The Premier League Darts roadshow rolls into Berlin for week 2. Michael Smith was the victor in Cardiff but can he go back-to-back? Our darts expert Sean Rafferty is back with another boosted treble as well as a nightly winner prediction.
Premier League Berlin Betting Tips
- Peter Wright under 1.5 180's - 11/10
- Michael van Gerwen to beat Nathan Aspinall - 2/7
- Luke Littler most 180's vs Rob Cross - 4/7
Boosted Treble -
1 pt Van Gerwen to win Week 2 - 3/1
Night 2 Draw
Nathan Aspinall v Michael van Gerwen
Michael Smith v Gerwyn Price
Luke Littler v Rob Cross
Luke Humphries v Peter Wright
1 pt Van Gerwen to win Week 2 - 3/1
MVG is finding some consistency the past few weeks. In three completed events this year he’s made the final of all of them, winning one. Mighty Mike was unlucky in losing 11-7 to Bunting in Masters final, still averaging high 90’s himself but was up against an average nearing 103.
The Dutchman has a favourable draw tonight, playing Nathan Aspinall who isn’t in top form, then would play the winner of Gerwyn Price/ Michael Smith, who he’s in better form than. He did lose 6-5 to Smith in his QF last week, so will look to get his PL campaign going tonight. MVG tends to do very well in the league stage of this, so will want to keep up ground early doors.
Michael van Gerwen to beat Nathan Aspinall - 2/7
As I touched on, van Gerwen may not be at his very elite best but he’s still consistently finding a high level of play. Since the World Championship, MVG is 4th on the averages list with 98.52, almost 7 points higher than Aspinall. Aspinall did go on a run to the semis in The Masters at the weekend, despite not playing his best stuff.
The Stopfordian played three first to 10 leg matches in the space of two days, which I do see as a negative for The Asp these days. A high volume of darts can lead to a regression in his game, due to ongoing issues with an elbow/shoulder problem that’s never really gone away, so he may still be a bit fatigued.
Van Gerwen has won 10 of his last 12 meetings against Aspinall and I expect him to try and get off to a big start here in front of a bumper crowd in Berlin.
Luke Littler most 180's vs Rob Cross - 4/7
Littler most 180s at 4/7 is better value than the 4/9 on him to win the match, in my opinion. Cross is playing a decent enough level in recent months but still isn’t prolific on the 180s - he has hit 0.23 180s per leg over the past 12 months, compared to Littler who is averaging 0.32.
Voltage has failed to hit more than one 180 in four of his last six matches, whereas Littler has hit 2+ 180s in all of his last 19 matches, managing 3+ in 17 of those. In their only previous meeting, a World semi final earlier this month, Littler won 16-10 on the 180s. Absolutely every stat/percentage points towards Littler controlling the 180s, making 4/7 look a cracking price.
Peter Wright under 1.5 180's - 11/10
Wright continues to struggle like mad, managing to fall over the line in a 10-8 win over Krzysztof Ratajski on Saturday with a 90 average but followed this up with a deflating performance against eventual winner Stephen Bunting, losing 10-2 and averaging just 83.
We’ve seen far too many of these performances from Snakebite in recent months and his display in his QF against Cross in Cardiff last week, was far from satisfactory either, averaging 84 in a 6-3 loss and only really stayed in it thanks to some missed doubles from Voltage.
I mentioned in my Premier League pre-tournament article that I felt a good start to this PL campaign was a necessity for Wright’s confidence and he hasn’t had it. On top of other poor displays elsewhere, I fear another heavy defeat could be on here.
However, with Humphries being rather skinny at 2/13, I’d rather back Wright under 1.5 180s at 11/10, which seems really generous considering he’s managed just three 180s in his last 65 legs played. I can see this match only being 8/9 legs long, so for him to hit 2+ 180s at the current rate he’s hitting them seems a big stretch. 11/10 to hit less than two is brilliant value.
The Betfred Traders have generously boosted Sean's treble from 10/3 all the way out to 4/1, which you can find on the link below...
You can find all Sean's latest Darts Betting Tips on our main Darts Insights content hub.