Italian Open 2025 Betting Tips: Jamie’s six each-way plays for Italy this week

The DP World Tour is in Italy this week for the Italian Open from the Argentario Golf Course in Monte Argentario. The views are breathtaking and we are hoping that action is just as good with many eyes on that 632-yard 12th hole.

Our golf tipster Jamie Worsley is here with his in-depth preview of the event and has picked out six players to back each-way this week. Please check out his thoughts and those all-important Italian Open 2025 Betting Tips below...

The DP World Tour returns from its three-week break this week, with the first of two events to round off the European Swing portion of the season. It's to Germany next week for the BMW International Open, but first, the players head to Italy for the Italian Open at Argentario Golf Club.  

TOURNAMENT HISTORY 

The Italian Open will celebrate its 100-year anniversary in 2025, having first been staged in 1925. It took place periodically thereafter, but it has been a mainstay on the DP World Tour since the tour's inception in 1972. 

France's Auguste Boyer and Belgium's Flory Van Donck have won this event on four occasions – more than any other player – but each of their victories came in the pre-DPWT era. 

That number of titles hasn't yet been matched by anybody in recent times, with the following seven players all recording two wins apiece: Sandy Lyle (1984, 1992), Sam Torrance (1987, 1995), Bernhard Langer (1983, 1997), Ian Poulter (2000, 2002), Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano (2007, 2012), Hennie Otto (2008, 2014) and Francesco Molinari (2006, 2016). 

It's an event that continues to largely elude home players, with Francesco Molinari the only Italian to win the title since 1980.  

Last five winners: 

• 2024 (Adriatic Golf Club Cervia) 

Winner: Marcel Siem (-10, playoff) 

Runner-up: Tom McKibbin (-10) 

• 2023 (Marco Simone Golf & Country Club) 

Winner: Adrian Meronk (-13) 

Runner-up: Romain Langasque (-12) 

• 2022 (Marco Simone Golf & Country Club) 

Winner: Robert MacIntyre (-14, playoff) 

Runner-up: Matt Fitzpatrick (-14) 

• 2021 (Marco Simone Golf & Country Club) 

Winner: Nicolai Hojgaard (-13) 

Runners-up: Tommy Fleetwood, Adrian Meronk (-12) 

• 2020 (Chervo Golf Club) 

Winner: Ross McGowan (-20) 

Runners-up: Laurie Canter, Nicolas Colsaerts (-19) 

German veteran Marcel Siem won the sixth DPWT trophy of his career in the 2024 Italian Open, in what was only his fourth start since returning from a near three-month absence due to injury. He returns to defend this week. 

THE COURSE 

The Italian Open moves around frequently and this week, it's the turn of the attractive Argentario Golf Club to host the event for the first time. The course opened in 2006 and was designed by the duo of Baldovino Dassu and David Mezzacane. 

Although it is making its debut as host of the national open, it did stage the Italian Challenge on the HotelPlanner Tour last season – an event won by England's John Parry with a score of 18-under-par. 

Argentario GC's nines have been flipped for this event to create more excitement on the closing nine. This par-71 course measures a diminutive 6857yds and is made up of 5x par 3s (149-230yds), 9x par 4s (312-443yds) and 4x par 5s (575-632yds). 

The course has two contrasting nines, with holes 1-9 travelling through flat terrain, often bordered by a gathering of olive and other native trees. It then makes way for the more exposed and undulating back nine, which features some dramatic elevation changes. This inward nine possesses countless birdie chances, with three of the four par 5s, two potentially drivable par 4s, and the three shorter par 3s all arriving over these holes. 

Located on Monte Argentario – a peninsula on Italy's east coast that is officially part of Tuscany – the course delivers spectacular views of the Tyrrhenian Sea and Orbetello Lagoon. Furthermore, its proximity to the coast means wind can impact the difficulty of the layout. 

The largely doglegged and undulating fairways are generous but strategically protected by smart bunkering. In addition, native shrubs line holes and could result in an instant penalty for those who are wayward enough to find it. 

That being said, the real difficulty comes into the putting surfaces. The sloping bermudagrass greens are predominantly small, and with many shallow/narrow in shape, they can prove ultra-difficult to hit. The majority are strongly bunkered and will call on a sharp short game if players aren't in-tune with their ball striking. 

Risk and reward is a prominent feature of this fun course, with four par 5s and among a collection of short par 4s, as many as three could be drivable over the course of the week. However, they're often protected by water – which is in-play on seven holes – meaning that it doesn't take much to turn those scoring chances into bogeys+. 

THE WEATHER 

The players should be in for an enjoyable week in Italy, with sunshine predicted each day, accompanied by consistent temperatures in the mid-20s (Celsius). Although we may see gusts of 20mph+, general wind speeds of 7-9mph should be manageable. 

