NFL Week 11 Predictions & Against the Spread Picks

 | Wednesday 13th November 2024, 15:58pm

Wednesday 13th November 2024, 15:58pm

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We're slowly starting to approach the business end of the regular season, as Week 11 of the NFL campaign is upon us.

Adam led the way when picking against the spread in Week 10, going 8-6, Alan 7-7 and Jonny finishing 6-8.

In terms of picking S/U, it was Jonny with the best record of 9-5, Adam was 8-6, while Alan rounded off the week with a 6-8 record.

On to our Week 11 NFL Predictions and Picks though and you can find out who we're backing below.

Teams on Bye Week - Cardinals, Panthers, Giants and Buccaneers.

*All Prices correct as of 09:00 on Wednesday, November 13, 2024. Prices subject to change.

Super Bowl Odds

*Please click on the link above to be taken to the main Super Bowl LIX page on betfred.com (or app) for all the live betting prices on this competition.

Friday - 01:15

Commanders (+3.5) @ Eagles

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Eagles
  • Alan: Eagles
  • Neil: Eagles
  • Jonny: Eagles

Moneyline: Eagles 8/15, Commanders 6/4

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Eagles
  • Alan: Eagles
  • Neil: Eagles
  • Jonny: Eagles

Comments: NFC East table-topping clash in the city of brotherly love. Surely one of the matchups of week 11, and a fiendishly tricky one to be very definitive about. Hard though to escape the fact that the Eagles have won five on the spin, and are a lot shorter in the Super Bowl market (10/1) than their rivals today (25s).

I think the spread is about right, and that Philly will take this by a single-figure margin - Alan

Sunday - 18:00

Packers (-5.5) @ Bears

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Packers
  • Alan: Bears
  • Jonny: Packers
  • Neil: Bears

Moneyline: Bears 11/5, Packers 4/11

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Packers
  • Alan: Packers
  • Jonny: Packers
  • Neil: Bears

Comments: A historic rivalry is renewed here as the Green Bay Packers take on the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.

It feels like things are starting to unravel for Caleb Williams and the Bears, as they've lost three games in a row and looked particularly inept in the past two weeks against New England and Arizona, getting outscored by a combined 48-12.

The Packers will be well rested after their bye week and should look much better than they did in the defeat to the Lions. - Jonny

Jaguars (+13.5) @ Lions

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Lions
  • Alan: Jaguars
  • Jonny: Lions
  • Neil: Jaguars

Moneyline: Lions 1/7, Jaguars 5/1

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Lions
  • Alan: Lions
  • Jonny: Lions
  • Neil: Lions

Comments: It's not surprising to see the spread as large as this, as these two teams are in completely different positions after 10 weeks of the regular season.

The Lions have looked the part through nine games, with Detroit sporting an 8-1 record and sitting in first place in the NFC North - their victory over the Texans last week was their seventh in a row.

Meanwhile, the Jaguars sit at 2-8 and in last place in the AFC South, and probably can't wait for the season to end. The Lions will have no problem exposing a week Jacksonville defence here. - Jonny

Raiders (+7.5) @ Dolphins

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Raiders
  • Alan: Raiders
  • Jonny: Raiders
  • Neil: Dolphins

Moneyline: Dolphins 1/4, Raiders 3/1

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Dolphins
  • Alan: Dolphins
  • Jonny: Dolphins
  • Neil: Dolphins

Comments: Will the real Miami please stand up? Consistently inconsistent - beat the Rams the other day, but still stand at 3-6 for this campaign. I want to consider an upset, and think it might not be quite so straightforward; so I'm taking the Raiders on the spread but reckon that they won't quite be up to winning the thing - Alan

Rams (-4.5) @ Patriots

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Rams
  • Alan: Rams
  • Jonny: Rams
  • Neil: Rams

Moneyline: Patriots 9/5, Rams 4/9

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Rams
  • Alan: Rams
  • Jonny: Rams
  • Neil: Rams

Comments: The Rams have had a whirlwind of a season up until this point and will need to win at Foxboro on Sunday to keep their play-off hopes alive.

