The Open Championship 2024 Tips: Jamie’s six picks for Royal Troon

 | Monday 15th July 2024, 17:09pm

Monday 15th July 2024, 17:09pm

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The Open is the headline event this week in the world of golf. The final major of the year gets underway at Royal Troon, which was the venue for the epic finish between Henrik Stenson and Phil Mickelson back in 2016.

Our golf tipster Jamie Worsley is back with his in-depth preview and he's picked out six players to consider backing each-way as he takes us through his The Open Championship 2024 Tips.

The Open Championship 2024 Betting Tips

  • 4 pts Xander Schauffele each-way (1/5 - 10 places) @ 12/1
  • 1.25 pts Cameron Smith each-way (1/5 - 10 places) @ 40/1
  • 1.25 pts Tom Kim each-way (1/5 - 10 places) @ 40/1
  • 1 pt Sungjae Im each-way (1/5 - 10 places) @ 60/1
  • 1 pt Wyndham Clark each-way (1/5 - 10 places ) @ 66/1
  • 1 pt Mackenzie Hughes each-way (1/5 - 10 places) @ 300/1

*Please click on the linked odds above to add this selection directly to your betslip on betfred.com (or app).

Golf Odds

The 2024 men’s major season reaches its climax this week, with the 152nd Open Championship at Royal Troon Golf Club.

After Robert MacIntyre’s spectacularly dramatic late win in last week’s Scottish Open, as he gained redemption for being narrowly defeated by Rory McIlroy 12 months ago, excitement for this final major of the year is sky high.

It all started with the irresistible-force that is Scottie Scheffler, waltzing to victory at Augusta in April. Which was then followed by a surreal week – largely due to off-the-course incidents – at Valhalla Golf Club in the PGA Championship, as arguably the best modern player without a major, Xander Schauffele, finally shook that tag.

Most recently, Bryson DeChambeau came out on top in a sensational renewal of the US Open at the magnificent Pinehurst No.2, heartbreakingly denying Rory McIlroy a long-awaited fifth major title.

That will surely be a tough act to follow, but the history, magic and uniqueness of the Open Championship is unmatched, and I’m looking forward to what should be an amazing week in Ayrshire.

TOURNAMENT HISTORY

Held for the first time in 1860, The Open Championship is the oldest golf tournament in the world and always played on links courses, requires players to excel in the most natural form of the game. Since 1872, the reward for winning the title – aside from being crowned as the Champion Golfer of The Year – has been the famous and highly-coveted Claret Jug.

Willie Park Sr. was the inaugural Open Championship winner, beating a field of just eight players at Prestwick Golf Club – host of the first twelve editions of the tournament. It wasn’t until the 1901 edition at Muirfield that the event welcomed a field of over 100 players for the first time.

Scotland’s James Braid took home the spoils in that edition and he is one of four players to have recorded five victories (1901, 1905, 1906, 1908, 1910) in The Open Championship. England’s J.H. Taylor (1894, 1895, 1900, 1909, 1913) quickly followed, recording the final of his quintet of victories in 1913 and they have since been succeeded by Peter Thomson of Australia (1954, 1955, 1956, 1958, 1965) and Tom Watson (1975, 1977, 1980, 1982, 1983).

Watson was prevented from winning what would’ve been a record-equalling sixth victory in 2009 by Stewart Cink in a playoff at Turnberry. A win that would’ve also made him the oldest major winner in history at 59-years-old.

That defeat for Watson meant that Harry Vardon’s record of six wins, which came in 1896, 1898, 1899, 1903, 1911 and 1914, is still unbroken and will likely stand for many more years to come.

Last five winners:

  • 2023 (Hoylake) – Winner: Brian Harman (-13); runners-up: Jason Day, Tom Kim, Jon Rahm, Sepp Straka (-7)
  • 2022 (St Andrews) – Winner: Cameron Smith (-20); runner-up: Cameron Young (-19)
  • 2021 (Royal St George’s) – Winner: Collin Morikawa (-15); runner-up: Jordan Spieth (-13)
  • 2019 (Royal Portrush) – Winner: Shane Lowry (-15); runner-up: Tommy Fleetwood (-9)
  • 2018 (Carnoustie) – Winner: Francesco Molinari (-8); runners-up: Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, Xander Schauffele, Kevin Kisner (-6)

Brian Harman produced an exceptional display in last year’s edition in Liverpool, dominating the event from the second round onwards to run out an emphatic six-shot winner. The diminutive American looks to become the first player since Padraig Harrington in 2008 to successfully defend the Claret Jug in Troon this week.

