US Open Final Betting Tips: Reigning champ Sabalenka to end Anisimova’s American dream

After two weeks of action, it all comes down to Saturday (21:05 BST, Sky Sports Tennis) in the US Open Women's Singles, as Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova battle it out for the title at Arthur Ashe Stadium.

Below are my US Open Final Tennis Betting Tips for a match you can watch live via Betfred.com.

Price Boosts - Sabalenka to win the match, serve the most aces & have the least double faults @ 7/2 9/2

World No. 1 Sabalenka is the reigning US Open champion, having defeated Jessica Pegula 7-5, 7-5 in last year's final. The Belarusian beat Pegula in Flushing Meadows again on Thursday, this time in the semi-finals, taking down the American 4-6, 6-3, 6-4.

On Saturday, she faces another US hope, Anisimova, who has responded superbly to being double-bagelled in July's Wimbledon Final against Iga Swiatek (0-6, 0-6), overcoming the Pole 6-4, 6-3 in the quarter-finals on Wednesday before knocking out two-time former US Open champion Naomi Osaka (6-7, 7-6, 6-3) in the semis.

The 24-year-old goes in search of her first Grand Slam title this weekend, and she will enjoy the support of a home crowd, which may increase her chances of causing an upset against Sabalenka.

However, while she may already have three Grand Slams in the bag, the 2023 and 2024 Australian Opens, as well as last year's US Open, Sabalenka remains highly motivated to win on Saturday, after a series of near-misses in 2025.

The 27-year-old lost in the final of this year's first two Grand Slams, the Australian Open and French Open - both to Americans in Madison Keys and Coco Gauff, respectively - and was knocked out of the Wimbledon semi-finals by a third, Anisimova.

Sabalenka has shown tremendous consistency to reach the final four of all four majors this calendar year, but she will know that a failure to achieve victory on Saturday will open her up to all sorts of criticism.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova Odds

Anisimova leads the head-to-head record 6-3, winning their last meeting 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 at Wimbledon in July, although Sabalenka came out on top in the first match of 2025, beating her 7-5, 6-3 in the last 16 at Roland-Garros.

This is just Anisimova's second Grand Slam final, and we all saw how she wilted in her first, while Sabalenka arrives at her seventh with an even record of 3-3.

I'm backing the Belarusian's power and experience to prove too much for the American in front of an expectant crowd, while I also expect Sabalenka to record the most aces and fewest double faults.

Sabalenka served 11 aces against Anisimova at the French Open in June, compared to her opponent's three, while at Wimbledon, it was 6-2 in her favour for aces, and 4-5 for double faults, despite her defeat to the World No. 9.

Anisimova lost the ace count 7-15 to Osaka in her semi-final earlier this week, and posted six double faults to her Japanese counterpart's one, while in Sabalenka's semi, the number one seed more than doubled Pegula's tally of three aces (eight), and matched her double fault number of four.

#PickYourPunt - At least one tiebreak in the match @ 9/4

Sabalenka is the tiebreak queen, claiming her 18th consecutive tiebreak in her 6-3, 7-6 victory over Leylah Fernandez in the US Open third round last week, to move on to 19-1 for the season.

She won two tiebreaks at last month's Cincinnati Open and is already on two tiebreak victories at the US Open, with a third a strong possibility in Saturday's final.

US Open Women's Singles Odds

Anisimova, meanwhile, lost a first-set tiebreak to Osaka in her semi-final, but reversed her fortunes in the second set. The American is now 2-1 for tiebreaks in Flushing Meadows, having beaten Maya Joint 7-6, 6-2 in the second round last week.

I backed Sabalenka for the title in my first tip, but I fancy Anisimova to make things competitive, certainly more so than in July's Wimbledon final. She showed her ability to withstand Osaka's power, taking the first couple of sets to tiebreaks before motoring to success in the third, and we've seen Sabalenka start a couple of her US Open matches slowly this year.

I can see either the first or second set going to a tiebreak, which makes the above 9/4 selection an attractive one.

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