Martin vs Campa Predictions: Shootout at the last chance saloon

 | Friday 5th July 2024, 15:51pm

Friday 5th July 2024, 15:51pm

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Alex Martin takes on Pedro Campa in a super lightweight 10-rounder this Saturday, July 6. The fight takes place at the Toyota Center in Ontario, California. The bout serves as chief support for William Zepeda’s clash with Giovanni Cabrera. The card will be broadcast live on DAZN.

Here are my Martin vs Campa predictions ahead of an intriguing 140-pound battle.

Martin vs Campa Tips

This clash has gone under the radar, despite its billing on a big live DAZN card. These men are both fixtures at a decent level in the 140-pound division, but key losses have seen elite recognition evade them.

Campa has at least mixed at that level. He was stopped in seven rounds by Teofimo Lopez in August 2022. ‘Roca’ was brave and put it on his world class opponent at times. But Lopez was able to control the action and resist the pressure of Campa. ‘The Takeover’ closed the show in round seven, before going on to win world titles at super lightweight.

A decision loss to undefeated prospect Brandun Lee in his next outing permanently handcuffed Campa to a lower-tier of competition. He has won once since, stopping 36-25-6 Javier Franco in five rounds.

Martin has similarly been found wanting whenever he has dipped a toe in deeper waters. British fringe contender Michael McKinson outpointed him over 10 rounds. Mexican puncher Oscar Duarte iced him in eight rounds. Like Campa, Martin has usually had his head taken off when he has dared stick it above the parapet.

Martin does boast a fine win over that omnipresent veteran of the ring, Henry Lundy. Ol’ Hank is very much a modern-day Emmanuel Augustus. Far better than his 32-14-1 record suggests, Lundy has administered true tests to the likes of Thomas Dulorme, Ray Beltran, Zaur Abdullaev and Jose Zepeda. Hank even challenged Terence Crawford for the WBO super lightweight belt back in 2016. Make no mistake, beating Lundy was a good win for Martin.

Martin and Campa are running into each other at the right time. Both men could use a boost and win here would open up some doors. Nobody is talking about a world title shot for either boxer, but a victory live on DAZN will undoubtedly land the winner another plum position on an undercard.

Each have been matched with decent names in the past, albeit in the role of “opponent”. But for most boxers outside the immediate title scene, this is a profitable path to take. Fights with the likes of Lopez bring exposure, financial gain and a free-hit at shocking the world. They can be a lucrative route.

Breidis Prescott secured big fights with the likes of Kevin Mitchell, Miguel Vazquez and Terence Crawford off the back of a first-round knockout of Amir Khan. Maxi Hughes’ upset over Jovanni Straffon saw him go on to beat Kid Galahad and Ryan Walsh before getting huge fights against the likes of George Kambosos Jr and Saturday headliner William Zepeda.

Martin or Campa could find themselves on a similar path. But they need a win here. The victor will find themselves in the mix for the next ex-champion or unbeaten prospect needing a workout at the weight. The loser could be out of the reckoning forever. A high-stakes match-up to savour.

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Martin vs Campa Fight Odds

Martin is the favourite at 4/6, giving him a theoretical 60% chance of victory. A Campa win is available at 13/10 while the draw can be backed at 16/1.

Martin vs Campa Full Card

William Zepeda vs. Giovanni Cabrera, 12 rounds, lightweight 

Alex Martin vs. Pedro Campa, 10 rounds, super lightweight 

Japhethlee Llamido vs. Ryan Lee Allen, 8 rounds, super bantamweight 

Joel Iriarte vs. Yainel Alvarez, 6 rounds, welterweight 

Ricardo Sandoval vs. Angel Acosta, 10 rounds, flyweight 

Manuel Flores vs. Nohel Arambulet, 10 rounds, super bantamweight 

Joshua Garcia vs. Jason Buenaobra, 6 rounds, super featherweight 

Gael Cabrera vs. Mychaquell Shields, 6 rounds, super bantamweight 

Daniel Luna vs. Joseph Walker, 4 rounds, super featherweight

Martin vs Campa Prediction

I like Campa in this one. He has mixed at a higher level and hasn’t looked bad while doing so. Martin is coming off a stoppage defeat to Duarte, which could be playing on his mind. Campa enters the fight on the back of the Franco win. Not a huge opponent, but a victory always breeds confidence.

My pick is Campa to take this one at odds of 13/10. Expect him to secure at least one more fight at the top level in the wake of a win here.

You can find all our latest boxing betting tips and analysis at our Betfred Insights Boxing page

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