QPR vs Burnley Prediction: Clarets target 100 points

This game looked like a potential banana skin for Burnley, but with promotion secured against Sheffield United, they can relax. Well, sort of. They are level on points with Leeds United as the two battle it out for the title, and that target of 100 points. 

Meanwhile QPR are safe in 15th and have nothing to play for - below you can find my QPR vs Burnley (12.30, Sky Sports+) predictions. 

Football Odds

Team News

QPR lost 2-1 at home to in-form Swansea City last time out, and manager Marti Cifuentes may try and shake things up, with a few more options now available to him. Michael Frey, having made two appearances off the bench following injury, could come in for his first start since March 15, replacing Rayan Kolli at the top end of the pitch.

Karamoko Dembele scored off the bench and should start out wide while Kenneth Paal may replace Harrison Ashby at left-back. Koki Saito, Zan Celar, Alfie Lloyd and Harvey Vale won’t play for the R’s again this season. 

For Burnley, it will be interesting to see how Scott Parker approaches this game. With the title still on the line, I can’t see him making a raft of changes and Burnley will want to hit 100 points, and make sure their incredible defensive record remains intact. 

Josh Laurent and Hannibal Mejbri will battle it out for a spot in midfield but after winning that crucial penalty, the former Manchester United man may get the nod again. Marcus Edwards has been sensational since joining from Sporting CP in January but may be rotated for Jeremy Sarmiento while Luca Koleosho will also be looking for minutes.

James Trafford, Maxime Esteve and CJ Egan-Riley will look to keep another clean sheet, having conceded just 15 goals all season. 

QPR vs Burnley Odds

QPR are priced at 13/5 to win this game, while Burnley are available at 10/11. That gives the Clarets an implied win probability of 52.4% for this away match, while a draw is up at 23/10. 

Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 5/4 having come in during four of Burnley’s last five matches. BTTS is 1/1 and Zian Flemming is the favourite to score first at 11/2. 

Burnley to win @ 10/11 

Parker has a mini-challenge on his hands to keep his side on track, but I think his side will still be extremely focused when it comes to winning games. The thing is, you can say and do the right thing, but ultimately will they have the same desire as they did on Easter Monday? 

There may be a slight drop-off in performance, but I still think they have more than enough to win this game against a QPR side with absolutely nothing on the line. The Clarets are unbeaten in 31 and have plenty of depth in their squad even if Parker does decide to rotate, I think they will have enough to get over the line at Loftus Road. 

Correct score: QPR 1-2 Burnley @ 7/1

I’m usually happy to back Burnley to keep a clean sheet, but recent form has seen their wins coming with both teams on the scoresheet. They’ve won four of their last five matches 2-1, including away wins at Coventry City and Watford. 

Against an array of opponents, this scoreline has come in and I’m more than happy to follow this trend. Burnley are desperate to finish the season by extending their ‘goals conceded’ and clean sheets records - having kept 29 so far this term. BTTS has come in during five of the last six QPR matches, while their last home game also ended in 2-1 defeat. This is a big price given what we have seen in recent weeks.

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