US Open Golf 2025 Betting Tips: Bryson to pick up his third US Open?

Following Rory McIlroy’s emotional win at Augusta and Scottie Scheffler’s runaway victory at Quail Hollow, we now begin the second half of the 2025 major season with the US Open. Pennsylvania is the destination of this 125^th edition of the event, with the historic Oakmont Country Club returning to host for a record tenth time.

Our star golf tipster Jamie Worsley will have his hands full this week, as he will be providing first round leader, specials and in-play tips, as well as his famous long-read main preview. He has picked out five golfers he likes the look of, including a two-time US Open champion. Here is his US Open Golf 2025 Betting Tips...

TOURNAMENT HISTORY 

Established in 1895, the US Open is the second-oldest of the four majors in men's golf and is considered to be the toughest test in the game.

The early part of the event's history was dominated by UK golfers, who won every edition from 1895 – 1911. However, since John McDermott's win in 1911, players from the US have assumed control of their national open, winning 88 of the previous 124 renewals.

Scotland's Willie Anderson was the first player to win multiple US Opens, following his 1901 victory by claiming three on the trot from 1903 – 1905. His record of four wins was later equalled by Bobby Jones (1923, 1926, 1929, 1930), Ben Hogan (1948, 1950, 1951, 1953) and Jack Nicklaus (1962, 1967, 1972, 1980).

Hale Irwin (1974, 1979, 1990) and Tiger Woods (2000, 2002, 2008) have each recorded three wins. Meanwhile, the lengthy list of two-time winners includes esteemed names such as Walter Hagen (1914, 1919), Lee Trevino (1968, 1971), Ernie Els (1994, 1997) and Brooks Koepka (2017, 2018).

We have witnessed many special displays in this event, but nothing in the same league as Tiger Woods' incredible win at Pebble Beach in 2000. Not only did Tiger finish as the only player under par that week, but his -12 winning score was 15 shots ahead of anyone else. It was the most dominant performance in major history and is widely regarded as the greatest individual tournament display of all time.

Last five winners:

• 2024 (Pinehurst No. 2)

Winner: Bryson DeChambeau (-6)

Runner-up: Rory McIlroy (-5)

• 2023 (Los Angeles Country Club)

Winner: Wyndham Clark (-10)

Runner-up: Rory McIlroy (-9)

• 2022 (Brookline)

Winner: Matt Fitzpatrick (-6)

Runners-up: Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris (-5)

• 2021 (Torrey Pines)

Winner: Jon Rahm (-6)

Runner-up: Louis Oosthuizen (-5)

• 2020 (Winged Foot)

Winner: Bryson DeChambeau (-6)

Runner-up: Matthew Wolff (E)

A dramatic and thrilling edition in 2024, at Pinehurst No. 2, saw Bryson DeChambeau get the better of Rory McIlroy for his second US Open success. The American returns to defend, aiming to become just the seventh player to lift this famous trophy on three or more occasions.

THE COURSE

Oakmont Country Club was originally designed by Henry Fownes in 1903 and the family continued to tweak with the layout over the following decades. It constantly rates among the best courses in the world and will host its 10^th US Open this week—the most of any other course in tournament history.

Previous US Open winners at Oakmont:

• 2016: Dustin Johnson (-4)
• 2007: Angel Cabrera (+5)
• 1994: Ernie Els (-5)
• 1983: Larry Nelson (-4)
• 1973: Johnny Miller (-5)
• 1962: Jack Nicklaus (-1)
• 1953: Ben Hogan (-5)
• 1935: Sam Parks Jnr (+11)
• 1927: Tommy Armour (+13)

Gil Hanse undertook a significant restoration project at Oakmont in 2023. The greens were expanded to develop new pin positions, and they have also been flattened out at the edges to make them more difficult to hold. All bunkers were renovated, with some repositioned aside the fairways, bringing them more into play off the tee, and select fairways have been widened to create added strategy.

