Iglesias vs Shvedenko Predictions: Osleys will dominate

 | Thursday 6th June 2024, 8:55am

Thursday 6th June 2024, 8:55am

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World-ranked super middleweight Osleys Iglesias takes on Evgeny Shvedenko this Thursday, June 6. The bout takes place at Casino de Montreal in Quebec, on the undercard of Steven Butler vs Patrice Volny. There is no UK broadcaster at the time of publication.

Here are my Iglesias vs Shvedenko predictions ahead of this 168-pound battle.

Iglesias vs Shvedenko Tips

  • Iglesias in round six @ 10/1
  • Iglesias by knockout @ 2/9

Iglesias vs Shvedenko Odds

Iglesias is the latest in a long and storied line of Cuban amateur standouts to try their luck in the pros. Cuba had a ban on professional boxing that was not lifted until 2022. This led to dominance in the amateur sport, but if those fighters wanted to turn over they had to defect. 

Iglesias defected to Germany in 2019, fighting there and in Poland until moving to Montreal. This fight will be his second in the province of Quebec, having knocked out Marcelo Coceres in this same venue in March.

There are already some impressive scalps to be found on Iglesias’ 10-0 record. The 26-year-old holds a decision victory over two-time world title challenger Isaac Chilemba. Iglesias needed just one round to knock out tough gatekeeper Ezequiel Osvaldo Maderna. He also stopped Andrii Velikovskyi in 10 rounds to claim the second-tier IBO world title.

Standing in his way on Thursday night is Evgeny Shvedenko. The 16-1-1 Russian is not the best fighter that Iglesias will have faced, but he won’t come to lay down either. The 33-year-old has never been stopped, with his only loss coming via unanimous decision to Wlliam Scull, the current IBF mandatory challenger.

The only other fight Shvedenko failed to win saw him hold world-ranked Pavel Silyagin to a draw over 10 rounds.  He also holds a victory over former world title challenger Nadjib Mohammedi. While the Russian comes into this fight as the underdog, he has proved very capable in good company.

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Iglesias likes to walk the ring down behind his southpaw guard, looking to get into range before planting his feet and throwing hard shots. His lead right is adaptable, able to penetrate as a jab or arc into a hook with smoothness of motion. Iglesias’ educated right is used to create openings for a thudding left, usually thrown as a blunt force trauma straight shot.

Shvedenko likes to get on his toes and box on the outside. It will be interesting to see how this meshes with an opponent who doesn’t give an inch. The Russian doesn’t display much lateral movement, which would be key in defeating Iglesias. If someone is walking you down, it proves prudent to get out of the way laterally. 

I can see a fight where Iglesias backs up his man, catching the Shvedenko jab on his gloves and pouring forward. Scull used movement to tie him in knots but I feel Iglesias’ approach will be more direct. Get into range, get punches off.

I don’t think Shvedenko can avoid this outcome for the whole distance. There will come a time when Iglesias pins him down and gets those punches landing in bunches. When he does, I’m not convinced Shvedenko stays in there. The 33-year-old has never been stopped, but he has also never been hit with the power and output Iglesias is able to call upon.

My pick is Iglesias to win by knockout at the halfway point. Round six seems like a sensible pick, as Iglesias will have worn his man down by then. You can back my selection at 10/1. 

I feel like the Cuban is a special talent and that this fight will open doors that could lead to a world title shot. Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez’s vice-like grip on the division makes this difficult. But there may come a time people clamour for the Mexican to accommodate the exciting Iglesias.

You can find all our latest boxing betting tips and analysis at our Betfred Insights Boxing page

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