’s last five Serie A games have had four or more goals. Also, Atalanta’s last three games have produced three goals or more.

Over 2.5 goals pays 8/11 and Under is Evens.

Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals via #PickYourPunt @ Evens

Atalanta holds the record for the number of players who have scored so far in Italy’s top flight: 15 in Serie A (same as Fiorentina) and 19, including the cup competitions.

These are outstanding stats, considering ten goals have been produced by substitutes (the last one was Bakker at the weekend against Sassuolo).

Thirteen out of 25 AC Milan’s games (52%) have produced more than 3.5 goals and fourteen Serie A games (19 in all competitions) of the Rossoneri have ended with at least three goals and both teams on the scoresheet.

Atalanta Draw No Bet @ 11/10

All eyes on Sunday will be on Charles De Ketelare, last season a flop at AC Milan, who has scored four times and provided two assists in the previous seven appearances. But Gasperini can also count on Scamacca, Koopmeiners and Tourè, all in fine form.

Milan on the other hand have got a lot of firepower upfront, they are the only Serie A side with two players who have scored and assisted at least six times: Christian Pulisic has eight goals and seven assists this season, Olivier Giroud who has contributed to 20 goals already.

You can check out all of Daniele's Serie A Betting Tips here each week along with those of our other Italian Football writers...

Share Article

(Visited 60 times, 1 visits today)