THE COURSE

Only 14 courses have hosted The Open Championship and it’s the turn of Royal Troon Golf Club’s Old Course for the 10th occasion this week.

It is the first time we’ve seen the course since the incredible duel between Henrik Stenson and Phil Mickelson in 2016. The two players occupied the top two positions after the second round and never looked back, separating themselves from third place by an incredible 11 shots, with the Swede eventually shooting -20 to run out a three-shot winner over Mickelson for his first and only major success.

Previous Open Championships at Royal Troon:

  • 2016 – Winner: Henrik Stenson (-20); runner-up: Phil Mickelson (-17)
  • 2004 – Winner: Todd Hamilton (-10, playoff); runner-up: Ernie Els (-10)
  • 1997 – Winner: Justin Leonard (-12); runners-up: Darren Clarke, Jesper Parnevik (-9)
  • 1989 – Winner: Marc Calcavecchia (-13, playoff); runners-up: Wayne Grady, Greg Norman (-13)
  • 1982 – Winner: Tom Watson (-4); runners-up: Peter Oosterhuis, Nick Price (-3)
  • 1973 – Winner: Tom Weiskopf (-12); runners-up: Neil Coles, Johnny Miller (-9)
  • 1962 – Winner: Arnold Palmer (-12); runner-up: Kel Nagle (-6)
  • 1950 – Winner: Bobby Locke (-1); runner-up: Roberto De Vicenzo (+1)
  • 1923 – Winner: Arthur Havers (295); runner-up: Walter Hagen (296)

Royal Troon’s Old Course was established in 1878 by Charlie Hunter – the greenkeeper at nearby Prestwick Golf Club – and extended to 18 holes by 1888, with George Strath and Willie Fernie both contributing. It was then redesigned by James Braid prior to it staging its first Open Championship in 1923 and in more recent years we’ve seen the Mackenzie and Ebert design team tweak the setup, both prior to 2016 and this year’s renewals.

Among the changes this year are nine new tee positions, two bunkers added to the sixth hole and a further 22 yards added to that par five to stretch it out to 623 yards, making it the longest hole in Open Championship history.

Due to several other holes being lengthened, the course will play at close to 200-yards longer than it did in 2016, with this par 71 now measuring 7385 yards. It possesses 11x par 4s (366-502 yards), 4x par 3s (123-242 yards) and 3x par 5s (572-623 yards).

Located on the west coast of Scotland, where the opening six holes sit adjacent the Ayrshire coastline, Royal Troon is one of the fairer Open Championship courses on the rotation, but nonetheless, a demanding one.

Whilst the fairways are generally wide, they can be made to feel narrower due to many being placed at an angle to the tee position. Littered with pot bunkers, plenty of which are deep, penal and easily found with an unlucky bounce on the firm, undulating ground, they’re not too simple to find. With thick fescue covering the dunes and patches of dense gorse bushes, which will often result in an instant penalty, they are very well protected.

The majority of the predominantly bentgrass greens are small and surrounded by punishingly deep and vertical-faced bunkers. Many of which sit to the front of the sloping putting surfaces. As with most links courses, the undulations continue into the green surrounds and will require plenty of imagination to get up-and-down, with both putter and wedge getting a severe work out.

There are many recognisable holes at Royal Troon but none more so than the eighth, named the “Postage Stamp”. This diminutive 123-yard par 3 features a long but incredibly narrow green – the smallest on the course – which is protected by five bunkers. With an elevated tee, the often strong headwind can cause havoc and despite potentially playing at sub-100 yards this week, players will be happy to card four pars by Sunday evening.

Royal Troon always provides a demanding test and players shouldn’t be led into a false sense of security by Henrik Stenson’s -20 winning score from 2016, as he and Phil Mickelson finished the week as the only players at double digits under par. Of course, as with all links tests, the severity of the challenge will depend on the conditions and they look set to be a factor this week.

THE WEATHER

The weather is forecast to be dry and relatively warm at the start of the week, before some showers arrive on Wednesday.

The tournament is currently predicted to be bookended by pleasant conditions, with warm, dry and breezy weather set for Thursday and Sunday. The middle rounds look likely to be the most challenging, with players having to contend with rain and gusty 30mph+ winds.

As always, we should approach these pre-event forecasts with caution. They can change quickly, especially by the coast and it would be sensible to prepare for all eventualities this week.

