Lucky 15 Tips: I’ve got an offer you may find hard to refuse

Greetings, dear reader. One week hence and with a bit of luck we'll have enjoyed/be enjoying a lovely bit of Christmas, with top sport coming out of our ears from all angles.

Until then, let's feast upon a nine-race Tapeta spectacular from Southwell on Thursday, December 19, with the 'Queen' (Hayley Turner) in residence. Action starts at 11:00.

Horse Racing Odds

Today's Horse Races

11:00 - Causin A Commotion @ 2/1

From the powerful Hambleton, North Yorkshire yard of Kevin Ryan, and ridden by Tom Eaves.

Causin A Commotion is a two-year-old Cotai Glory gelding who won 26 days ago at Wolves in a manner that suggested this step up a furlong to six could be welcome.

He tried the trip at Thirsk on his third start but failed to get home - however, his subsequent form, admittedly at the minimum, has improved significantly since then and there's stamina on the dam's side (she's by Oratorio, a G1 winner at 10f).

He's only up 2lb from that last win and though it's difficult to string nursery successes together due to the sheer competitive nature of the contests, I hope he's got a very bright chance on what will be career start number seven all told.

12:00 - Don Pacifico @ 10/11

Love the name - all Al Pacino and sleeping with the fishes - and the horse isn't half bad too.

Don Pacifico is a once-raced two-year-old Night Of Thunder colt, housed with the Crisfords at HQ. That spin was at Wolves 31 days ago, and he was a close-up third despite encountering issues in the home straight.

He was doing his best work at the finish and this stiffer 6f could be spot on. The yard have had four winners from their last 14 runners so could hardly be in better nick.

He faces either exposed or 'could be anything' rivals but that's a decent piece of form to bring to the table, and with better luck and normal improvement he's got to have every chance.

13:10 - Turner Girl @ 4/1

I'd like to think this one's named in honour of the Queen of Southwell, Hayley, but as the owner is listed as one Paul Turner I'm guessing not, unless there's a family tie I'm unaware of!

Anyway - Turner Girl is a five-year old Mastercraftsman mare who's been admirably consistent, and who has slipped in my view to a very tempting handicap mark (68; she won off 70 in April).

Ed Dunlop trains, Adam Farragher rides. Seems happy with these stamina tests, goes on the surface, cracking chance.

14:20 - Wilde And Dandy @ 3/1

This four-year-old Dandy Man gelding steps up to a mile from a 7f win here just nine days ago, and has been in terrific form in three runs since October.

Wilde And Dandy is with Ivan Furtado in Wiseton, about 30 miles away. Jockey Joey Haynes is a good luck charm as he's won on him both times he's been on board, and though stepping up a notch in class today he won cosily easing up last time and could have a bit more in the locker yet.

Has a 5lb penalty to shoulder and it looks a pretty warm affair - but he goes well here, isn't travelling far, and is in just about career-best order.

This is an example of a Lucky 15. If you can improve upon my selections (of course you can), then go for it!

The odds can fluctuate between publishing our pieces and race-time. As a guide, a £0.50p win Lucky 15 on today's selections, at the prices, and assuming all four won, would return around £170 for your total £7.50 stake.

Fred, 'The Bonus King,' invented the 'Lucky' series of bets and their bonuses. My colleague Adam has set out all you need to know with this handy guide - take a look by clicking here.

Horse Racing & Greyhound bets only. Excludes Virtual Racing. 5x odds on Lucky 63. 4x Odds Lucky 31. 3x Odds Lucky 15. All selections must run. Paid in cash if only 1 winner. T&Cs Apply.

Lucky 15 tips from Betfred Insights.