World Grand Prix SF Tips: De Decker can land a checkout of over 130

We have reached the semi-finals stage of the World Grand Prix, and there are two tasty matches in store. We have two Belgians collide in Mike De Decker and Dimitri Van den Bergh, while world number one Luke Humphries is in action against Ryan Joyce.

Read below for our tipster Sean's Darts betting tips for the semi-finals of the World Grand Prix Darts 2024.

Mike De Decker highest checkout over 130.5 @ 1/1

A tasty little all-Belgian affair we have here. Mike and Dimi are good mates but they’ll look to put the friendship aside tonight on the oche. Mike continues to upset the odds and breeze past multiple major champs - he’s now beat James Wade and Gary Anderson without dropping a set.

The 3-0 scoreline over Wade was a bit deceiving, as he won every set in a decider so only led 9-6 in legs, but he still produced when it mattered most. He looks to have the belief of a top 16 player right now and doesn’t look out of place.

Tonight brings a different challenge for The Real Deal, as he faces a friend in Dimi who he’s given too much respect to in the past if previous meetings are anything to go by - Dimitri has won all their previous four meetings, all have been on the Pro Tour too where Mike has generally had most of his success to date. The most recent of these was a 6-1 win in June. The methodical pace of Dimitri may be another factor that doesn’t help De Decker’s chances.

Dimitri seems to be starting matches slow this week then improving as they go on, the set-by-set averages in his three matches are as follows - 93-104-95, 78-87-98-91, 78-83-98-90. So he seems to be slow out the traps to begin but warms to the task.

He needs to be better than 33% on starting doubles that he was last night though, the scoring phase has generally been good from The Dream Maker so if he can start legs well then he’ll be tough to beat. If I had to pick a winner I’d side with Dimitri but De Decker has already proved he can beat established top level players.

Instead I’m going to opt with De Decker to hit a sizeable checkout - over 130.5 checkout is a very decent price over this length of format in my opinion, as the big outs are a fairly regular occurrence for The Real Deal - he’s hit 160, 150 and 122 checkouts in his opening three matches, which has only culminated to 9 sets in total, this match alone could have 8 or 9.

In the recent batch of Pro Tour events in Wigan, De Decker had high checkouts of 161, 108, 120, 129, 121, 130, 140 and 143. Mike had a checkout of 108+ in 8 of his 11 matches in this period. The important thing to remember is these matches were only best of 11 legs, this match is likely to have 30-40 legs so he’ll have so many more opportunities. Evens is a great price.

Over 6.5 sets in Luke Humphries vs Ryan Joyce @ 4/6

Joyce continues his brilliant run this week, after seeing off Rob Cross last night in a five set thriller. Some may be shocked that Ryan has went this far but perhaps it shouldn’t come as that much of a surprise - over the past 12 months he is the most efficient doubles hitter in the world. He’s really showcased that this week with some great doubling in and out - last night he was 63% on his finishing doubles, which played a crucial part in the result as Rob had more attempts at double.

Humphries is still searching for his A-game this week, however he still finds himself in the semi finals and now odds-on favourite to retain his Grand Prix title, which says a lot about his B or C game. His scoring/doubles havent quite been up to his high standards but his timing’s still been good and his ability to keep his opponent outwith arms length the last couple rounds has seen him progress comfortably.

It will be the scoring phase of legs where Humphries will look to get this match won, as there’s no doubting he’s the far superior scorer of the two when he’s firing. His doubles have to improve though - 37% starting and 29% finishing doubles last night won’t cut it and will see him chasing most legs.

I think Humphries will get the job done here due to his vast experience in these stages of a major, this is rare for Ryan and I think stamina could play a part here as the format increases a fair chunk, Humphries is used to these long format matches, Joyce not much so. However I do think Joyce’s doubles should see him win a couple sets but Humphries will have the scoring to see him over the line. The best value for me is over 6.5 sets at 4/6 as Humphries is very short in the market.

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