KEY STATS 

• SG: Approach/Greens-in-Regulation 

• SG: Around-the-Greens/Scrambling 

These small greens will put a premium on high-class and precise iron play this week. Indeed, the winner of last year's Italian Challenge here, John Parry, ranks 5th on the DP World Tour in approach this season. Naturally, with bright, warm, and gusty conditions making that task of finding them that touch more difficult, players will need to scramble well. 

This is one of those weeks where players who lack length are not at a disadvantage, but I wouldn't sleep on those who are more about power. The fairways appear very generous, and the course is generally spacious throughout. I suspect we'll see an even mix of longer and shorter hitters at the top of the leaderboard. 

CORRELATING EVENTS 

This is a rather quirky venue, which made it a challenge to find true correlating courses. Therefore, I've largely leaned on other shorter layouts for clues.  

It could just be that last year's Italian Open host, Adriatic Golf Club Cervia works out as the best comp this week. One of this week's designers, Baldovino Dassu played a part in that venue's design. It's another short course that mixes exposed and woodland holes, and it also possesses small bermudagrass greens. 

The host of the 2024 Danish Golf Championship, Lubker Golf Resort is also worth a look – a par 71 measuring 7026yds, and possessing 5x par 3s, 9x par 4s and 4x par 5s. Although it was built within a pine forest, it alternates between tree-lined and exposed holes, has some generous fairways, and features small, undulating greens. 

2022 and 2024 Mauritius Open host, Mont Choisy le Golf is a short and exposed course with wide fairways, and it features frequent elevation changes throughout. This potential form tie was franked by John Parry, who won there at the end of last year after winning the Italian Challenge earlier in the year. 

Finally, I'd take a look at two short, tree-lined courses: Crans-sur-Sierre, host of the Omega European Masters, and Soudal Open host Rinkven International. Each layout has several short, attackable par 4s and players will be going into many of these greens with similar yardages as they do at most of the mentioned courses. 

If you haven't already read them, please check out Jamie's Rocket Mortgage Classic 2025 Betting Tips for his preview of the PGA Tour event this week...

THE FIELD 

There are just two players from inside the world's top 100 in attendance this week: No. 92 Shaun Norris and No. 99 Kristoffer Reitan. Following them closely is the English duo Jordan Smith (No. 108) and previous Argentario GC winner, John Parry (No. 109). 

Defending champion Marcel Siem is one of five former winner in the field, joined by Ross McGowan (2020), Bernd Wiesberger (2019), Rikard Karlberg (2015) and Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano (2012, 2007). 

Guido Migliozzi and Francesco Laporta lead the home challenge. Meanwhile, it's good to have Renato Paratore back in DP World Tour action, making just his second start on the tour in 2025 after picking up two wins in the U.A.E. on the HotelPlanner Tour this season. 

*You can check out the latest Italian Open 2025 Odds and bet on this event over on betfred.com

SELECTIONS 

Market leaders (1/4 5 places): Jordan Smith 20/1, Marco Penge 22/1, Ewen Ferguson 25/1, Jayden Schaper 25/1, Kristoffer Reitan 28/1, Francesco Laporta 28/1 

Shaun Norris 

Shaun Norris has yet to finish outside the top 20 in six starts on the DPWT this season. Arriving in Italy off the back of another victory on the Japanese Tour (JGTO), he should be in buoyant mood and looks excellent value to be in the mix. 

Norris won the Alfred Dunhill Championship at the end of last year and has made a further five starts on the DPWT in 2025, finishing no worse than 16th and going close to another win when he lost a playoff in the Joburg Open. He's been playing on the JGTO since the end of April and signed off his stint on that tour with a victory at the Hana Bank Invitational two weeks ago. 

He's been hitting the ball solidly but it's his short game that has engineered his successes, ranking 1st in putting, 2nd around-the-greens and 5th in scrambling. In addition, he sits 1st in both birdie average and bogey avoidance – though it should be noted that he has played far fewer events on the tour this season than many players in the rankings. 

Norris' victory at the Dunhill Championship in 2024 immediately followed him winning the Nippon Series JT Cup on the JGTO on his previous start. He has every chance of repeating that feat at Argentario GC. 

Jorge Campillo 

Jorge Campillo is a three-time DPWT winner who has achieved his two best finishes of the season across his last four starts. He has some comp form that suggests he will be suited by this challenge, and as a sound statistical match to boot, he's an attractive price to record win number four in Italy. 

Campillo was solid enough at the start of this year, missing three cuts in his first 10 starts and recording a best of 13th in Bahrain. However, he's upgraded his level in recent events, finishing 2nd in the Turkish Airlines Open four starts ago and when we last saw him, he was an encouraging 7th in the KLM Open. 

He's looked good from tee-to-green, ranking 33rd for the season. The strokes-gained numbers from his long game are both positive (52nd off-the-tee and 62nd in approach) and scrambling well in 2025, ranking 18th, he has the skillset to handle the challenges into and around these small greens. 

