Turkish Airlines Open 2025 Tips: 125/1 shot one of six for DPWT

The DP World Tour is back in action this week for the start of its European Swing, as we return to Turkey for the first time since 2019, for the Turkish Airlines Open at Regnum Carya Golf Club.

As always, here is Jamie Worsley's comprehensive preview and his Turkish Airlines Open 2025 Tips. He's picked out six players ranging from 45/1 to 125/1!

TOURNAMENT HISTORY

The Turkish Airlines Open was first held in 2013 and remained on the schedule each year following that, until being cancelled in 2020 due to the pandemic. It stayed on hiatus until being revived this year, and returns to the 2016-2018 host of the event, Regnum Carya Golf Club.

Victor Dubuisson won the inaugural edition in 2013 and reclaimed the title in 2015 after Brooks Koepka’s 2014 victory. Thorbjorn Olesen then won the first renewal at this course in 2016, before Justin Rose recorded back-to-back wins here in 2017 and 2018.

Tyrrell Hatton is the most recent winner, coming out on top of a six-man playoff in 2019. Plenty has changed since and unsurprisingly, he doesn’t defend this week.

THE COURSE

Regnum Carya Golf Club was created by the Thomson, Perrett and Lobb design team, and opened for play in 2008. Aside from hosting those 2016-2018 editions of this event, it also staged the 2010 Turkish Airlines Challenge on the HotelPlanner Tour.

It has been seven years since we last saw this course on the DP World Tour, but things have remained largely the same barring the extra 61yds in length, taking this par 71 to 7220yds. It possesses 4x par 3s (172-228yds), 11x par 4s (375-505yds) and 3x par 5s (540-605yds).

This resort course is styled in the fashion of a traditional UK heathland course, with mounds of heather planted throughout; however, it rarely impedes on the playing lines. A forest of towering pine and eucalyptus trees frames the holes and there are several lakes around the venue, coming into play on eight holes in total.

The bermudagrass fairways start off generous but tighten up over the final six. They are smartly protected by large, deep bunkers, and though the trees don’t encroach on play too often, there are a few holes where they hug the fairways, warranting a more strategic approach off the tee. That being said, the rough is sparse and driving it straight hasn’t been an absolute necessity to contend here in the past.

The Large and undulating bentgrass greens are easy to find but getting it close is a challenge due to a number that are multi-tiered, which requires players to be at their most precise in approach.

They proved to be some of the toughest greens to putt on during the course’s previous stint as host of this event. With penal bunkers littering the perimeters – and many holes featuring run-off areas long that lead into tightly mown chipping zones – getting up and down is no simple task either.

Regnum Carya Golf Club is a fun and scoreable course but no pushover, shown by an average winning score of -18.33 from 2016-18.

Two of the par 5s are easily reachable for all in the field and there are a collection of attackable par 4s. This is balanced by some challenging par 4s on the back nine, including the 505yd 10th, and finishes with a trio in the mid-range, two of which have water in play—setting up a potentially dramatic conclusion.

THE WEATHER

The players couldn’t want for more appealing conditions this week, with bright, warm and clear weather predicted throughout. Combined with a lack of wind, there’s little on the forecast to trouble this week’s field.

KEY STATS

• SG: Approach

The greens were the most difficult aspect of play here in 2018 and 2017, and the best way to conquer them—both to limit the danger and create opportunities—is with high-class approach play.

Justin Rose excelled with his irons for each of his victories here, ranking 1^st in 2018 and 3^rd in 2017. Meanwhile, 2016 winner, Thorbjorn Olesen is also a player who can count approach play as one of his strengths.

• SG: Off-the-Tee/Driving Distance

Driving it well has also been key and it’s noticeable how many of the main contenders have possessed power off the tee. No doubt due to those wide fairways and lack of severe punishment for missing them.

Justin Rose ranked 2^nd off-the-tee when he walked away with the trophy in 2018, and he was also top 20 in driving distance. Whilst Haotong Li in 2^nd ranked 15^th in each area.

The driver was vital for Rose in 2017, as he ranked 6^th OTT and 15^th in driving distance. In addition, runners-up, Nicolas Colsaerts and Dylan Frittellii ranked 5^th and 8^th OTT respectively, and they were both in the top four in driving distance.

We can then head back to 2016 and find top-six finishers, Thorbjorn Olesen, Haotong Li, George Coetzee and Joakim Lagergren—all of whom are long off the tee.

• SG: Putting (bentgrass)
• Birdie Average

Though Rose was stronger with his ball striking, many of his nearest challengers relied on a strong putting week. This includes 3^rd-place finisher in 2018, Adrian Otaegui and 2017 runner-up, Nicolai Colsaerts each ranking 2^nd.

Furthermore, there are birdie chances at every corner and players will need to be at their birdie-making best to contend, especially with the conditions unlikely to add to the difficulty.

CORRELATING EVENTS (COURSES)

BMW International Open (Golfclub Munchen Eichenried)

I’m going to keep it light with just three comp courses this week, beginning with Golfclub Munchen Eichenried. This is another course that is tree-lined yet spacious, with predominantly generous fairways and large, undulating bentgrass greens.

