Rolex Grand Final 2025 Betting Tips: Tour card time in Mallorca

In the absence of the DP World Tour this week, it’s the players of the HotelPlanner Tour that take centre-stage in Europe. With so much on the line – not least those 20 DP World Tour cards on offer for the top-ranked on the Road to Mallorca – it’s sure to be a nervy and intense week in Mallorca, as players head to Club de Golf Alcanada for the Rolex Grand Final.

As always, our golf tipster Jamie Worsley is here with his long-read preview of the event and has picked out three players to back each-way this week. Check out Jamie's thoughts and his Rolex Grand Final 2025 Betting Tips below...

*You can bet on the tournament and check out the latest Rolex Grand Final Odds over on betfred.com

TOURNAMENT HISTORY 

The Rolex Grand Final was first held in 1995 and has remained on the HotelPlanner Tour (Challenge Tour) schedule since.

Open to the top 45 players on the Road to Mallorca, this is where the race for a DP World Tour card finally concludes, with the top 20 in those rankings at the end of this week earning their spot on the main tour next season.

Last five winners:

• 2024 (Club de Golf Alcanada)

Winner: Kristoffer Reitan (-23)

Runners-up: Angel Ayora, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen (-22)

• 2023 (Club de Golf Alcanada)

Winner: Marco Penge (-10)

Runner-up: Tom Vaillant (-4)

• 2022 (Club de Golf Alcanada)

Winner: Nathan Kimsey (-9)

Runners-up: Bryce Easton, John Parry (-8)

• 2021 (T-Golf & Country Club)

Winner: Marcus Helligkilde (-8)

Runners-up: Julien Brun, Ricardo Gouveia, Frederic LaCroix, Yannik Paul (-7)

• 2020 (T-Golf & Country Club)

Winner: Ondrej Lieser (-11)

Runners-up: Christofer Blomstrand, Alexander Knappe, Santiago Tarrio (-10)

THE COURSE

Club de Golf Alcanada was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jnr and opened for play in 2003. It underwent an extensive renovation of its greens in 2018 prior to hosting this event for the first time in 2019, and it has been the exclusive home of the tournament since 2022.

The course measures 7128 yards and will play as a par 72 this week. It possesses 4x par 3s (171-233 yards), 10x par 4s (289-476 yards), and 4x par 5s (501-633 yards).

Located at the northwest corner of the island of Mallorca, the test at Club de Golf Alcanada can be heavily impacted by the wind. We've seen it cause serious problems in 2022 and 2023, with winning scores of -9 and -10, but Kristoffer Reitan took it apart in more benign conditions last year, shooting 23-under-par to claim the trophy.

This hilly layout alternates between exposed seaside holes and those that are strikingly framed with pine and olive trees. There are frequent and often dramatic elevation changes, which predominantly come downhill off the tee, and uphill on approach.

The sloping fairways are average in width overall, some narrow and others generous, and they provide players with a varied driving challenge. There are holes that tempt the longer hitters to be more aggressive, but with well-placed bunkers and trees lining the short grass, players must be smart in how they position their ball off the tee.

Bentgrass covers the undulating putting surfaces, which are average-large in size. Often narrow or shallow in shape and positioned at an angle to the fairway, the pins can be tricky to access and with run-offs around many, hitting them can be a serious challenge if the wind gets up.

Club de Golf Alcanada displays variety and risk/reward opportunities throughout. The par 5s range from the gettable 501-yard opener to the mammoth 633-yard 7^th, whilst among a group of generally short par 4s we have the drivable 289-yard 15^th hole.

With conditions not looking too difficult at present, we could be in for another low-scoring event at Alcanada this week.

THE WEATHER

It is forecast to be overcast throughout the event in Mallorca, and relatively humid, which may lead to a thunderstorm developing on Thursday.

Winds are light over the opening two rounds, blowing at around 7mph for the most part. Whilst it is predicted to increase a touch over the weekend – with consistent speeds of 10mph accompanied by occasional gusts close to 20mph – it is nothing that the players shouldn't be able to handle.

