Saturday BTTS Tips: 12/1 Accumulator from the UK Coupon

I was away last week but if we go back a fortnight, only Charlton didn't score from the six matches picked out. So agonisingly close to a 22/1 winner that would have assured us a profitable season for this particular column.

That is of course still the aim and this week for our Saturday BTTS Tips, we go five matches deep for a 12/1 price...

Leg 1 - BTTS Yes in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest @ 4/6

Just the one game from the Premier League for me this week and it may surprise a few that the one I’ve circled is the one at Villa Park.

One thing people might be surprised to note is that 75% of games at the ground this season have resulted in BTTS being a winner. Despite having a fantastic record in front of their own fans, Unai Emery’s side are actually not great defensively.

They have conceded in every game at home since those back-to-back 1-0 wins against Manchester City and Arsenal back in early December. Those matches include against the likes of Sheffield United and Burnley.

Nottingham Forest are not a good side but they do have some quality in fast break situations that could really cause Villa a spot of trouble. I like this one landing.

Leg 2 - BTTS Yes in Ipswich Town vs Birmingham City @ 8/11

At 75%, Aston Villa are among the top sides for BTTS in home games but Ipswich Town looked at that number and said they needed to add another 5% to get up to their level.

All season long, fans at Portman Road have seen their side win games despite a pretty bang-average defensive record. On the road, the Tractor Boys have been resilient but at their own gaff, they’ve been laying out the red carpet for opposition attackers. Heck, even lowly Rotherham Town scored three in Suffolk last weekend!

This has been one of my go-to picks throughout the campaign in this column and unsurprisingly considering their record, I don’t actually recall a time when I’ve put a game up at this venue and it has let me down.

Birmingham have had a real bitty campaign with three managers and now a fourth with Tony Mowbray set to step away for health reasons short-term. His backroom staff will try to keep the momentum going after back-to-back wins until the boss is ready to return. This is a really tough assignment however but they have every chance of hitting the back of the net.

Leg 3 - Watford vs Huddersfield Town @ 8/11

Carrying on this percentage lark for a third straight game and we’ve gone from 75 to 80 and now 81% when it comes to Huddersfield Town and BTTS in games away from home for the Terriers.

Despite sitting just above the relegation zone, the Yorkshire club have actually found the back of the net in every single game since Christmas in the Championship. That is a very solid run indeed and in each of their league trips away from the John Smith’s in that run, this bet has been a winner.

Alas Watford aren’t as impressive, coming it at just 56% for games at home. Valerian Ismael’s side are one of the toughest to read in the whole in the English Football Pyramid as get this, through 33 games played in the league, they’ve won, lost and drawn 11.

So the main question I’m asking myself heading into this one is, do I trust Huddersfield’s phenomenal recent record for scoring to continue more than the average record of Watford? The answer is, yes, yes I do.

Leg 4 - BTTS Yes in Hampton & Richmond vs Farnborough Town @ 8/13

I have a rule when it comes to this column regarding the top two teams in a division for this bet playing one another. Quite simply, if they are both above 67% (so two in three) then they are automatically a play based on statistics.

Unsurprisingly, considering I’ve put in the previous paragraph, that is exactly what we have here in the National League South. The visitors are sitting at 72% for the season, with the home side at 69%.

Farnborough had a six-game BTTS streak snapped on Tuesday night when they played out a 0-0 draw at home against Torquay United. Hampton & Richmond though have a massive red flag against their name as they’ve failed to score in four of their previous five games at the Beveree Stadium. It shows that despite the 69% for the season, that was an awful lot higher just a few weeks back.

I’m sticking to my guns though as I think at some point, the goals start flowing again. They did bag four on the road at Weymouth on Tuesday night and that is a good sign.

Leg 5 - BTTS Yes in Havant & Waterlooville vs Bath City @ 8/11

We finish up with another National League South clash, where relegation-threatened Havant & Waterlooville are starting to hit desperation mode. A 2-1 defeat at Eastbourne Borough was a real dagger in their hopes of remaining in the sixth tier of English football and they really need to start getting results.

Bath City though make the trip across to Hampshire firmly planted in the play-off positions and on the back of five straight wins. Not exactly the opponent you want to see arrive when you are scratching around for form and in a dire need of points.

One thing to note here though is that every game at West Leigh Park so far in 2024 has resulted in BTTS being a winner. You have to think the Hawks know what a predicament they are in and will throw the kitchen sink at it if they go behind. Goal difference is unlikely to be a key factor, so I like their chances of finding the back of the net. As for whether they’ll get any points, that is another matter entirely.

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