Meanwhile, the Patriots' season is largely over, but going 2-1 in their last three games is a great sign for the future of this team.

LA won four-straight before the defeat to Miami last week so I reckon they can bounce back here, although Pats rookie QB Drake Maye looks set to impress again. - Jonny

Browns (+1.5) @ Saints

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Browns
  • Alan: Browns
  • Jonny: Saints
  • Neil: Saints

Moneyline: Saints 20/23, Browns 20/21

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Browns
  • Alan: Browns
  • Jonny: Saints
  • Neil: Saints

Comments: The Saints pulled off one of the shocks of the round last week, when beating an in-from Atlanta. That new coach bounce under interim boss Darren Rizzi was more than evident and New Orleans will be hoping for more of the same with week.

However, an old Saints boy may come back to haunt them in the form or Jameis Winston, who spent three seasons in Louisiana and has a fully fit and rested Nick Chubb as part of his arsenal after a bye week.

I'm taking Cleveland to win this one behind a strong run game and Myles Garrett on the rampage. - Adam

Ravens (-3.5) @ Steelers

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Steelers
  • Alan: Ravens
  • Jonny: Ravens
  • Neil: Ravens

Moneyline: Steelers 7/5, Ravens 4/7

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Ravens
  • Alan: Ravens
  • Jonny: Ravens
  • Neil: Ravens

Comments: Another absolute cracker - an AFC North shootout at the top of the table. Ravens score a bagful more but concede plenty too; and it's a big deal in my book that this is in Pittsburgh.

Should help keep them bang in this contest but Lamar and King Henry are just forces of nature these days, and should help deliver another W for Baltimore - Alan

Vikings (-5.5) @ Titans

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Titans
  • Alan: Vikings
  • Jonny: Vikings
  • Neil: Titans

Moneyline: Titans 2/1, Vikings 2/5

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Vikings
  • Alan: Vikings
  • Jonny: Vikings
  • Neil: Vikings

Comments: Minnesota were breezing along beautifully, had a little hiccup, and have remedied matters accordingly. They're not winning any Super Bowls for me, but if they can't cover and win this match I'm going to seriously consider turning to basketball, which I can't abide.

Hoops here I come then ... Alan 

Colts (+3.5) @ Jets

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Jets
  • Alan: Colts
  • Jonny: Jets
  • Neil: Jets

Moneyline: Jets 1/2, Colts 13/8

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Jets
  • Alan: Colts
  • Jonny: Jets
  • Neil: Jets

Comments: If there were ever a game where I thought both teams could lose, then this is it. The Colts have turned back to Joe Flacco and he reminded everybody on Sunday that he's still good for a pick...or two...or even three. Yes they gave Buffalo a game but the result never really felt in doubt at any point despite the home side playing well below par.

As for the Jets, let's not beat around the bush, they stink. They out stink. The chemistry between Davante Adams and Aaron Rodgers seems to have deserted them, the running game is bang average at best and if you are allowing Kyler Murray to connect on 24 of his 26 passes, your defense isn't exactly good either. Yet I'll take them to win a close low-scoring game at home because, well just because, this is a gut feel game - Neil

Sunday - 21:05

Falcons (+2.5) @ Broncos

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Broncos
  • Alan: Falcons
  • Jonny: Broncos
  • Neil: Broncos

Moneyline: Broncos 8/11, Falcons 23/20

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Broncos
  • Alan: Falcons
  • Jonny: Broncos
  • Neil: Broncos

Comments:  This selection comes courtesy of Denver being the home team. Atlanta are 6-4 but they are only +2 in point differential, which indicates that they are in a lot of close games. The Broncos are 5-5 with only one of their wins coming against what you'd call a decent side, when they gave Tampa Bay a 26-7 pasting back in September.

