Premier League Darts 2025 Finals Predictions: ‘Cool Hand’ Luke to hold his nerve against Aspinall
The Premier League Darts is almost settled for another season, with the final four descending on the O2 Arena in London for a nail-biting climax. Defending champion Luke Littler will square off with fiery Welshman Gerwyn Price in his semi-final. Luke Humphries meets Nathan Aspinall on the other side of the bracket. Whoever emerges, we are in for an electric night at the oche. Read on to see how our resident Darts tipster Sean Rafferty sees the evening unfolding.
Premier League Darts Finals Tips
Double:
2.5 units double @ 13/8
Single:
- 2 Units 161+ checkout in the Semi Finals @ 7/4
Price highest checkout over 110.5 vs Littler @ EVS
This looks a really appetising match to open the night. Littler may only have been on tour for less than 18 months, but himself and Price already have a bit of history for producing memorable matches. The most intriguing part of it all being that Price currently holds the upper hand, leading 7-6 in the head-to-head.
Both players emphasised their desire to open the night, as this can be viewed as a slight advantage, getting at least an hour to regroup and prepare ahead of the final, for whoever comes out victorious in this one. With the pair of them getting their wish, I’m hoping that will make for a high-quality affair.
Both players decided to skip the European Tour action last weekend, opting to rest up ahead of the Premier League finale. Littler particularly has shown some really strong form in recent weeks, notching up two averages above 115 in two of his last five matches. He defends his Premier League title here as he aims to make it two Premier League titles in as many appearances, his preparation looks perfect so I think Price needs to average 100+ to stand a chance.
After some consideration, I’m opting to focus on Price in the checkout market. The Iceman has pinned checkouts of 111+ in four of his last five matches, which is his highest checkout line for this match. His highest checkouts in his last three matches have been 132, 141 and 135. It’s worth noting that all of these matches were only best of eleven legs too, with the format now extending to best on nineteen legs he’s likely too have more opportunities to land a decent ton plus checkout, evens looks to be on the generous side.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Humphries to beat Aspinall @ 1/3
Aspinall can be very proud of his efforts to seal his spot in Finals Night - winning Night 10 in Manchester really propelled him into a good position and he managed to kick on from there to get the better of Van Gerwen in a lengthy two-horse race for fourth place. In the end, Aspinall done so well that he actually leapfrogged Price into third place, meaning he avoided a semi-final clash against Littler, which I’m sure he’ll be quietly relieved at, given his less than impressive record against The Nuke.
Humphries has had an indifferent year so far in my opinion, there’s been the odd poor performance in amongst a lot of good ones. However, the form of Cool Hand looks far more impressive after his showing in Rosmalen at the weekend on the Euro Tour. Humphries had averages of 109, 106, 105 and 100 over his four matches in the Netherlands, before losing out to Jonny Clayton in the semi-finals. He may not have won the event but he’ll have taken a lot of courage from the way he played which could be the only thing he really needed to take from it.
The Premier League is of the very few big titles Humphries has yet to put to his name, I reckon this is one of the events he would have at the top of the list in terms of what he wanted to win in 2025, that determination on top of the form we seen at the weekend makes him a pretty daunting opponent for Nathan on Thursday night. Cool Hand also holds the upper hand in the recent head-to-head, winning seven of their last nine meetings.
As I say, Aspinall can be very pleased with this Premier League campaign and has proved a lot of doubters wrong, I think winning here may just be a step too far though and if Humphries can produce a 105+ average, which he seems to be managing with some regularity at the moment, I’m not convinced Aspinall will be able to live with it.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
161+ checkout in the Semi Finals @ 7/4
I guess this selection is pretty self-explanatory - we’re talking about four of the top operators in the game with Littler, Humphries, Aspinall and Price. Given the extended format now with best of 19 legs, you’d like to think we see at least 30 legs across the two semi finals, which means a hell of a lot of opportunities at checkouts between 160-170.
Both Aspinall and Littler have had checkouts of 170 within their last six matches, with Price particularly being very capable of big finishes too. Big checkouts look more likely than ever with this quartet involved. I’d say closer to evens would be a more accurate price for this selection so I’m gobbling up the 7/4 on offer.
You can find all Sean's latest Darts Betting Tips on our main Insights content hub.
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