KEY STATS

  • SG: Approach
  • Greens-in-Regulation

Whilst all links courses have their similarities, they also possess many nuanced differences and though the short game is often a key component, I feel it’s iron play that will have the biggest bearing on the result this week.

These small greens will be tough to hit in the breezy conditions and with the dangers that await around them, including the unlucky, bad lies you always get on links courses, even the strongest short-game players will have a difficult time getting it up-and-down.

It is an area in which our top-two last time, Henrik Stenson and Phil Mickelson, have excelled throughout much of their respective careers and I expect similarly high-class approach players to fare well this week.

  • SG: Around-the-Greens
  • Scrambling

Naturally, the combination of small greens and potentially troublesome winds may result in low greens-in-regulation numbers this week. Therefore, the short game is bound to be called upon.

Phil Mickelson’s short game needs little introduction and many others near the top end of that 2016 leaderboard were/are at least solid in this area: Steve Stricker, Tyrrell Hatton and JB Holmes to name a few.

  • SG: Off-the-tee
  • Driving Distance

With generous, strategically-bunkered fairways, strong and long drivers of the ball look favoured, especially with that additional length that has been found for this year’s renewal.

Henrik Stenson was one of the strongest drivers around when winning this and still pretty long. The same can very much be said about other top contenders, such as JB Holmes, Rory McIlroy and Sergio Garcia.

  • SG: Putting (bentgrass)

Though that 2016 leaderboard was full of somewhat unreliable putters, it can only be a positive to find players who have strong stats putting bentgrass greens.

  • Par 4 Scoring

Finally, with a tough set of par 3s and a trio of reasonably lengthy par 5s, it’s the par 4s that look the most important holes this week. We start off with a trio at under 400 yards on the front nine, which should all provide good opportunities to hit a wedge close and whilst there are a few similar scoring chances throughout the rest of the course, they toughen up on the back nine, with the 498-yard 11th and 502-yard 15th particularly difficult.

TOURNAMENT TRENDS

  • High-quality Open Championship form is usually a necessity, with nine of the last 10 winners having a previous top-20 in the event and eight recording a top-10. Collin Morikawa is the one outlier here, winning on debut in 2021.
  • Top-class major form in general is a must. Each of the last 10 Open Championship winners had a major finish of at least second under their belt, whilst half of those were already major champions.
  • Lead in-form is very important, with nine of the last 10 winners recording a top-10 in the three starts prior to winning The Open; eight had finished top-three.
  • Having recent winning form is hugely beneficial. Eight of the winners since 2013 had already recorded a win earlier in the year.
  • Finally, this is not an event for players to experience their first elite-level victory. Each of the last 10 winners had PGA Tour wins to their name, with eight those holding multiple PGA Tour-sanctioned victories.

CORRELATING EVENTS

Links golf is the least-played version of the pro game and as such, can often take a bit of getting used to. As shown by the strong previous Open Championship form of recent winners, it’s tough to win this oldest of majors without some good form in the event and any previous form in The Open is obviously a huge plus this week.

However, that is just one event a year and we’ll need to cast our eyes a little further afield to find a higher volume of comp form.

Whilst setup and conditions won’t quite be up to the standard of an Open Championship, there are several events that take place on links setups on the DP World Tour. The most obvious of these are the Scottish Open, which has been played on links courses since 2011 and the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship – a pro-am event played on three of the most renowned links courses in Scotland: The Old Course at St Andrews, Carnoustie and Kingsbarns.

Though not all editions of the Irish Open are played on links courses, several have been, most recently in 2015 and then from 2017-2019. In addition, Hillside Golf Club has hosted two events since 2019, the 2022 Cazoo Classic and 2019 British Masters, and though not strictly a links course, the Torrance Course at Fairmont St Andrews, previous host of the Hero Open on the DPWT, is an exposed links-like layout in Scotland.

Sticking with the DPWT for further linksy setups and the Qatar Masters at the open, exposed and sandy Doha Golf Club has long been an event in which strong Open Championship performers have gone well. This includes two-time Open Champion, Ernie Els and 1999 winner, Paul Lawrie being past champions there in the Middle East.

Staying in that part of the world, Yas Links, host of the Abu Dhabi Championship since 2022, is also worth a look and I’d also consider having a glance at the KLM Open in the Netherlands, which has been played on linksy, exposed courses for several years.

