Bulldogs vs Knights Prediction: 10-point handicap offers value on Newcastle

| Thursday 26th March 2026, 14:59

Thursday 26th March 2026, 14:59

When the Canterbury Bulldogs host the Newcastle Knights at the Accor Stadium on Saturday, one of the NRL Premiership’s fast starters will hit a bump in the road (15:00 local, 04:00 GMT, Watch NRL).

The Bulldogs have begun 2026 with two narrow wins, while the Knights are two from three heading to Homebush. My Bulldogs vs Knights predictions follow with team news and match odds from Betfred.

Bulldogs vs Knights Betting Tips

Handicap 3-way Alt 1: Knights +10 @ 13/10
Under 46.5 Points @ 5/6

*odds correct at time of publishing

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Bulldogs vs Knights Odds

There’s an implied 81.8% probability of the Bulldogs winning in Betfred’s pricing of a home win at 2/9.

The Knights are 18/5 to come out on top inside regulation time, while it’s 20/1 for the game to reach extra-time.

The Dogs give up a 13.5-point start on the standard two-way handicap, with Canterbury 5/6 and Newcastle 10/11 under that scenario.

Team News

Sam Hughes drops out of Cameron Ciraldo’s starting XIII due to suspension. Sitili Tupouniua moves to the front row.

There’s no Jake Turpin or Harry Hayes as both are overcoming concussion issues, but Jonathan Sua and Lipoi Hopoi are among the 19.

Rugby League Odds

Justin Holbrook can call upon star stand-off Fletcher Sharpe after his recovery from the knee injury he suffered against the Cowboys in Las Vegas.

Tyson Gamble drops to the bench to allow Sharpe to start, while Trey Mooney is banned so in comes Tyson Frizell.

Handicap 3-way Alt 1: Knights +10 @ 13/10

Having performed superbly for much of 2025, the Bulldogs have started well once more under Ciraldo.

A golden-point win over the Dragons in Vegas was followed by a gutsy 14-10 victory in rain-drenched Canberra after their Round 2 bye.

The Dogs have that knack of just about outlasting opponents even when not at full stride.

The Knights, though, have looked a far better prospect so far than they did at any point in their wooden spoon campaign of ’25.

Justin Holbrook’s arrival has brought about an edge in their play, and in attack particularly they are a completely different prospect.

While they were well beaten by the Warriors last week, the Wahs could do that to a lot of teams this term on the evidence so far. After that loss, I think Holbrook has the Knights rolling again this week.

They might not have quite enough to outdo the Dogs, but I really fancy them to keep it tight. So the 10-point start at 13/10 looks really good to me.

Bulldogs vs Knights - Handicap 3-Way Alt 1

Knights +10

13/10

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Under 46.5 Points @ 5/6

So often in games like this, the dominant characteristic of the better side can dictate a contest.

The Bulldogs are the club who have most to offer in this encounter, and I see their great defence having a big say.

As such, this should be another low-scoring encounter to follow their 29-point and 24-point fixtures to date.

While there might be a few more tries on offer, 46.5 seems a high bar for the Over/Under. That leads me to believe the 5/6 here at an implied probability of 54.5% is an underestimate in the least.

Bulldogs vs Knights - Total Points

Under 46.5

5/6

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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