Much like Carya Golf Club, it’s a fun, risk/reward test, with water in-play on seven holes and is often susceptible to low scoring.

Notable correlating form:

Haotong Li:

Turkey (2^nd, 2^nd) / BMW International (1^st)

David Horsey:

Turkey (2^nd) / BMW International (1^st)

Thomas Detry:

Turkey (3^rd) / BMW International (2^nd)

Bernd Wiesberger:

Turkey (4^th) / BMW International (4^th, 5^th)

George Coetzee:

Turkey (5^th) / BMW International (3^rd)

Kiradech Aphibarnrat:

Turkey (6^th) / BMW International (4^th)

Pablo Larrazabal:

Turkey (8^th) / BMW International (1^st, 1^st, 3^rd, 5^th)

BMW PGA Championship (Wentworth)

Next up is Wentworth. This is a densely tree-lined venue where players need to show strategy off the tee despite the mostly easy-to-find fairways, which is a result of clever bunkering and line of sight issues caused by the trees.

Its sloping bentgrass greens are usually protected by deep greenside bunkers, scoring is typically low, and water makes for several exciting risk/reward holes.

Notable correlating form:

Nicolas Colsaerts:

Turkey (2^nd) / BMW PGA (3^rd)

Thomas Detry:

Turkey (3^rd) / BMW PGA (5^th)

Lucas Bjerregaard:

Turkey (5^th) / BMW PGA (3^rd)

Kiradech Aphibarnrat:

Turkey (6^th) / BMW PGA (2^nd, 5^th)

Eddie Pepperell:

Turkey (6^th) / BMW PGA (6^th, 6^th)

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship

Although the exposed links courses used in the Dunhill Links wouldn’t be the most obvious comps for this tree-lined venue, these two events do play somewhat similar.

The fairways and greens in the Dunhill Links are some of the easiest to find on the DPWT, with the challenge on and around the putting surfaces rating as the most difficult aspect of play.

Notable correlating form:

Thorbjorn Olesen:

Turkey (1^st) / Dunhill Links (1^st, 2^nd)

Nicolas Colsaerts:

Turkey (2^nd) / Dunhill Links (2^nd)

Haotong Li:

Turkey (2^nd, 2^nd) / Dunhill Links (6^th, 7^th)

Bernd Wiesberger:

Turkey (4^th) / Dunhill Links (4^th, 7^th)

Lucas Bjerregaard:

Turkey (5^th) / Dunhill Links (1^st)

George Coetzee:

Turkey (5^th) / Dunhill Links (5^th)

Joakim Lagergren:

Turkey (6^th) / Dunhill Links (2^nd, 3^rd, 4^th, 4^th)

Kiradech Aphibarnrat:

Turkey (6^th) / Dunhill Links (4^th)

Eddie Pepperell:

Turkey (6^th) / Dunhill Links (7^th)

THE FIELD

We have no players from inside the world’s top 100 in attendance this week, with #108 John Parry the highest-ranked player in the field. He’s closely followed by Jordan Smith (#112) and Romain Langasque (#120).

The field may lack star power at the top, but it is deep, strengthened by several returning players who decided to skip the recent two-week stint in China. This includes breakout winners in 2025, Richard Mansell and Jacques Kruyswijk, along with players such as Guido Migliozzi, Joe Dean and the in-form Adrien Saddier.

Ryder Cup captain, Luke Donald makes a rare DPWT appearance and Danish veteran, Soren Kjeldsen is among the tournament invites, teeing it up on the tour for the first time in 2025.

Turkish Airlines Open Odds

SELECTIONS

Market leaders (1/4 5 places): Haotong Li 14/1, Jordan Smith 18/1, Wenyi Ding 22/1, Joost Luiten 28/1, Matthew Jordan 30/1

This is a tricky event to get a handle on. Haotong Li is a deserving favourite, having twice finished runner-up here and in good form. Among many market leaders who are hard to trust he was somewhat tempting at 14/1, but I don’t feel like there’s quite enough juice in the price for a player who can flip seamlessly between dialled in and erratic in an instant.

Instead, I’m going to bypass those at the top and start in the mid-range this week, with France’s Frederic LaCroix.

1.25 pts Frederic LaCroix each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 45/1

LaCroix’s high-class ball striking earned him a DP World Tour breakthrough in the Danish Golf Championship last year and although he’s had a light schedule so far this year, the positives have continued. He’s recorded two top 25s in five starts, the first of which came when 22^nd in Ras Al Khaimah and when we last saw him, he produced his best result since that win in Denmark in August last year, finishing 13^th in the Indian Open.

The Frenchman’s biggest weapon is the driver, with which he combines power and accuracy to rank 11^th off-the-tee this season. He’s also been strong in approach, ranking 28^th and as the 13^th most prolific birdie-maker, his stats stack up well for this challenge.