With the best players in the world calling the PGA Tour their home, we should also look towards some events in the U.S.

The Cognizant Classic at PGA National is easily the most appealing of the courses out there. Former Open Championship winners, Rory McIlroy, Ernie Els and Padraig Harrington have all won there; as has last year’s Open Championship runner-up, Sepp Straka; whilst links-lovers, Shane Lowry and Tommy Fleetwood also have positive experience of this open, exposed and often windy coastal course.

2012 and 2021 PGA Championship host, Kiawah Island has a linksy feel and has seen Open Championship winners, Rory McIlroy and Phil Mickelson win in those respective years.

Liberty National, which hosted the 2009 & 2013 Barclays, as well as the 2019 & 2021 Northern Trust is another linksy, exposed setup.

Finally, I wonder if it may be worth checking in on our latest major, the US Open at Pinehurst, for help. With it’s firm, sandy and undulating ground, along with the generous fairways and tough-to-hit greens, it has much in common with links setups.

THE FIELD

World number one Scottie Scheffler returns to action following a four-week break after winning the Travelers Championship, topping a field that includes 49 of the world’s top-50.

It is a field that contains 19 previous winners. Our defending champion, Brian Harman is the most recent of those; he is joined by three-time winner, Tiger Woods (2000, 2005, 2006) and two-time winners, Padraig Harrington (2008, 2007) and Ernie Els (2002, 2012).

There are several other ways of getting into The Open Championship.

The Open Qualifying Series saw spots up for grabs in 12 events which covered 10 different countries worldwide, from South Africa to Japan. We saw Adam Scott play his way into the event in Australia at the end of 2023, and the final spots were up for grabs in last week’s Scottish Open, which were snapped up by Aaron Rai and Richard Mansell of England, along with Sweden’s Alex Noren.

There were also 16 spots on offer across four Final Qualifying events that took place around the UK, featuring players from all over the world. Former world number one and 2013 US Open winner, Justin Rose, earned one of four spots at Burnham & Berrow and Matthew Southgate came through qualifying at Royal Cinque Ports for the fifth time.

As always, there’s a strong amateur presence at The Open, which includes the winner of this year’s Amateur Championship, Denmark’s Jacob Skov Olesen; European Amateur champion, Tommy Morrison of the USA; and world number one amateur, Gordon Sargent will make his Open debut this week.

SELECTIONS

Market leaders: Scottie Scheffler 5/1, Rory McIlroy 15/2, Ludvig Aberg 11/1, Xander Schauffele 12/1, Bryson DeChambeau 14/1, Collin Morikawa 16/1

Scottie Scheffler returns from a four-week absence and is immediately installed as favourite. That lack of preparation, coupled with this being the major he has enjoyed least success in so far – although he’s hardly performed poorly – means he’s easy to oppose this week.

The same goes for Rory McIlroy at 15/2 despite his promising return in the Scottish Open last week, and with Ludvig Aberg making his Open Championship debut, he’s given a swerve.

There is a clear pick from the top of the betting for me and 10 years since Rory McIlroy recorded the Open Championship/PGA Championship double in the same year – with the PGA win coming at Valhalla – I’m taking this year’s PGA Championship winner in Kentucky, Xander Schauffele to complete the same double this week.

*You can get all the up to date and live The Open Championship 2024 Odds over on betfred.com

4 pts Xander Schauffele each-way (1/5 - 10 places) @ 12/1

Following an excellent start to the year, where he’d made his first 11 cuts and recorded eight top-10s (five of which were top-five's) Schauffele finally made his major breakthrough with a win in the PGA Championship. Shooting a final-round 65 to beat Bryson DeChambeau by one stroke.

It was a win long in the making, as a player who had six top-five finishes in majors to his name, including when runner-up in the 2018 Open Championship and 2019 Masters.

Schauffele hasn’t slipped since that victory, finishing seventh at the Memorial Tournament, eighth in the US Open, and top-15 in the Travelers Championship and Scottish Open on his last four starts.

This strong all-rounder has no obvious weaknesses, ranking second on tour in strokes-gained total this season. The iron play is an especially big asset, ranking fifth in approach and 11th in greens-in-regulation, whilst his combination of power and a decent level of accuracy makes him the 12th-best driver on tour.

The short game is just as impressive, ranking first in scrambling and 10th in putting, and sitting second on the PGA Tour in par 4 scoring, he is a perfect candidate statistically.

