Edwards vs Curiel Predictions: A true test of Sunny’s disposition

 | Wednesday 26th June 2024, 11:44am

Wednesday 26th June 2024, 11:44am

sunny edwards with belt

Sutton trash-talker Sunny Edwards returns this Saturday, June 29 as he takes on former world champion Adrian Curiel. The bout will take place at the Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona on the undercard of Juan Francisco Estrada vs Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez. DAZN will televise the full fight card.

Here are my Edwards vs Curiel predictions as one of Britain’s most outspoken athletes returns to the ring.

Edwards vs Curiel Tips

  • Edwards on points @ 2/5
  • Fight to go the distance - Yes @ 1/6

The problem with being an outwardly-cocky athlete who peacocks his way through life on a cloud of confidence is this; what do you do when you lose? Sunny Edwards must answer this query for the first time in his career as he looks to rebound from a punishing loss to Saturday-headliner ‘Bam’ Rodriguez last December.

That damaging defeat to Rodriguez cost Edwards his IBF world title as well as his invincible aura. A master defensive boxer, Edwards had never been struck with such frequency in his whole career. What was pitched as a 50-50 fight going in ended up becoming a fairly one-sided beatdown. 

Edwards fought gamely and bravely in that bout. There is no suggestion he has lost his numerous in-ring qualities overnight. But the first puncture in an ego-driven fighter’s facade can often bring the whole enterprise down.

The mind wanders back to the great ‘Prince’ Naseem Hamed. Sheffield’s peacocking patrician of the prize ring defeated all comers until he met Marco Antonio Barrera. The Mexican icon knocked the shine off Hamed in a dominant 12-round points victory. 

The following year, Hamed returned to face the unheralded Manuel Calvo. The old ‘Prince’ was gone though. Where once there was effortless verve there was now laborious strain. He won a mediocre unanimous decision and retired in the aftermath. Hamed’s confidence was still dripping from Barrera’s bloodied gloves.

Edwards must avoid a similar fate. He takes on a far tougher opponent than Hamed did in his own failed comeback. Curiel knocked out Sivenathi Nontshinga in two rounds last November to win the IBF flyweight strap. He lost it in a February rematch, but remains a difficult foe.

Still only 25, Curiel took the classic route a lot of Mexican fighters endure. Start young, take some tough early fights, lose a few but then emerge hardened at world title level. Far better than his 24-5-1 record suggests, this is a solid rebound test for Edwards.

For the first time since 2021, Edwards heads into a fight without a world title belt around his waist. Were this one of his multiple title defences, you would likely have backed ‘Showtime’ to rack up his customary wide points win. But the dynamics have shifted now. How much will the ‘Bam’ bashing take from Sunny?


Edwards vs Curiel Fight Odds

Edwards is a 1/4 favourite here while Curiel is out at 3/1 to pull off the upset. You can opt for the draw at 16/1, though such a result would be a first for Sunny. Curiel has one stalemate on his record, a technical draw with Jose Ramirez Armenta a year ago.

Edwards vs Curiel Full Card

Juan Francisco Estrada vs. Jesse "Bam" Rodriguez; For Estrada's WBC and Ring Magazine super flyweight titles 

Yamileth Mercado vs. Ramla Ali; For Mercado's WBC women's world super-bantamweight title Sunny Edwards vs. Adrian Curiel; Flyweight 

Arturo Cardenas vs. Danny Barrios; For Cardenas' WBC Continental Americas super-bantamweight title 

Fabian Rojo vs. Daniel Gonzalez; Welterweight 

Gabriel Muratella vs. Carlos Fontes; Bantamweight 

Leonardo Rubalcava vs. William Flenoy; Super-lightweight

Edwards vs Curiel Predictions

Sunny Edwards doesn’t do knockouts. His last stoppage came way back in 2019 against Pedro Matos. Against ‘Bam’ we saw the problem with that, as you can only hold off a power-puncher for so long unless you enter a perfect display. 

But Curiel will not test Edwards’ resources in the same way. Sunny might make hard work of this as he regains his bearings, but his reflexes and boxing acumen will be enough to net him a decision win. You can back my selection of Edwards on points at 2/5.

You can find all our latest boxing betting tips and analysis at our Betfred Insights Boxing page

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