Chiefs vs Dolphins Prediction: Offenses set to be on top in Germany

We are pleased to announced that Liz Bhandari - better known by many people in the UK as @NFLGirlUK has joined the Betfred Insights NFL team for the rest of the season, primarily covering the live games on Sky Sports on a Sunday evening.

For her opening week though, we have her covering three matches as in addition to the 18:00 and 21:25 games, she previews the Chiefs and Dolphins matchup in Germany, which is set to get underway at 14:30...

The Miami Dolphins will be travelling alongside the Kansas City Chiefs to Germany to play a matchup that many people believe to be the best of the week.

With offensive firepower all over the field, there’s no question that there will be plenty of fireworks. It’s also the return of Tyreek Hill, as he will be going against his former squad.

Let’s start with the Dolphins here in this game preview. And who else can we talk about other than Tyreek Hill himself.

Hill has already eclipsed the 1,000-yard receiving mark for the Dolphins, and we aren’t even halfway through the season. That's an unprecedented number of yards in a small number of games, but nobody has been able to contain Hill whatsoever.

This Dolphins offense also has Jaylen Waddle on the other side of him and Tua Tagovailoa to make this passing game incredibly dynamic. Plus, we can’t forget that they’re the league's best rushing attack also thanks to Raheem Mostert, DeVon Achane, Jeff Wilson, and Salvon Ahmed, who’ve all played snaps back there.

The defense is as suspect in Miami. While there are a ton of very talented players back there, they do surrender a lot of big plays. We’ve seen them get torched on a few different occasions this year and the Chiefs are an offense that you can’t just have a bad day against. Simply put, the Dolphins have really relied upon their offense to get the job done, rather than their defense.

As for the Chiefs, it’s surprisingly been a bit of the opposite. The reigning champs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce, just haven’t had the same offensive success that we’re used to this year.

The lack of talent at wide receiver is noticeable, and it’s causing a ton of problems. Kelce and Mahomes continue to do their thing, and the offensive line has been good, though an inconsistent run game coupled with a lack of playmaking wideouts have this team looking different.

Due to this, they’ve relied upon their defense to keep them afloat, and it’s done that and then some. The defense isn’t exactly thought to be the best unit in the league, yet it doesn’t matter. This group has so many hard working athletes that understand their assignments and do their job. They tackle well, rally to the football, and don’t allow that many monstrous plays.

A side mention that needs to be made regarding the Chiefs is the health of Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes isn’t injured, but he does have the flu.

He played against the Denver Broncos last week with the sickness, and it was one of his worst games ever as a pro. It’s hard to see him put up a similar performance, though it’s also a wonder if he is still feeling some of the effects from that sickness at all. If he is, then this outing could be impacted, especially with the travel distance to Germany.

This is going to be a high-scoring game if I had to guess, though the winner is entirely up in the air, so I’m going to swerve the winner market here.

Both teams are sitting at 6-2 with Super Bowl expectations. This might be a pivotal AFC showdown that will shake up the playoff picture.

Match Odds:

The traders have this as a really close game and that won't be a surprise to anyone. KC are the favourites at 4/5 with a Miami win priced up at 21/20. The spread has been set as Kansas City -2.5.

Points and good offense though are very much on the cards with the over/under set at 50.5.

Four players are shorter than odds-on to score anytime, with Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce topping that market at 10/13. They are also 6/1 to be the first players to celebrate scoring a TD on Sunday afternoon.

Bet 1 - Tyreek Hill 100+ Receiving Yards @ Evens

I started talking about Tyreek Hill, so it is no surprise that I like him to go over 100 receiving yards for the sixth time already this season. The speedster is averaging 127-a-game and there is no reason to expect that to dip in this one.

Bet 2 - Over 55 Points @ 6/4

I might not be confident enough to say who’ll win the game but I do like both offenses to have a good day. The Over/Under line has been set at 50.5 points, however I’m happy to push that a bit to add some value.

Miami are 5-3 against the number so far in 2023, averaging 10.7 points over the expected amount of points. KC have been disappointing on that front, going 2-6 but they are due a breakout game, as long as Patrick Mahomes is fully healthy of course!

You can check out all of our NFL Betting Tips each week on our main NFL hub page...