His chances this week are improved by a good links record. He’s made the cut in each of his six Open Championship appearances and finished 26th-or-better in five of them, with his runner-up finish behind Francesco Molinari at Carnoustie in 2018 the standout effort. This record is further enhanced by a win in the 2022 Scottish Open.

Schauffele has long looked not only like a player who could win a major, but one who can win multiple. No doubt relieving some pressure after his win in the PGA Championship, he looks a very attractive prospect for success this week.

1.25 pts Cameron Smith each-way (1/5 - 10 places) @ 40/1

Baring Bryson DeChambeau, LIV golfers have largely underwhelmed in this year’s majors. However, Cameron Smith did finish top-10 at The Masters and made the cut in the other two. Now coming to the most suitable of the four - as shown by his 2022 victory at St Andrews – and following a couple of decent results on the spin on LIV, I’m taking him to finish the 2024 major season well.

Smith has always been a player who can blow hot and cold, and that is the story of his 2024 season so far. He first sprung into life in Singapore, finishing second and followed with a sixth-place finish at Augusta two starts later. Another runner-up finish soon followed in Hong Kong, though he failed to follow up on that in the PGA Championship and after finishing in the bottom five in Houston, he produced a solid if unspectacular 33rd-place finish in the US Open. Before two further top-10s in Nashville and at Valderrama on his two latest LIV starts.

The Aussie’s electric short game has been on show at each of the three majors so far, though he initially struggled in approach. He put that right in the US Open in eye-catching fashion, ranking 14th and I’m hoping he can step up on that this week.

His driving is, as usual, the only concern and he appears to have lost a little bit of length this year. Though we do have plenty of evidence that he can overcome this deficiency in his game, such is his quality in other areas.

After missing the cut on his Open Championship debut and finishing 78th the year after, he was slow to get going in this event, although he has improved markedly over his next four starts. His 2022 victory is obviously the standout but he’s finished no worse than 33rd since 2019, when he recorded his first top-20 in this event.

Smith has plenty of strong coastal form from the PGA Tour to boot, including a win in a windy Sony Open in 2020, a runner-up finish at Liberty National in 2021 and a fourth-place finish in the RSM Classic later that same year. Growing up playing the Sandbelt in Australia, he is accustomed to firm, sandy courses, which can help him become a two-time Open Champion this week.

1.25 pts Tom Kim each-way (1/5 - 10 places) @ 40/1

Tom Kim appears to have developed a real taste for links golf in his short career and following some good recent form, where all areas of his game appear to be clicking, he can go one better than his runner-up finish in 2023 this week.

Kim has only missed three cuts in 20 starts this year but much of his early-season form was uninspiring, recording just four top-25s across his first 14 starts. Though he has been much livelier over his last six.

He achieved his first top-five of the season in Canada, finishing fourth and after a decent showing when 26th in the US Open, he performed excellently in the Travelers Championship, losing out to Scottie Scheffler in a play-off. A surprise missed cut followed that but he bounced back in Scotland last week, finishing 15th thanks to a final-round 64.

Kim wasn’t necessarily playing poorly at the start of the season, he did most things well, just struggled to put it all together at the same time. That is something he has rectified in recent weeks and enters this week ranking 12th in strokes-gained total over his last 20 rounds.

He ranks 15th tee-to-green over that same time period and has been especially impressive with driver, ranking 20th; which is helped by the length he’s gained this year. As a strong iron player with a competent short game, he’s a player who can perform just about anywhere, as he’s shown in the UK in recent years.

Kim made the cut on his Open debut in 2022, finishing 47th and followed with that excellent runner-up finish last year, all whilst dealing with a sprained ankle. Possessing finishes of third, sixth and 15th in his three Scottish Open appearances, his links form is impeccable and I’m expecting him to add to them this week to become the first Asian golfer to win the Claret Jug.

1 pt Sungjae Im each-way (1/5 - 10 places) @ 60/1

If Kim can’t complete that feat, I wonder if compatriot, Sungjae Im could. He’s been in excellent form since a confidence-gaining win at home on the Korean Tour and as a player who may well just be getting the hang of the links, judging by his improved Open Championship performance last year and last week’s fourth in the Scottish Open, he could make some noise this week.

Despite starting the year with a fifth-place finish in Hawaii, Sungjae struggled throughout much of the opening four months of the season. Across his first 12 starts he missed four cuts and recorded just four finishes inside the top-30.  Though he’s been a different player since winning in Korea in the last week of April.