Both sides still have aspirations of playing in the play-offs, although neither would be likely to do much damage once they get there. I lean the home team to get back on it after nearly knocking off the Chiefs last week - Neil

Sunday - 21:05

Seahawks (+6.5) @ 49ers

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Seahawks
  • Alan: 49ers
  • Jonny: Seahawks
  • Neil: 49ers

Moneyline: 49ers 1/3, Seahawks 12/5

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: 49ers
  • Alan: 49ers
  • Jonny: 49ers
  • Neil: 49ers

Comments: The Niners finally welcomed back Christian McCaffrey in last week's win over Tampa Bay, and Brock Purdy had his second-best passing game of the season in that victory too.

The Seahawks will be well rested after their bye week, and hoping to welcome back DK Metcalf here. Earlier this season, San Francisco picked up a double-digit win in Seattle over their NFC West rival, and a win for the 49ers here could push the Seahawks down in the NFC play-off picture. - Jonny

Sunday - 21:25

Chiefs (+2.5) @ Bills

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Bills
  • Alan: Bills
  • Jonny: Chiefs
  • Neil: Bills

Moneyline: Bills 8/11, Chiefs 23/20

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Bills
  • Alan: Bills
  • Jonny: Chiefs
  • Neil: Bills

Comments:  Magic can only last for so long and boy Kansas City have been finding ways to pull out victories all season long. That has to end sometime and a trip to up state New York is the place I think it happens. These two are the cream of the crop in the AFC and Patrick Mahomes and company have kept finding ways to win not only this season but also in games against Buffalo.

I have no doubts that this is one Josh Allen and his team have circled since the schedule came out. They are ready to tell the watching world that they are for real and can beat KC. I think it is a cracker and would suggest you hit the over - hard. I'm taking the Bills and I look forward to watching it all - Neil

Monday - 01:20

Bengals (+1.5) @ Chargers

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Chargers
  • Alan: Bengals
  • Jonny: Chargers
  • Neil: Bengals

Moneyline: Chargers 5/6, Bengals 1/1

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Chargers
  • Alan: Bengals
  • Jonny: Chargers
  • Neil: Bengals

Comments: Whisper it quietly but Cincinnati have gotten over their sluggish start and despite losing 35-34 to the Ravens last Thursday night - in a game where the zebras certainly played their part - they look to be a genuine contender in a stacked AFC.

I have loved what Mike Gesecki has done for that offense, adding a real catch passing threat from that Tight End position. You can't cover him, Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Joe Burrow has found his groove and despite them being road dogs here, I like them to win this one straight up - Neil

Tuesday - 01:15

Texans (-7.5) @ Cowboys

Picks ATS:

  • Adam: Cowboys
  • Alan: Texans
  • Jonny: Cowboys
  • Neil: Texans

Moneyline: Cowboys 14/5, Texans 2/7

Picks Straight Up:

  • Adam: Texans
  • Alan: Texans
  • Jonny: Texans
  • Neil: Texans

Comments: Look at the state of the Dallas Cowboys! After embossing Dak Prescott with a highest ever paycheck for a NFL QB, they find themselves without him for the rest of the season and 3-6.

Not that Dak was tearing any trees up but now they face the choice of sticking with Cooper Rush, who threw for 45 yards in 23 attempts or starting with Trey Lance, who looks equally as bad.

They do have Micah Parsons back though, who pulled off two sacks on his return and will help to keep this one fairly close. The Texans will win by a single score despite CJ Stroud still in a bit of an offensive funk - Adam

Season Records:

Against the Spread:

  • Adam – 77-59
  • Alan – 68-68
  • Jonny – 67-69
  • Neil – 66-56

Straight Up:

  • Adam – 87-49
  • Alan – 76-60
  • Jonny – 87-49
  • Neil – 68-54

Click here for all the latest NFL Odds

Remember to check out our NFL Betting Tips index page where we preview games live on Sky Sports along with a weekly Predictions column...

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