Campillo has a noteworthy record in the Italian Open, producing top-10 finishes in 2016, 2022 and 2023. Having performed strongly at Crans-sur-Sierre, finishing 4th in 2022, this may be the perfect spot for him to claim a best-ever result in the event.  

Frederic LaCroix 

Frederic LaCroix is hitting the ball superbly in 2025 and having claimed his first DP World Tour win on a similar layout in Denmark last year, I fancy him to double his tally in Italy. 

The Frenchman has recorded five top-25s in 11 starts this season. He missed the cut in the US Open on his latest start, but prior to that he'd been showing great consistency, making each of his previous five cuts.  

He excels with the driver, merging power with accuracy to rank 8th off-the-tee. His iron play has also been strong, ranking 20th in greens-in-regulation and 21st in approach, which should come in handy into these often tiny putting surfaces. 

LaCroix's impressive four-shot win in the Danish Golf Championship feels like an especially useful piece of form for this challenge. He has also performed well in Italy before, finishing 4th in the 2021 Italian Challenge on the HotelPlanner Tour, and I expect him to add another top-class performance this week. 

Marcel Schneider 

Marcel Schneider is playing the best golf of his career this season and is gaining strokes right through the bag. If he can take the positives from his narrow runner-up finish in the Austrian Alpine Open two starts ago, he'd have every chance of going one better at Argentario GC. 

Schneider has picked up six top-20 finishes in the current campaign, including three top-10s. The first of these came in Bahrain, where he finished 8th and he was 10th in the China Open four starts prior to his 2nd-place finish in Austria. 

The German ticks every box statistically. He hits a lot of greens, ranking 23rd in GIR and is more than capable of recovering when he does miss the putting surfaces, ranking 22nd around-the-greens and 40th in scrambling. His approach stats are a touch inconsistent, but he does perform better when the wedges carry more weight. 

Schneider has some eye-catching form in Italy, finishing 2nd in the 2020 Italian Challenge, and he possesses a best of 16th in this event from 2022. His result in Austria this year on a similarly short course rates as the standout performance of his career and having also finished inside the top 10 at Crans and Rinkven, he should appreciate this week's challenge. 

Brandon Robinson-Thompson 

Brandon Robinson-Thompson is one of a handful of players in this field to have positive previous experience at this course. He's not been quite as consistent in recent starts as he was at the start of the year, but he's continued to threaten a breakthrough win and hopefully all the fresher for the recent break, he should be raring to go in Italy. 

Robinson-Thompson was electric at the start of the season, hitting the top 20 in five of his first seven starts and recording three top-10s, the best of which was a 3rd-place finish in Qatar. His form has been in-and-out since, missing four of his last six cuts, but he contended once again in the Turkish Airlines Open four starts ago, entering the final round with a three-shot lead before eventually finishing 4th. The disappointment of that defeat no doubt impacted his following three results. However, it's all vital experience in his rookie season and should help him when he finds himself in a similar position again. 

Although he has shown quality in all areas this season, it's with the irons he excels, ranking 16th in GIR and 27th in approach. He's also a solid 45th in scrambling and was driving the ball excellently earlier in the year, displaying an enviable combination of power and accuracy. 

Robinson-Thompson hasn't played in the Italian Open before, but he did impress at this course last year, shooting four under-par rounds to finish 12th in the Italian Challenge. He also finished 14th at Lubker in the Danish Golf Championship last year, and with each of his two HotelPlanner Tour wins – in the 2023 Irish Challenge and 2024 Scottish Challenge – coming on short par-71 layouts, this looks like a fantastic opportunity for him to earn a deserved breakthrough title on the DPWT. 

Joe Dean 

Such had been the quality of Joe Dean's performances over the previous 12 months, he was being priced as short as 28/1 earlier in the year. He has now drifted back out to a much bigger number after a somewhat underwhelming run of form, but there have been positives, and with this looking a suitable layout based on some strong comp form, he is very appealing at this week's price. 

Dean was in great form at the start of the season, recording consecutive finishes of 5th in the Ras Al Khaimah Championship, 13th in the Bahrain Championship, and 28th in the Kenya Open across his first four starts. Although missing five of his last six cuts, his irons have returned to form in his most recent starts, and I also find it telling that his one positive display during this period came on a sub-7000yd layout in Austria two starts ago, where he finished 22nd. 

His short game was the key there, but either side of that he has shown promise with his ball striking despite missing cuts. In fact, his approach play has been even stronger than it was last season overall, ranking 51st. He's doing most things well but is just failing to marry it all together at the same time. 

Dean made his debut in the Italian Open last year, finishing a commendable 29th. He also recorded finishes of 5th in the Soudal Open and 5th in the Danish Golf Championship in that excellent 2024 campaign, and if he does get everything to click this week, he could make this price look huge. 

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