Nap of the Day: This 7/2 shot stands out at Warwick on Thursday

There was no selection from me on Wednesday, but my latest Nap of the Day absolutely bolted up and I'm hoping to follow that up on Thursday.

We go to Warwick bidding to do exactly that, putting our faith in a lightly-raced hurdler who looks to have a bit to spare off his current mark.

I'm convinced Paul Nicholls' DON'T TELL SU is well-handicapped and hopefully he proves me right in this 0-120 handicap hurdle over 2m5f at Warwick on Thursday.

The six-year-old Soldier Of Fortune gelding is out of a full-sister to 2010 Stayers' Hurdle runner-up Time For Rupert, who also finished fifth in what we now recognise as the Brown Advisory and then the Gold Cup, and it's fair to say he's yet to live up to his €110k (£90k) price tag.

He's run eight times to date, including six spins over timber. His form during that timeframe reads 232122 and I think he's been very unlucky to bump into a few.

His debut over obstacles came at Chepstow in October last year when he was runner-up, by just over two lengths, to Evan Williams' Minella Missile who claimed Grade 2 honours on his subsequent start at Cheltenham.

A poor performance at Exeter prior to Christmas was followed up by another solid effort in defeat to Alan King's Menaggio, now a 132-rated chaser - while his second at Ayr back in April to Plaisir Des Flos, rated 101 at the time, looks smart given that rival is now 21lbs higher.

Don't Tell Su reappeared at Sandown last month and had to settle for second once again, this time behind Act Of Authority who, factoring in his jockeys' eight-pound claim, was essentially 11lbs lower than when sixth in a highly-lucrative handicap at the Surrey venue in the spring.

That form has been franked numerous times - by the winner following up at Wetherby just six days later and the selection's stablemate Henri The Second, who was around three lengths adrift in fourth, bolting up by 18 lengths in a Pertemps Qualifier at the weekend.

Just like the aforementioned Henri The Second, expect a fair amount of improvement from Nicholls' runner. It's been the case for the majority of his string having their second run of this this campaign.

I truly believe this is a 120+ rated horse, at least, and with a run under his belt it feels like he's got everything he needs to prove it. Let's hope I'm right.

As for his rivals, Mr Hope Street was a winning Nap for us earlier this month and he's well-in here under a seven-pound penalty, but I think his rise of 11lbs is harsh so I wouldn't necessarily take that so literally. It was a fairly dire contest he won the last day.

Moon Over Mexico is also well-in, but he's only ran once over hurdles to date and has to defy a 317-day layoff, so he's best left in my view.

They're the main threats to Don't Tell Su, but I fancy he can better them both - and the other eight - under the brilliant Harry Cobden.

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