The course will also play over 150yds longer than it did in 2016, with this par-70 layout now measuring 7372yds. It possesses 4x par 3s (182-289yds), 12x par 4s (312-507yds) and 2x par 5s (611-632yds).

Even when excluding the first two US Opens here, which were won at a combined score of +24, Oakmont is still one of the absolute toughest tests on the major championship rotation—averaging a winning score of -2.7 across the last seven renewals.

This largely open and exposed course is packed full of elevation changes, both uphill and down, creating many blind/semi-blind shots. It is famed for its varied and extensive bunkering—of which there are 168 in total, including the striking church pew bunkers—which frame many holes, and while there is no water in-play, dry ditches can prove true hazards if found.

The sloping fairways are predominantly narrow and although there is no risk of having approaches blocked out by trees, players will still need to find the correct side of them to attack the putting surfaces. Bunkers bombard the landing areas and should you miss the short grass (and the sand), there is brutal five-inch-thick bluegrass/ryegrass/poa annua rough awaiting for those more wayward.

Oakmont's greens are the stuff of nightmares and it's on and around these surfaces that the event will be won and lost. These heavily contoured poa annua greens are large (averaging 8,500 sq.ft.) and will be intended to play extremely firm and fast. They severely slope away from the centre and with many open-fronted, it encourages players to hit links-like bump and run shots. False fronts and run-off areas litter the edges, and they offer up a stiff short-game challenge, largely protected by that penal rough and deep greenside bunkers.

The course has some brutish holes, including the par-3 8^th (the longest par 3 in US Open history, which will measure a mammoth 289yds this week); meanwhile, both par 5s measure 610yds+ (4^th and 12^th) and there are two 500yd+ par 4s late on (the 15^th and 18^th). That being said, there are a selection of birdie chances to be had on the par 4s, with the drivable 312yd 17^th sure to provide plenty of excitement throughout the week.

Oakmont's demands are second to none, but rarely does it feel unfair. It's a brilliantly exacting test of golf, requiring quality in every area, and it's going to be fun to witness this latest generation of golfers experience it this week.

THE WEATHER

The area has been blighted by thunderstorms and rains in the build up to the event, which is set to continue to be a threat throughout the week. Unfortunately, this means that the USGA will have a tough task in getting Oakmont to its fast and fiery best.

Furthermore, wind doesn't look like being much of a factor and while this course will never be easy, it could well be at its most playable in benign, damp conditions.

KEY STATS

We don't have the benefit of previous strokes-gained data to tell us exactly what works at Oakmont, but as the most difficult major championship test around it's safe to say players will need to show quality in all areas. This is exactly what Dustin Johnson appeared to do when winning by three here in 2016, as he led the field in total driving, greens-in-regulation and scrambling.

• SG: Approach/Greens-in-Regulation/Proximity from 175yds+

These greens will still be treacherous in the wet conditions and precise approach play into them is bound to be key. Players must find the correct portion of the putting surfaces to both create chances and limit damage.

There's added difficulty in distance control due to the regular changes in elevation and although every club from wedge to long iron+ will be required, approaches from 175yds+ appear the most prevalent.

As mentioned, DJ ranked 1^st in GIR when winning at Oakmont in 2016, and each of his five nearest challengers ranked inside the top 15.

• SG: Putting (poa annua)/Three-putt avoidance

Even if players to hit the correct spots on the greens, there are few "easy" putts at Oakmont and quality on the greens will be vital. Particular attention should be paid to contenders who are proven on fast and difficult poa surfaces, while three-putt avoidance could also prove an important stat.

• SG: Off-the-Tee/Total Driving

You couldn't have a more contrasting pair of players from a driving perspective as Dustin Johnson and Jim Furyk, who finished 1^st and tied-2^nd here in 2016. That being said, Furyk was the only top-six finisher to rank outside the top 15 in driving distance.