KEY STATS

• SG: Off-the-Tee
• SG: Approach/Greens-in-Regulation

The HotelPlanner Tour doesn't provide us with any tournament-specific stats, but with just one quick glance at the leaderboards in the last two years we can quickly establish what is required at Club de Golf Alcanada.

Top-class drivers have simply dominated here in those recent editions. Kristoffer Reitan won the event in 2024 and is a player who ranks 7^th off-the-tee on the DP World Tour this season. The two runners-up to the Norwegian, Angel Ayora and Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, rank 5^th and 6^th respectively, whilst 2023 winner Marco Penge has ranked 18^th and 2^nd in the last two seasons with the driver.

It is also worth noting that the aforementioned players also rank highly with their irons, with only Reitan outside the top 25 in greens-in-regulation.

CORRELATING EVENTS

Big Green Egg German Challenge (Wittelsbacher Golfclub)

Wittelsbacher Golfclub is an undulating venue where strong drivers have thrived on the HotelPlanner Tour. The fairways are similar in width to Alcanada, requiring players to show strategy through the doglegging, tree-lined corridors, whilst the often narrow, angled greens also pose comparable challenges to this week's venue.

Notable correlating form:

Francesco Laporta:

Rolex Grand Final (1^st) / German Challenge (1^st)

Rasmus Neergaard Petersen:

Rolex Grand Final (2^nd) / German Challenge (1^st)

Robin Sciot-Siegrist:

Rolex Grand Final (2^nd) / German Challenge (4^th)

Open de Portugal (Royal Obidos)

Royal Obidos is a sloping, coastal course with frequent elevation changes where high-quality drivers have enjoyed success. It is largely open and exposed, making it susceptible to wind, and also features undulating bentgrass greens.

Notable correlating form:

Marco Penge:

Rolex Grand Final (1^st) / Open de Portugal (1^st)

Frederic LaCroix:

Rolex Grand Final (3^rd) / Open de Portugal (2^nd)

Oliver Lindell:

Rolex Grand Final (4^th) / Open de Portugal (4^th, 6^th)

Blot Play9 (Golf Bluegreen de Pléneuf Val André)

Golf Bluegreen de Pléneuf Val André is another coastal course and although it is significantly shorter than Alcanada, it shares many similarities. It is hilly, with dramatic elevation changes throughout, and the holes alternate between being exposed and then tightly packed with danger.

Notable correlating form:

Kristoffer Reitan:

Rolex Grand Final (1^st) / Blot Play9 (3^rd)

John Parry:

Rolex Grand Final (2^nd) / Blot Play9 (1^st)

Sebastian Heisele:

Rolex Grand Final (2^nd) / Blot Play9 (1^st)

Robin Sciot-Siegrist:

Rolex Grand Final (2^nd) / Blot Play9 (4^th)

THE FIELD

JC Ritchie is the leading player on this year's Road to Mallorca, closely followed by Maximilian Steinlechner and David Law. Those players will enjoy a stress-free week with their DP World Tour cards already sewn up, but it is set to be much more intense for players further down the standings.

The most pressure this week will be felt by competitors just inside that all-important top-20 mark in the season-long standings. Scotland's Euan Walker sits at No. 17 and having been close to claiming his full card several times, he'll be hoping this is the week he finally becomes a full DP World Tour member.

No. 18 Stefano Mazzoli is also aiming to earn his card for the first time, whilst No. 19 Jamie Rutherford and No. 20 Lukas Nemecz are both within touching distance of a return to the top tier.

Potential 2025/26 rookies Anton Albers, Jovan Rebula, and Victor Sidal Svendsen are just outside the vital positions at 21^st-23^rd. Meanwhile, further down the rankings, American Davis Bryant (No. 31) has performed well on a limited DP World Tour schedule this season, while Spain's Adri Arnaus, at No. 36, is the only former Grand Final champion in attendance this week.

