Hull KR vs Warrington Wolves Predictions: Rovers to edge it against Burgess’ boys

 | March 06 | 

3 mins read

Elliot Minchella Hull KR 2024

The Sam Burgess roadshow arrives in east Hull on Thursday as the former England forward’s Warrington Wolves travel to face Hull Kingston Rovers in round four of the Betfred Super League season (kick-off 20:00 GMT).

Below are our Hull KR vs Warrington Wolves predictions as Willie Peters’ side look to bounce back following a disappointing performance in their defeat to Salford Red Devils last time out.

Hull KR v Warrington Tips

  • Under 37.5 points @ 10/11
  • Hull KR to win by 1-12 points @ 9/5

Team news

Peters has named an unchanged 21-man squad despite Rovers suffering a first defeat of the year at the Salford Community Stadium last week. There could be changes in the matchday 17 though, with Niall Evalds and Matty Storton potentially pushing for recalls and Yusuf Aydin and Corey Hall also on standby.

For the Wolves, Sam Burgess is without Josh Drinkwater, whose thigh injury has kept him out of the squad, but Connor Wrench has been included in the hope that he can overcome a groin problem.

The great news for Burgess is that George Williams is back in the picture after the ankle injury he suffered in the round-one defeat to Catalans Dragons, although there may be a very late call on whether the England captain can partner Leon Hayes in the halves. Jordy Crowther is also in contention after concussion protocols ruled him out against Castleford Tigers.

Under 37.5 points @ 10/11

If there is one thing guaranteed about Sewell Group Craven Park, it is a vibrant atmosphere from the popular East Stand. If there is a second certainty, it is that Hull KR will be tough to break down. They have conceded only 29 points in three games so far this term, and in their last home fixture against Leeds Rhinos they were only breached by tries first when they were reduced to 12 players by the sin-binning of Peta Hiku and then following a piece of world-class play by Brodie Croft which sent in Ash Handley from distance.

Warrington may have to think similarly outside the box in order to get more than a couple of tries out of this trip to the east coast, and on their only previous away journey this season they were held to 10 points in Perpignan by Catalans Dragons.

Rovers also haven’t truly walloped any side yet on the scoreboard, with their attack in opposition territory still appearing to need some fine-tuning on the wetter tracks of the early spring. That all adds up to the potential for a tight low-scoring affair, so I wouldn’t be expecting more than 37 points at this stage of the year.

Under 37.5 points in Hull KR v Warrington @ 10/11

Hull KR to win by 1-12 points @ 9/5

Had George Williams been returning to line up alongside Josh Drinkwater for the Wolves, then I would have been looking at another market because the result might have been far closer to call. But with the former Wigan Warriors star seemingly being included ahead of schedule to plug the gap left by Drinkwater’s fitness issue, Warrington could find it difficult to provide the creativity to break down a resolute Rovers defence.

I would expect Rovers to leave a far greater impression on Thursday night than they did on Saturday at Salford, with the first hour being easily the worst representation we’ve seen of the Robins in 2024 so far. The performance in the last 20 minutes was much better, and Willie Peters will have been doing a lot of work in the week to ensure they bounce back under the lights in HU9. It will be tight, and the 9/5 odds imply a 35.7 per cent chance of Rovers being narrow winners. That sounds a decent bet to me.

Hull KR to win by 1-12 v Warrington @ 9/5

You can read all our latest Rugby League Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights rugby league content hub.

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