The rain should play into the hands of the longer hitters in the field again, but as an ultra-penal venue when missing fairways, we don't want to be on players struggling to keep their ball in the fairway. Those lengthier hitters are going to need to show some control; therefore, old-fashioned total driving should be helpful this week.

• SG: Around-the-Greens/Scrambling from the Rough

Possessing scrambling percentages lower than any course in the last six years, the challenge when missing the greens at Oakmont is not for the faint-hearted.

Only those strongest short-game players will feel confident around-the-greens this week, and with most putting surfaces surrounded by severe rough, we can especially focus on those who rank highest when scrambling from the rough.

• Par 4 Scoring

The par 3s and par 5s are going to cause similar problems for all player profiles, and it's the more varied par-4 holes that will prove to be of greatest importance. Dustin Johnson led the field in scoring on these holes in 2016, as runners-up, Jim Furyk and Scott Piercy each ranked 2^nd.

CORRELATING EVENTS (COURSES)

2020 US Open (Winged Foot)

US Open form on the whole will work as an indicator this week, but it's 2020 host Winged Foot that holds the most appeal of the more recent courses as a potential comp. This par-70 course is of a similar length to Oakmont and also went through a restoration at the hands of Gil Hanse.

The course is tighter than Oakmont and the fairways are even more narrow. However, it is smartly bunkered, with thick bluegrass/ryegrass/poa annua rough; meanwhile, the large, slick poa greens and their surrounds are severely sloping, presenting a similarly difficult short-game challenge.

2022 US Open (The Country Club - Brookline)

The 2022 edition at Brookline could also be of use—another venue which has been renovated by Gil Hanse.

It provided players with a comparably demanding challenge off-the-tee in 2022, with the fairways—which are similar in width to Oakmont—protected by strategic bunkering and three-inch-thick bluegrass/ryegrass/poa rough. In addition, while the poa greens may be much smaller, they're heavily sloped, similarly well protected and speedy.

2025 Genesis Invitational/Farmers Insurance Open (Torrey Pines – South)

Onto regular PGA Tour stops now and it's fellow US Open host, Torrey Pines South that stood out. This exposed venue has narrow fairways protected by thick rough, strong bunkering and the poa annua greens are some of the toughest to putt on tour.

Genesis Invitational (Riviera Country Club)

Riviera is another classic major championship venue. It is a tree-lined course that features narrow fairways and moderate elevation changes throughout, as well as large, difficult and fast poa annua greens.

Memorial Tournament (Muirfield Village)

I feel form at Muirfield Village could also work here. The course has long been an informative pointer to major performers; with its similarly challenging and penal tee-to-green test, and emphasis on approaches from 175yds+, it fits the bill again at Oakmont.

TOURNAMENT TRENDS

• Nine of the last 10 winners had previously recorded a top-25 finish in the US Open.
• Nine of the last 10 winners had previously recorded a top-10 finish in a major; eight had a top five.
• Eight of the winners since 2015 picked up a top-25 finish in their three starts leading up to the event.
• Only three of the previous 10 winners had already won an event that calendar year.
• Nine of the last 10 winners had a PGA Tour victory to their name; seven had multiple victories.
• Beware backing debutants to win this event. 1913 winner Francis Ouimet was the last player to win the US Open on their first attempt.

THE FIELD

This week's US Open field features 48 of the world's top 50, headed by our first two major winners of the season: No. 1 Scottie Scheffler (PGA Championship) and No. 2 Rory McIlroy (The Masters).

Bryson DeChambeau returns to defend the title he won in such dramatic fashion in 2024, joined by 10 additional former winners: Wyndham Clark (2023), Matt Fitzpatrick (2022), Jon Rahm (2021), Gary Woodland (2019), Brooks Koepka (2018, 2017), Dustin Johnson (2016), Jordan Spieth (2015), Justin Rose (2013), Rory McIlroy (2011) and Lucas Glover (2009).

