Weekend Football Tips: Jamie’s 3.49/1 Cross-European Treble

Our European treble takes in matches from Portugal, Spain and Italy as Jamie looks to end the domestic season on a high with just one more column after this for the 25/26 campaign.

He likes Porto to win at a short-price, BTTS in Oviedo and plenty of corners in the Serie A match at Sassuolo. Check out why he's made each selection below as we head into his Weekend Football Tips...

Last year, the 3-3-3 column returned a profit of 17 points, which means that if you’d backed every treble recommended over the course of the season for level £10 stakes, you’d be up by £170. That’s one of the better returns you’ll see in the tipping business and speaking of returns, Jamie Pacheco is returning again this year to do try to do it all over again, and maybe even improve on it.   

Welcome to the 3-3-3 betting column. Why is it called that? Glad you asked.  It’s not a formation to play when you’ve had a man sent off but rather: 

3- The number of different selections making up the acca. 

3- The number of different (non-English) European Leagues the selections are taken from every week. 

3- The minimum odds (3/1) or 4.0 if you prefer, that the acca will come to it every week. 

2025-26 season Current P and L: +18.5 pts  

2024-25 season’s P and L: +16.9     

And it really is as simple as that. The selections can be from any betting markets, as long as they meet the criteria set out above.  And to round things off, every week I’ll leave you with a cool (or at least I think so) bit of trivia involving one of the teams featured in the acca. Simples... 

An interesting week last week. Interesting in that rather than it being the short-priced selection letting us down at the last hurdle, they all let us down.   

Three selections, three losers, including, incredibly, getting just the one goal in Wolfsburg v Bayern Munich when we needed three or more. That was just the second time in 17 away matches that a Bayern game on the road didn’t have at least three goals in it; yeah, it was that sort of week.  

I really can’t remember the last time it happened that all three lost, but in a strange way, it’s far less annoying than in the three or four weeks where just the ‘banker’ failed.   

So just two more chances to get that profit up to over 20 points as the season winds down.  

Yeah, sure, a profit of at least 16.5 points (if we don’t find a winner in the next two weeks) is still an excellent one by any standards, but at one stage we looked like we could be on for a profit of 25-27, so we’re really hoping for one more. Freakishly, if we don’t find one, we’ll show almost exactly the same profit as last year, which was 16.9. Let’s hope to avoid that.    

• Porto v Santa Clara 
• Saturday 16 May 2026, 15.30  
• Back Porto to win @ 3/10 

There’s always the danger that when a team has already won the league, they slack off a bit and make the last game of the season into a little bit of a party where the result almost doesn’t matter.  

Maybe but I don’t think that will happen here. Porto already had their post-crowning hangover when they surprisingly lost 3-1 at AVS last week, who were rock bottom!  

But they’ll want to put on a good show in front of their own fans, which makes this match a very different kettle of fish, and they’ll be taking it seriously.  

As for Santa Clara, they’re 12th, so not really playing for anything at all.  

Porto have beaten them eight times out of nine in the Primeira Liga when at home. Even though the only time they didn’t beat them was last season, that’s not enough to put us off.   

• Oviedo v Alaves   
• Sunday 17 May 2026, 18.00 
• Back Both Teams to Score @ 8/11 

This is one of those classic cases where there are quite opposing stats in play, so we have to decide which team’s numbers we have the most faith in.  

In one corner, we have Oviedo, with a strike rate of just 28% for BTTS in home matches this season. They’re just 39% on the road for games with goals at both ends, so they really don’t appear to be a BTTS side.  

But then again, they don’t play Alaves every week, do they? Alaves’ numbers on the road for BTTS are 55.6% away and they’re 72% when at home.  

But that still isn’t the reason why we like BTTS here. The reason we like it is the more recent trend for BTTS games involving Alaves rather than the season-long numbers.  

All of their last five on the road have gone BTTS, and five of their last six at home, so simple maths tells us that’s 10/11 that have gone that way over the past few months, a pretty good omen.   

Add that to Oviedo’s recent results at home – two out of the last three- and you can hopefully see why we think goals at both ends is the way to go here.     

• Sassuolo v Lecce 
• Sunday 17 May 2026, 19.45 
• Back Over 9.5 corners @ evens 

I've said many a time this season that this isn’t really a column about getting value bets as such, but it’s obviously better when we do get prices that look bigger than they should be. Why wouldn’t it be?  

And this one is a case in point. Lecce have an excellent record when it comes to going over 9.5 corners on the road: 78%. They gave away 10 against Roma, Milan, and Juventus, and away at Inter, it was 11. So in all those matches, the opposition team alone would have got us over the over 9.5 corners line without us needing Lecce to get any at all!  

Sassuolo are 55% for over 9.5 at home, including in five of the last seven. Across their last five at home, they conceded 9 against Atalanta and 8 against Como, hardly the best sides in the division, so there’s certainly hope they concede a few against Lecce. Let’s hope so.  

James’s Fun Fact  

Five of Santa Clara’s last six games have seen at least one of the two teams score exactly two goals, finishing, most recent first: 2-0, 2-2, 2-1, 0-0, 0-2, and 4-2.