He’s played eight times across that period and recorded five top-10s. His best effort came when third in the Travelers Championship but he has hit the top-five a couple more times, finishing fourth at Quail Hollow in the Wells Fargo Championship and at The Renaissance Club last week.

The Korean has been driving it well and showing that typically excellent touch around-the-greens for much of the season, as shown by his rankings of 30th and 23rd in each of those respective areas. The putter and irons are now starting to catch up, which is why we’ve seen those improved results, and as a top-20 par 4 scorer, there’s little to dislike about his statistical profile.

Following missing the cut on his Open Championship debut in 2019, he didn’t go much better in 2022, finishing 81st. However, his form in the event took a massive jump last year when finishing 20th and that fourth last week only franks the opinion that he’s now more at home on this type of course.

As a past winner of the Cognizant Classic, Sungjae carries a handy piece of U.S-based comp form for this challenge and having missed the cut in the previous three majors this year, he’ll be determined to make his mark this week.

1 pt Wyndham Clark each-way (1/5 - 10 places ) @ 66/1

Just as I was starting to lose patience with Wyndham Clark, he produced a scintillating final round in last week’s Scottish Open to record another good finish in this part of the world. It is part of a book of comp form that suggests he may just have the assets to conquer this grand old tournament and at a tasty each-way price, I’ve been tempted into giving the 2023 US Open winner another shot this week.

Clark’s season has been a little in-and-out but after Scottie Scheffler, he was arguably the form player on tour early on; winning at Pebble Beach and recording second-place finishes in THE PLAYERS Championship and Arnold Palmer Invitational, whilst an understandable missed cut on his Masters debut was followed by a third-place finish I the RBC Heritage.

He did hit a poor run of form following that; finishing down the field in 47th in defence of his Wells Fargo Championship title; missing the cut in the PGA Championship and Memorial Tournament; before never looking a contender when finishing 56th as the defending US Open champ. Although, he’s shown no shortage of fighting spirit on his last two starts, bouncing back from that poor run of form with top-10s in the Travelers Championship and Scottish Open.

Both of those efforts have been engineered, in part, by a return to some kind of form with his irons, similar to how he’d played in his breakthrough year in 2023 and at the beginning of 2024. Indeed, he struggled in approach over the first two rounds in Scotland but got better as the week went on and ranked third in approach in the fourth round, which helped him to a superb closing 8-under 62.

As a strong putter, ranking 16th and typically excellent (and lengthy) off-the-tee, ranking 26th, this top-20 par 4 scorer now has all of the necessary areas of his game clicking once again.

Clark wasn’t anywhere near the player he is now when finishing 76th on his Open debut in 2022 and he improved significantly on that last year, finishing 33rd. With a Scottish Open record that reads: 16-25-10, along with top-10s at PGA National and in the RSM Classic, his comp form for this major is rock-solid and I’m hoping he can make up for a disappointing major campaign so far with a good closing effort this week.

1 pt Mackenzie Hughes each-way (1/5 - 10 places) @ 300/1

With so many places on offer this week, it does feel like we can chance someone at huge odds and having finished sixth in 2021, I wonder if Mackenzie Hughes’ incredible short game could put him near the top of the leaderboard this week.

Hughes is having his most consistent season on tour up to this point. He’s missed just four of 18 cuts and recorded three top-10s, which came when third in the Valspar Championship, sixth in the Wells Fargo Championship and seventh in the Canadian Open.

He comes into this after an encouraging performance in Scotland, sitting in 11th spot at the halfway point and 19th heading into the final round, before a closing 72 saw him slip down to 46th position.

It will come as no surprise to see the short game doing a lot of the hard work in that result, areas in which he ranks eighth in putting, 17th in scrambling and 19th around-the-greens this season. That being said, he’s driving the bell better than he has for several years and had been relatively accurate prior to last week. Whilst the iron play can be a little in-and-out, he is capable of strong rounds in the area, we just need the short game to help us out when he’s not quite firing, which it often does.

That high-class short game drags many less-than-stellar ball-strikers to quality performances in this event and that was certainly the case for Hughes when recording a sixth-place finish in 2021. As a winner and multiple-time runner-up in the RSM Classic, as well as possessing a second-place finish at PGA National, Hughes ticks two of the strongest comp form boxes in the US and should relish it if the wind blows at Royal Troon this week.

The open offer 10 places

You can find all Jamie's latest Golf Betting Tips over on our dedicated golf Insights hub.

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