Hamburger SV vs Koln Prediction: Goals on the menu again

The Bundesliga's Saturday evening kick-off (17:30 GMT, Sky Sports Football) comes from the Volksparkstadion, where hosts Hamburger SV (10th) entertain FC Koln (14th), with just five points separating the sides.

Below are my Hamburger SV vs Koln predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.

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Team News

Bakery Jatta (hamstring), Alexander Rossing-Lelesiit (unspecified), Yussuf Poulsen and Albert Gronbaek (both thigh) are sidelined for Hamburger SV, but Nicolas Capaldo could return after missing his side's last two games with an abdominal strain.

Football Odds

On-loan Manchester City defender Jahmai Simpson-Pusey is suspended for Koln after receiving a red card in last Saturday's 2-1 home defeat to Borussia Dortmund.

Meanwhile, Timo Hubers, Luca Kilian (both knee), Denis Huseinbasic (hip), Alessio Castro-Montes, Jan Thielmann, Joel Schmied and Sebastian Sebulonsen (all muscle) are likely out with injuries.

Hamburger SV vs Koln Odds

Hamburger SV are 11/10 favourites, implying a 47.6% probability of success, with Koln 21/10, or a 32.3% chance, and the draw priced at 13/5.

Player to Receive a Card - Nicolai Remberg (HSV) @ 12/5

Hamburger SV midfielder Nicolai Remberg is joint-top of the Bundesliga's yellow card charts this season with eight, sharing the lead with five other players.

The 25-year-old has committed 34 fouls across his 24 appearances - only five players have recorded more - at an average of 1.4 per 90 minutes.

Today's Football Fixtures

Remberg hasn't been booked in any of his three games this month, but the German, who received 11 yellows in 32 Bundesliga appearances for Holstein Kiel last season, looks good value for his ninth card on Saturday against a side he was cautioned against in the 10th minute of their November meeting.

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 4/6

Only three clubs have recorded a lower percentage of BTTS-Yes games this season than Hamburger SV (56%), but only including home matches, they rank joint-seventh (62%), and both teams have scored in four of their last five contests.

Koln, meanwhile, are second in the Bundesliga's BTTS table, with 72% of their games seeing both sides score at least once. Like Hamburger SV, four of their last five have gone that way.

Goals were plentiful when Koln hosted Hamburger SV at RheinEnergieStadion in November, with the former claiming a 4-1 win.

With both teams looking to ease their relegation worries with a victory on Saturday, I can see a fairly open game, which should lend itself to a BTTS-Yes pick, particularly with the visitors failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five, and the hosts managing just one in the same number of matches.