US Open Golf In-Play Betting Tips: 22/1 shot for final day

The 125^th US Open is underway at Oakmont Country Club, with Sam Burns leading the way heading into the final day, currently sat at four under.

Our golf tipster Jamie Worsley is back ahead of Sunday's action and you can check out his the US Open Golf In-play Betting Tips below.

After three gruelling rounds, we arrive at what should be an exciting Championship Sunday with an unexpected leaderboard at Oakmont Country Club. Now it's time to find out who has the mental strength to survive the final battle of this relentless war of attrition and be crowned champion of the 125^th edition of the US Open.

Leaderboard after round three:

1^st – Sam Burns (-4)

T2 – Adam Scott (-3)

T2 – J.J. Spaun (-3)

4^th – Viktor Hovland (-1)

5^th – Carlos Ortiz (E)

T6 – Tyrrell Hatton (+1)

T6 – Thriston Lawrence (+1)

8^th – Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen (+2)

T9 – Robert MacIntyre (+3)

T9 – Cam Young (+3)

Halfway leader Sam Burns held firm on day three, producing a fine approach display and excellence around-the-greens to shoot -1, maintaining his one-shot lead entering the final round. The pressure of leading after 36 holes is no match for what he’ll be feeling as the 54-hole leader heading into the final round of a major. It’s going to be fascinating to see how he handles the occasion today.

It's taken a commendable effort for first-round leader J.J. Spaun to stick around at the top of the leaderboard on such a demanding test, and he arrives at day four still just one back of the lead. However, he won’t be joining leader Burns in that final pairing today.

That honours falls to Adam Scott. He birdied three of his final six holes on Saturday to shoot 3-under-par—the joint-lowest round of the day—and climb to within one of the lead. The Aussie veteran has hit the ball superbly all week and it’s hard to imagine a more popular winner among today’s leading contenders, as he searches for a second major title that is sorely lacking from the C.V of a player who has remained at the top for such a long period.

Norwegian Viktor Hovland would be another likeable winner of what would be an expected major breakthrough, and he sits in solo 4^th, three off the lead. Meanwhile, Carlos Ortiz—who equalled Scott’s 67 yesterday—is perhaps the most surprising member of the top five, having never previously finished inside the top 50 in a major.

Tyrrell Hatton and Thriston Lawrence sit five back on +1 and just one shot further adrift on +2 is talented young Dane, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen. He recorded his second 69 of the week to move inside the top 10, giving himself a genuine chance to become the first player since Francis Ouimet in 1913 to win the US Open on debut.

Oakmont is a course that opens itself up to plenty of volatility and with a leaderboard lacking star power, I still wouldn’t entirely rule out those at +3 (seven back) and +4 (eight back). This includes Robert MacIntyre and Cam Young at +3, and despite being nowhere near his best, World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler enters the final round eight off the lead, and would no doubt set the leader’s hearts racing if he starts to ascend the leaderboard today.

SELECTIONS

The conditions for Sunday are similar to yesterday, though there is a threat of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Hopefully they stay away, enabling us to have an uninterrupted final round and potentially a slightly firmer course than yesterday.

Any hope of landing a winner from the pre-event selections has almost certainly gone, with Keegan Bradley (+5) and Jordan Spieth (+6) retaining slim hopes of nicking a place.

It doesn’t take much for a player’s week to begin to unravel at Oakmont, leaving itself open to quick and significant changes on the leaderboard. Indeed, Dustin Johnson made up a four-shot 54-hole deficit to win here in 2016, and two of the runners-up—Scott Piercy and Jim Furyk—each came from off the pace in the final round.

With that, I’ve dipped back into the outright market and selected two players who I believe can make up the required ground on the top three today.

2 pts Viktor Hovland to win @ 13/2

Viktor Hovland has been the best iron player in the field this week and having adapted to these greens in the last two rounds, he is well equipped to make a charge at the title from three back.

Though ranking as the best ball striker in the field on Thursday, Hovland shot a one-over 71 due to losing over three strokes on the greens. He’s followed that by gaining around 2.5 strokes with the putter in the following two rounds and remaining in excellent form from tee-to-green, ranking first, he’s advanced to fourth place on the leaderboard after rounds of 68 and 70.

The strength of his iron play should come as no surprise, as he ranks ninth on the PGA Tour this season. It has engineered much improved performances after a sluggish start to the season, following his win in the Valspar Championship with three top-25 finishes in his last five starts.

His first taste of major contention came in the 2022 Open Championship at St Andrews, where he entered the final round with a share of the lead before succumbing to a two-over 74 to slip to fourth. However, he’s fared much better when in the mix since then, shooting a 68 in the final round of the 2023 PGA Championship to finish second, and 66 in that same event last year to finish third.

With no Brooks Koepka or Xander Schauffele to contend with today, this presents a great opportunity for Hovland to make his major breakthrough.

1 pt Tyrrell Hatton each-way (1/3 2 places) @ 22/1

Tyrrell Hatton is a player who often thrives when the trophy is on the line. He hit the ball superbly on Saturday to move himself into sixth place, five off the lead and will be relishing the chance to make a run at winning a first major trophy today.

Hatton started the week with a three-over 73, where despite looking solid in approach and on the greens he was too erratic off the tee. He improved to shoot level par on Friday and was even better yesterday, firing a two-under 68, which was helped by an elite ball-striking display—ranking first in driving accuracy, second in approach, fifth in greens-in-regulation and seventh off-the-tee.

The Englishman won in Dubai at the start of the year, shooting three-under-par in the final round to beat 54-hole leader, Daniel Hillier by a shot. This was the perfect example of a player that is a brilliantly dogged competitor at the business end of events, and one who rarely wilts under most pressure.

Although that is something that Hatton has yet been unable to transfer to majors, he has never arrived this close to the lead before. On a leaderboard that should hold no fear, he’ll fancy his chances at making a strong push for the title at Oakmont today.

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