There are also spots for the 2024 US Senior Open winner Richard Bland; the 2024 US Amateur winner Jose Luis Ballester; the leading player on the Korn Ferry Tour last year, Matt McCarty; and as the top player from LIV not already exempt, Joaquin Niemann is also in the field.

Meanwhile, 13 final qualifiers took place around the world, from which 65 players booked their spot in this week's field. Notable among these are the names of six-time PGA Tour winner Marc Leishman; the de facto No. 1 amateur in the world—after Luke Clanton turned pro—Jackson Koivun; and look out for mid-amateur-come-dentist, Matt Vogt, who came through local qualifying in Washington.

US Open Golf Odds

SELECTIONS 

Market leaders: Scottie Scheffler 3/1, Bryson DeChambeau 15/2, Rory McIlroy 11/1, Jon Rahm 12/1, Xander Schauffele 18/1, Collin Morikawa 22/1

Scottie Scheffler has won three events in his last four starts by a combined margin of 17 shots. He now arrives at a course that sets up perfectly for him, especially in the likely conditions this week, and it would be a huge surprise if he wasn't heavily involved at the business end of this event.

He's hard to oppose at the top of the betting, against a group of market leaders of which there are question marks over most. Rory was dreadful last week in Canada; Rahm is playing better in the majors but is still yet to truly contend since joining LIV; Xander Schauffele is seriously struggling to find fairways; and Collin Morikawa continues to look brittle in contention.

However, there is one man who has been almost as impressive as Scheffler in the first two majors of the season, and also well-matched to the course and conditions this week, I'm taking Bryson DeChambeau to successfully defend his US Open title in Pennsylvania.

6 pts Bryson DeChambeau to win @ 15/2

Bryson's season took a little time to get going but he descends on Oakmont having finished inside the top five in each of his last six starts. This includes contending in both of the first two majors, finishing 5^th in The Masters and 2^nd in the PGA Championship; whilst in his last two starts on LIV he's won in Korea, and finished 4^th last week in Virginia.

The American is simply the best driver of the ball in the world right now and it's not even close. He's gained almost double the strokes that Rory McIlroy has with the club in 2025, matching that immense power with a greater level of accuracy. His putter remains a real asset, ranking inside the top 20 over those recent starts and he continues to show improvements around-the-greens, ranking 8^th in this field over the same period.

DeChambeau made his first US Open start as a professional at Oakmont in 2016, and finishing a hugely encouraging 15^th. He's continued to excel in the event, winning his maiden major championship at the potentially correlating Winged Foot in 2020, before reclaiming the title last year at Pinehurst No. 2. He can add his name to the illustrious list of just six players to win three US Open titles in Pennsylvania.

1 pt Jordan Spieth each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 55/1

Jordan Spieth has looked better than he has for quite some time thus far in 2025. I’ve been particularly encouraged by the return to form of his short game and if able to build on some better approach displays in recent weeks, he can catapult himself back into major contention at Oakmont.

Spieth has already more than doubled his top-20 tally from last season, recording seven so far in 2025. Four of those have resulted in top-10s, which includes bests of 4^th in the Phoenix Open and CJ CUP Byron Nelson, while he was 7^th in the Memorial Tournament when we last saw him.

He was at his best around-the-greens and off-the-tee there, ranking 11^th and 12^th respectively, and these have been the areas in which he’s excelled most this year, ranking 26^th OTT and 30^th ATG overall. He’s also found something in approach in the last two weeks, and though not quite back to his absolute best, the putter is behaving much better than in the previous three seasons.

Spieth has only recorded one top-10 finish in the US Open, but that did result in a victory at Chambers Bay in 2015. He went well at Oakmont in defence of that title the following year, finishing 37^th and with top-five finishes to his name across Riviera and Muirfield Village, he can work his short-game magic to claim a first major top 10 in two years.

1 pt Harris English each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 66/1

Harris English finished 2^nd for us a huge odds of 150/1 at the PGA Championship less than a month ago. He’s remained in good form in his starts since and as a player who has amassed an excellent US Open record in recent years, he’s worth taking again at Oakmont.

