Walsh vs Ortiz Predictions: Showcase for Ireland’s next big thing

 | Friday 7th June 2024, 14:51pm

Friday 7th June 2024, 14:51pm

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Unbeaten Irish prospect Callum Walsh faces off against journeyman Carlos ‘Ali’ Ortiz this Friday, June 7. The bout takes place at Chumash Casino in Santa Ynez. Walsh’s WBC Continental Americas super welterweight championship will be on the line. UFC Fight Pass screens the card.

Here are my Walsh vs Ortiz predictions ahead of this youth vs experience match-up.

Walsh vs Ortiz Tips

  • Walsh in round six @ 8/1
  • Walsh by knockout @ 2/7

Walsh vs Ortiz Odds

At the tender age of 23, Walsh already has tongues wagging in the industry. Having all-time coaching great Freddie Roach in your corner will do that for a young prospect. As will the platform he has been given by the UFC, as they look to expand their fight offering. The Irishman fights exclusively on the MMA giant’s Fight Pass service, meaning Walsh has cultivated a large following with UFC supporters.

It is easy to see Walsh’s cult following crossing over into something more mainstream. Already ranked 10th by the WBC, the Cork boy has been keeping good company in the pros. Walsh smashed Carson Jones in four rounds, the American who gave Kell Brook conniptions back in the day. ‘King’ Callum needed just four rounds to dismantle gatekeeper Juan Jose Velasco, who has seen them all come and go. 

Despite his grand nickname, Ortiz isn’t really a step-up from the level Walsh has been operating at. ‘Ali’ he might be but ‘The Greatest’ he is not. A solid journeyman, he has his uses in this wide-ranging sport of course. Boxing would be nothing without the workmen who come in to extend its prospects.

Ortiz has fulfilled this function with the likes of Blair Cobbs, who gets a crack at Adrien Broner on Friday, and contender Alexis Rocha. Make no mistake, he is there to make Walsh look good. But fights with experienced fighters like Ortiz are exactly what someone like Walsh needs at this stage of his career.

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Ortiz will believe he can win. The Mexican is on a roll at the moment, after all. ‘Ali’ has won his last three, including a knockout over then-unbeaten 11-0 prospect Evan Sanchez. This hot streak makes Ortiz’s 14-5 record more attractive than the 11-5 he had before it started. 

But still, boxing is a game of levels, even if one well-placed blow can send a distant favourite tumbling to earth from his perch. Ortiz has got blows, too. Every single one of his victories has ended inside the distance. The Mexican southpaw can bang.

But I think, skillswise, Walsh already outranks the veteran. A tidy boxer-puncher from the southpaw stance, he has that underlying defensive sensibility that Roach bakes into his fighters. Walsh sometimes stays in the pocket a tad too long looking to land that one extra shot, but most of the time he is fleet-footed enough to avoid consequences. Better fighters might beat that out of him but I don’t see Ortiz doing so.

This fight is more about keeping sharp than anything for the Irishman. I don’t like dismissing a fighter’s chances out of hand, but Ortiz doing anything more than losing decisively here would be a real shock. He has fought at this level before and always lost while doing so. ‘Ali’ might give Walsh a bit of a test in the early rounds but that’s as far as it goes.

I am going for a Walsh knockout in round six at odds of 8/1. Ortiz knows how to give rounds to rising prospects. He’ll survive and old-man things for a while before succumbing to the 23-year-old prospect in this ranking title fight.

You can find all our latest boxing betting tips and analysis at our Betfred Insights Boxing page

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