Parma vs Spezia Prediction: Back not-so-instant Parma at 16/5

Something will have to give on Wednesday as two sides on winless runs meet up in the Coppa Italia second round, with Serie A Parma hosting second-tier Spezia at the Ennio Tardini (17:00 local, 16:00 BST).

Neither side have won in the league this season, with Parma’s first-round cup win over Pescara the only success in normal play for either club. My Parma vs Spezia predictions will count on this being a tentative affair, and they follow below with the latest team news and Betfred’s full match odds.

Team News

Parma coach Carlos Cuesta is set to make changes for this tie, with the cup having quickly become a distant second priority given the Crociati’s winless start to the Serie A campaign.

Patrick Cutrone and Mateo Pellegrino – their only scorers so far in 2025/26 – will both be rested, with Milan Djuric and Gaetano Oristanio set to take their places in the forward line.

In midfield there could be a start for Christian Ordonez, with Adrian Bernabe given the night off.

Spezia are also likely to rotate their attack, with Luca D’Angelo expected to call upon Vanja Vlahovic – no relation to Juventus’ Dusan – among those to step up.

Giuseppe Di Serio and Gabriele Artistico were both withdrawn early in Saturday’s 3-1 home defeat to Juve Stabia, and they could be left warming the bench for the trip to the Tardini.

That could mean a start also for former AC Milan front man Gianluca Lapadula, who made his return after a long injury lay-off for the final 18 minutes of the weekend’s loss.

Parma vs Spezia Odds

It says much about Parma’s poor form so far that they are a 4/6 to triumph in 90 minutes despite them facing a winless Serie B outfit. That implies a 60% probability of a home victory.

Spezia are 9/2, with the draw in normal time priced at 23/10.

You can get 4/11 about Parma winning the tie, whether in normal play or by penalty kicks, with 2/1 available on Spezia progressing to the round of 16.

Under 1.5 Total Goals @ 13/8

As big a fan as I am of calcio Italiano, I don’t see this being a match that will live long in the memory.

Both clubs have struggled for goals so far this season, and with rotation very likely in both forward lines we might end up seeing even less quality in the final third than has been witnessed to this point.

I’ve been to enough of these early-round Coppa Italia matches over the years to know that they rarely turn into classics, particularly when it’s an underachieving Serie A side doing the hosting against lower-league opposition.

This ought to be a slow burner, and if we do get a goal I just can’t see it opening the floodgates.

The 13/8 price for either a 0-0 or 1-0 result implies a 38.1% probability, and that’s generous to the punter in my mind.

Football Odds

Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Parma @ 16/5

Can I see Parma struggling to get over the top of Spezia? Yes.

But do I envisage the Serie B side making their hosts pay? I’m not so sure.

Both of these teams probably head into this fixture feeling like they need the distraction like they need a hole in the head, but Parma also need the fillip of a win to take into Sunday’s vital league clash with Torino.

It might take them bringing on some of the bigger guns to get this done against a Spezia side who seem to be suffering from a play-off hangover, so the Draw/Parma bet at 16/5 and an implied 23.8% makes a whole lot of sense.