English won the fifth PGA Tour title of his career back in January in the Farmers Insurance Open and has only missed one cut in his next 11 starts. He’s gathered an additional six top-25 finishes, including strong performances in the first two majors, finishing 12^th in the Masters and then 2^nd at Quail Hollow. Whilst when we last saw him, he finished a promising 12^th at Muirfield Village.

He's gaining strokes right through the bag but is excelling on the greens, ranking 19^th. His combination of accuracy and reasonable power sees him rank 30^th in total driving and inside the top 50 off-the-tee; a ranking of 34^th in scrambling from the rough should also serve him well around this layout.

English finished a respectable 37^th at Oakmont in 2016 but has taken his US Open form to new levels in recent years: finishing 4^th at Winged Foot in 2020, 3^rd at Torrey Pines in 2021 and 8^th at Los Angeles Country Club in 2023. Additionally, his victory in the Farmers Insurance Open earlier this year shows he can win at a demanding championship venue with challenging poa annua greens.

1 pt Keegan Bradley each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 66/1

US Ryder Cup captain Keegan Bradley is playing the best tee-to-green golf of his career in 2025. He lands here after his strongest putting performance of the season in the Memorial Tournament, and having done most of his best work towards the East Coast, he looks primed to record a career-best US Open performance at Oakmont.

Bradley has missed just one cut in 13 starts this season and recorded eight top-20 finishes. A 5^th-place finish in the Arnold Palmer Invitational is his standout result of the season, and he has hit the top 10 in both of his last two starts, finishing 8^th in the PGA Championship and 7^th in the Memorial Tournament.

He ranked 5^th from tee-to-green at Quail Hollow, which is representative of his season as a whole, ranking 3^rd. He’s been at his most impressive in approach, ranking 14^th and he’s been particularly good from 175-200yds, ranking 26^th. Further rankings of 17^th in par 4 scoring, 19^th in total driving, 20^th around-the-greens and 27^th off-the-tee contribute to an exceptional statistical profile. And although the putter has been the weak spot, he gained +0.9 strokes a round on the greens at Muirfield Village—his best putting performance of the season.

Bradley missed the cut at Oakmont in 2016, but his game was in a far inferior place than it is currently. He’s a player who has recorded several top-five finishes at Torrey Pines and Riviera—including finishing 2^nd at both—as well as finishing 7^th at Brookline in the 2022 US Open. Having also won in Pennsylvania at Aronimink in the 2018 BMW Championship, he’s no stranger to tasting success in this state; the East Coast man can rely on that comfort factor this week.

1 pt Min Woo Lee each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 110/1

The challenges on and around these putting surfaces screams short-game wizard Min Woo Lee. He’s been erratic since earning his PGA Tour breakthrough in the Houston Open at the end of March, though he did look to have the long game under better control two weeks ago at Muirfield Village. If able to improve again on that this week, he’d be an ideal candidate to enjoy a successful week at Oakmont.

Min Woo collected six top-20 finishes over his first eight starts in 2025, culminating in that eventual one-shot win at Memorial Park. He’s struggled for form since, finishing no higher than 49^th in his last five start, largely due to wayward ball striking. However, there were signs that he had turned a corner in the Memorial Tournament, as he ranked top 25 in driving accuracy and 27^th in ball striking.

He possesses one of the sharpest short games in the field, ranking 13^th around-the-greens and 39^th in putting this season. His long irons are solid, ranking 61^st from 200yds+ and ranking 8^th on tour in driving distance, he has the ability to handle Oakmont if he can retain the control he showed with the driver last time out.

Lee has recorded a top-25 finish in each of the four majors, though it is in this one that he has excelled most, finishing 27^th at Brookline in 2022, 5^th at Los Angeles Country Club in 2023 and 21^st at Pinehurst last year. The severity of the challenge in these events clearly suits his style, and I’m taking him to produce another stellar US Open performance this week.

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