LaCroix was still an amateur when the DPWT last visited Carya Golf Club in 2018. Although, his positive record at Golfclub Munchen Eichenried, where he’s finished 10^th and 20^th in the last three years, bodes well for his chances of performing on debut.

1 pt Jacob Skov Olesen each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 55/1

Jacob Skov Olesen has been pushed out considerably in price after a missed cut last time out in the Hainan Classic. This feels like an overreaction for a talented player who finished inside the top 10 in his previous two events.

The Dane has made just 11 starts on the DPWT after turning pro last year, following an amateur career that saw him win the 2024 Amateur Championship and reach #12 in the rankings.

He’s recorded four top 10s across those starts, two of which came last year when 5^th in the Danish Championship and 9^th in the Mauritius Open. The next two came this year only two and three starts ago, as he finished 7^th in the Joburg Open and 8^th in the China Open, before missing the cut in Hainan on his latest start.

Olesen possesses little in the way of weakness, gaining strokes in each area in this rookie season and with a ceiling higher than most in the field, he looks of great value this week.

1 pt Joe Dean each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 70/1

We haven’t seen Joe Dean since he recorded disappointing back-to-back missed cuts in Singapore and India in March. However, I’m hoping that mini-break will have done him some good after an intensified last 12 months and as a strong ball striker, he should enjoy what he finds in Turkey.

Dean began the year well, making each of his first four cuts and prior to heading to Singapore, he’d finished 5^th in the Ras Al Khaimah Championship, 13^th in the Bahrain Championship and 28^th in the Kenya Open. He missed the cut there after a disastrous opening round and again failing to make the weekend in India the following week, he’ll be desperate to respond here.

He excelled with his driver last year and it has been no different in 2025, as he ranks 30^th OTT and at 14^th in driving distance, he has that explosiveness many past contenders here possessed. The irons have also looked sound, ranking 58^th in approach and sitting among the top-40 birdie-makers on tour, he has an attractive profile for Carya Golf Club.

Dean has little comp form to dive into, but he has encouragingly made the cut on each start in the BMW PGA Championship and BMW International Open. He’s proven adept at performing on a variety of setups and if the long game is in order, the Englishman can perform just about anywhere.

1 pt Dylan Frittelli each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 70/1

Dylan Frittelli has gone closer to winning here than almost every other player in this week’s field. If we ignore his latest effort in the Corales Puntacana Championship, this one-time PGA Tour and three-time DPWT winner had looked bright at the start of this year, and he stands out in price among and above far less-proven players.

Frittelli finished 10^th in the Dubai Desert Classic on his first start of the year and after four following efforts that were more subdued, he sprung back into life in the Joburg Open, finishing 4^th, and missing out on a playoff by one shot. He again looked good when we next saw him in Singapore, finishing 28^th, but he was way off the pace when missing the cut in the Corales Puntacana. Something he’ll need to respond to in Turkey.

I’m confident he can do that here, as the big-hitter has been dialled in with his irons this year, ranking 23^rd. However, perhaps the biggest encouragement can be found in the progress he’s made on the greens, ranking 56^th this season as opposed to 166^th in 2024.

Frittelli finished 2^nd on his only previous visit to this course in 2017, coming up just one-shot shy of eventual winner, Justin Rose. Meanwhile, that solo PGA Tour win in the John Deere Classic came on a similarly spacious, tree-lined course with bentgrass greens.

1 pt Dan Bradbury each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 80/1

Dan Bradbury has done little of note this year. That being said, there were some positive signs on his most recent start in Singapore and as a two-time tour winner who excels with his ball striking, he is an appealing price on a layout that should suit.

Bradbury’s second DPWT win came in the Open de France towards the end of last year, but he hasn’t built on that as yet in 2025, missing four of seven cuts and recording a best of 32^nd in Bahrain. However, he looked decent over the first couple of rounds in Singapore, sitting just four off the lead entering the third and final round, and was strong off-the-tee and on the greens.

Indeed, the driver has been his most consistent club since turning pro, ranking 33^rd this season. His irons haven’t been as strong as they were in 2024, when he ranked 9^th, but he’s still been solid enough overall and as a player who has recorded each of his wins on bentgrass/bentgrass-mix greens, he should find the putting surfaces at Carya Golf Club to his liking.

1 pt Jordan Gumberg each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 125/1

Jordan Gumberg has been super-consistent in 2025 and arriving in Turkey after one of his strongest approach performances of the season on his latest start, he looks the pick of those at three figures this week.

Gumberg’s breakthrough victory in the SDC Championship last year was the only sign of life in a sea of missed cuts. However, despite not winning this year, the level of performance has been far better overall. He’s missed just three cuts in 11 starts and recorded three top-20 finishes, the latest of which came when 16^th in the Hainan Classic two weeks ago.

The American ranked 19^th in approach there, which was a marked improvement on his previous start in the China Open. Although not packed with power, his accuracy is a real asset off-the-tee, ranking 45^th this season and as a top-25 green-hitter who has risen from 180^th to 77^th with the putter from last season to this, I expect him to be a lively contender on this first trip to Carya Golf Club.

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