SELECTIONS 

Market leaders: JC Ritchie 11/1, Oihan Guillamoundeguy 11/1, Maximilian Steinlechner 12/1, David Law 14/1, Stefano Mazzoli 16/1, Davis Bryant 16/1

2.5 pts Stefano Mazzoli each-way (1/5 - 5 places) @ 16/1

Italy's Stefano Mazzoli is enjoying an excellent run of form at present, putting him right on the cusp of securing his future on the DP World Tour next season. He's a player that excels with the driver, and with a strong record in Portugal, he can finish the season in style at Club de Golf Alcanada.

Mazzoli has made steady progress since turning pro in 2019 and has spent the last two seasons splitting his time between the HotelPlanner Tour and Asian Tour. He's a three-time winner on the Alps Tour but has yet to break through at this higher level, going closest when 2^nd in the Open de Portugal last year.

He's been extremely consistent in 2025, missing just two cuts in 28 worldwide starts. His form has been particularly impressive of late, hitting the top 25 in eight of his last nine appearances, which includes another top-10 in Portugal, finishing 9^th.

Mazzoli's DP World Tour experience is limited to the Italian Open, teeing it up in the last six editions. He's missed four cuts but produced his best finish in the event this season, finishing 50^th, highlighting his improved all-round play.

The driver has been his biggest asset in each of the last four renewals of his home open. That aligns with his stats on the Asian Tour, where he's ranked high in distance and accuracy off the tee in the last two seasons, suggesting that he can get the better of this layout on debut.

1 pts Quim Vidal each-way (1/5 - 5 places) @ 70/1

Sitting in 12^th position on the Road to Mallorca, Quim Vidal should be in a relaxed mood this week. His form has been a touch disappointing of late, but he’s enjoyed some notable results at comp courses and with evidence that he’s a strong driver, he can spark back into life here in Mallorca.

Vidal turned pro at the end of 2022 and wasted little time showcasing his talents in the pro ranks, winning on the Alps Tour at the beginning of 2023. He performed solidly on the HotelPlanner Tour last season without ever threatening to earn promotion to the DP World Tour, but he’s put that right in 2025, thanks largely to a win in Delhi back in March.

The Spaniard naturally struggled for form following that, but he’s hit the top 10 on three occasions in his last nine starts. That includes finishing 4^th in the correlating Open de Portugal, and he also finished 11^th in the Big Green Egg German Challenge last year – another driver-heavy event.

Vidal’s driving ability was well on show when he made his Open de Espana debut in 2022, ranking 6^th off-the-tee on his way to a 39^th-place finish. If he can replicate anything close to that level this week, he’s sure to be a contender at Alcanada.

1 pts Palmer Jackson each-way (1/5 - 5 places) @ 80/1

As a former No. 31 amateur who thrived on the competitive U.S. collegiate scene, there are few players in this field with as high a ceiling as American Palmer Jackson. He hasn’t quite built on his dominant victory in the Czech Republic earlier in the year, but with signs more positive in China two weeks ago, I’m happy to take my chances with him in Mallorca.

Jackson turned pro at the end of last year after an excellent amateur career. He won many titles over this period, with his standout victory coming in the Jones Cup Invitational in 2022 – a prestigious event won by Justin Thomas, Patrick Reed, and Ludvig Aberg among other familiar names.

The 24-year-old enjoyed a positive week at DP World Tour Q-School in 2024, ultimately falling two-shots short of winning his tour card. With that, a season on the HotelPlanner Tour beckoned in 2025 and after a slow start, he exploded into life in the Raiffeisenbank Golf Challenge in June, shooting a 21-under-par total for an impressive six-shot win.

He has been more consistent since but with high finishes lacking – recording just one additional top 10 in the Netherlands – he’s down in 33^rd position on the Road to Mallorca and needs a big week to earn his promotion.

Having made just one DP World Tour start, missing the cut at the tricky Nexo Championship, we are still very much in the dark as to what Jackson is all about. However, he’s clearly a player with bags of ability and with encouraging signs to be found in his 26^th-place finish in the Hangzhou Open on his latest appearance, he’s a player I want to have on side in the season finale.

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