Heaney vs Pauls Predictions: ‘Hitman’ goes from hunter to hunted

 | March 15 | 

2 mins read

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British middleweight champion Nathan Heaney looks to build on a career-best win when he takes on Brad Pauls this Saturday. Birmingham will play host to the fight, which will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 from the Resorts World Arena. Betfred Insights brings you our Heaney vs Pauls predictions ahead of a tasty 160-pound collision.

Heaney vs Pauls Tips

  • Heaney by decision @ 1/2
  • Fight to go the distance - Yes @ 2/9

Heaney is coming off a brilliant upset win over former world title challenger Denzel Bentley last time out. Bentley had been competitive with WBO middleweight kingpin Zhanibek Alimkhanuly two fights before, becoming the first fighter to take him the distance in three years. ‘2Sharp’ then blasted Kieran Smith out in a round to retain his British belt and reassert domestic dominance. 

These performances led many to fear for Heaney in there with Bentley. ‘Hitman’ is a well-liked and charismatic fighter but many felt he was ill-equipped for the challenge. But Heaney acquainted his doubters with the taste of their misgivings in brilliant fashion, taking a deserved majority decision in a tough fight with some stiff exchanges. 

From unfancied to undeniable, Heaney now comes into a British middleweight title fight as the favourite. Pauls is in a similar position to Heaney as he prepared for the Bentley fight. A decent career behind him but a lack of standout names on his record, preparing to go in with someone who outstrips him for experience and level of competition. We all know what happened last time…

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Pauls has reigned as Southern Area and English middleweight champion. But in his biggest fight, he lost to Tyler Denny. There is no shame in that result considering the fact Denny went on to become European champion. But it still leaves Pauls’ resume without a signature scalp. It is exactly that which the 30-year-old is seeking here.

Neither of these fighters is a concussive knockout puncher. Heaney has six stoppages from 18 fights while Pauls has 10 from the same amount. Heaney has the edge should this one go deep. ‘Hitman’ has completed the 10-round distance six times and the 12-round distance once as well. Pauls has only heard the final bell twice in a 10-round fight and this will be his first-ever scheduled 12-rounder.

Ultimately I feel this one will come down to quality, plain and simple. Heaney has shown a higher ceiling than Pauls in their respective careers. The Bentley win felt like the start of something rather than an isolated, one-night-only zenith. I feel ‘Hitman’ will keep his eye in here and move on to bigger fights. Heaney’s lack of power means we’re probably in for the duration here. A Heaney decision win is available at 1/2.

You can find all our latest boxing tips and analysis at our Betfred Insights Boxing page

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