Premier League Stats: Key Stats & Suggested Bet for Every Match in Gameweek 11

We have a mouthwatering set of fixtures this weekend, book-ended by Manchester United’s trip to Tottenham and neighbours City hosting Liverpool, with the small matter of Crystal Palace vs Brighton in between.

Dan Thomas has all the key stats and betting angles as we head into gameweek 11 as he tries to turn those Premier League Stats into winning bets...

*You can check out all of our Premier League Odds & Betting Markets over on betfred.com

Premier League Stats & Bets for Week 11

• Tottenham vs Manchester United 
• Saturday, 12:30 
• Live on TNT Sports 

Key stat: Only against Southampton and Brighton (5) has Man Utd's Bryan Mbeumo scored more Premier League goals than he has against Spurs (4), while Micky Van de Ven is Tottenham's leading scorer this season, with six in all competitions. 

Suggested bet: Typical of this column's recent luck that we backed Micky Van de Ven for a shot on target against Chelsea, only for him to have a stinker and save up his attacking efforts for the goal of the season in midweek. But the Dutchman will be in a super confident mood after that ridiculous goal and we go again, this time in a shots on target double with Bryan Mbuemo who enjoys playing Tottenham and has three goals in his last three.  

• Everton vs Fulham 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Everton have gone seven games without a clean sheet in all competitions, while Fulham have only failed to score in one away trip - at Chelsea, where their goal should not have been disallowed, according to the PGMOL. 

Suggested bet: Everton have only lost once at home this season, but last weekend's draw at Sunderland made it just one win in seven and 5/4 looks a touch short for a Toffees victory. Instead, we'll take both teams to score at just shy of evens - it's landed in six of Fulham's last eight away games, while David Moyes' men haven't kept a clean sheet since mid-September. 

• West Ham vs Burnley 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: West Ham are unbeaten in their last six Premier League games against Burnley, with three wins and three draws, but the Clarets have scored in each of their last four away games.  

Suggested bet: The Nuno era finally got off and running last weekend as West Ham ran out deserved winners over Newcastle and a home game against poor travellers Burnley is another great chance to get three points in the bag. But while the Clarets have only won once on the road, they've carried a threat, scoring in defeat at Man City, Aston Villa and Man Utd, and we'll back a repeat here at 3/1. 

• Sunderland vs Arsenal 
• Saturday, 17:30 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Arsenal have won eight successive games without conceding a goal, with 12 of their 15 wins in all competitions coming without conceding, while Sunderland are winless in their last 15 Premier League games against the Gunners.  

Suggested bet: Backing Arsenal to win to nil should probably form part of the Chancellor's Autumn Budget later this month given the reliability of Mikel Arteta's men, but we can get a slightly bigger price on backing the Gunners to win and under 3.5 goals in the match. It's hard to see Sunderland getting thumped given how well they've been playing and a low scoring win for the visitors looks the likeliest result.  

• Chelsea vs Wolves 
• Saturday, 20:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Chelsea have scored 5+ goals in four different Premier League games against Wolves, including a 6-2 win at Molineux last season. 

Suggested bet: Wolves don't look likely to have a new manager in the dugout in time for Saturday's trip to west London, after Gary O'Neil pulled out of the running and Middlesbrough rejected their request to speak to Rob Andrews. They've conceded 13 goals in their last three meetings with Chelsea and another comfortable win for Enzo Maresca's team looks on the cards. We'll back the hosts to win with a one-goal handicap.  

• Aston Villa vs Bournemouth 
• Sunday, 14:00 
• Live on Sky 

Key stat: Aston Villa have scored in 20 of their 24 home games since the start of 2024/25, while Bournemouth have obliged in 21 of the 24 in the same period.  

Suggested bet: Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last five Premier League games against Bournemouth but Andoni Iraola's side are a dangerous outfit - with only Chelsea notching more shots on target away from home this season - and the match looks too close to call. Instead, we'll back the two sides to continue their good scoring runs, and combine both teams to score with Over 2.5 Goals at a shade under evens 

• Brentford vs Newcastle United 
• Sunday, 14:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Brentford vs Newcastle has the highest goals-per-game average of any Premier League fixture to be played at least eight times (4.1), while the Magpies are winless in their last eight away league matches. 

Suggested bet: Another excellent home performance from Newcastle in the Champions League in midweek, but their away form has been a real concern and Brentford will fancy their chances of a positive result, having already beaten Man Utd, Liverpool and Aston Villa at the Gtech this season. We'll back Keith Andrews' men to avoid defeat and more goals in what has been an entertaining fixture in recent seasons. 

• Crystal Palace vs Brighton 
• Sunday, 14:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Only one team has picked up more yellow cards than Brighton's 24 this season (Bournemouth, 25) while Crystal Palace are one of only two teams with more than one red card. 

Suggested bet: Don't call it a 'derby', it's a rivalry, and don't mention the M23 which stops well short of Selhurst Park, but we know these two sides don't like each other and we generally get fireworks when they clash. In this fixture last season, three red cards were dished out (two to Palace, one to Brighton) and with both sides not exactly on best behaviour so far this campaign, we'll back over 52.5 bookings points (yellows are worth 10, reds, 25). 

• Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United 
• Sunday, 14:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Nottingham Forest have gone nine Premier League matches without a victory (D3 L6), last enduring a longer winless run between February and April 2023. 

Suggested bet: Probably the hardest game of the weekend to call this one, with Forest's general form lines very poor but Sean Dyche surely on the verge of tightening them up, as the 0-0 in Europe in midweek demonstrated. Leeds haven't been great on the road but this one could be scrappy and we'll sit on the fence and back the stalemate.  

• Manchester City vs Liverpool 
• Sunday, 16:30 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Since the start of April, Manchester City have won the most points in the Premier League (42), while Erling Haaland already has 18 goals in domestic competition this season.  

Suggested bet: Liverpool finally stopped the rot last weekend with a solid 2-0 win over Aston Villa, but Man City have been flying in recent weeks, with impressive victories over Bournemouth and Borussia Dortmund at the Etihad in the past week. We'll back Pep Guardiola's men to pick up another three points, with goal machine Erling Haaland adding to his tally.  

*To place this bet - please go to the Bet Builder tab on the Manchester City vs Liverpool Odds page on betfred.com

Dan Thomas Premier League Stats P&L 2025/26:

• Stakes: 100
• Returns: 70
• Profit: -30

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