Baltic Sea Open 2025 Predictions: Asp to sting before Matchplay

It's just over a week to the big one at the Betfred World Matchplay in Blackpool but up next it's the 2025 PDC Euro Tour and the Baltic Sea Darts Open, which runs from Friday, Jul 11 - Sunday, July 13 in Germany.

Our darts expert Sean Rafferty shares his Baltic Sea Darts Open 2025 predictions, with three outright selections.

History, Location and Format

The 2025 Baltic Sea Darts Open is the third running of the PDC event, having been first held in 2023 and is the ninth of 14 events on the PDC European Tour.

The tournament is held at the Wunderino Arena in Kiel, Germany and runs from Friday, July 11 to Sunday, July 13. It will be aired on PDCTV.

The defending champion is Rob Cross, who defeated fellow Brit Luke Humphries 8-6 in last year's final.

Prize Money

There is a prize fund in of £175,000 on offer to the 48 participants.

Baltic Sea Darts Open 2025 Odds

1 pt Nathan Aspinall each-way (1/2 - 2 places) @ 20/1

To anybody who follows my outright picks every week, this was probably a fairly obvious one. I’m very keen on Aspinall’s chances every time he’s involved in a tournament recently.

He decided to sit out the Pro Tour events midweek, off the back of two World Series events in New York and Gliwice, in which he made a QF and final. He was only beaten by the top two players in the world, Humphries and Littler, which can be factored in.

He comes into this weekend having already enjoyed his most successful year to date on the European Tour, winning not one but two events, having never won one prior to 2025. He’s made three finals in just the six Euro Tour events he’s played in this year, a staggeringly good return.

A record like that makes the 20/1 for him to produce the goods this Sunday look far too big, which I think it is. Especially when you consider he looks to have one of the “easier” sections of the draw, I say that lightly as there’s still big names all across this field.

He does have one of the kinder 2nd round ties, playing the winner of Ricardo Pietreczko and Sebastian Bialecki. Names in his quarter include Van Duijvenbode, De Decker, Dobey, Ross Smith and Noppert. But of all of those names, Aspinall is in the best form and has enjoyed the most success on the big stages. 20/1 looks big value when you consider some of the names shorter than him in the outright market.

1 pts Jonny Clayton each-way (1/2 - 2 places) @ 25/1

Haven’t quite got it right with Jonny this year, despite him enjoying some success in 2025, I feel we’ll strike at the right time with him some time soon, if he keeps up his form.

Unlike Aspinall, Clayton opted to play in Leicester midweek for the Pro Tour action - he can be happy enough with his work, winning seven matches across the two events, five of those wins were 6-2 or greater. The Ferret had four averages of 101+, with his worst average across nine matches being 93, not too shabby at all.

Jonny too, has got his hands on some silverware this year on the European Tour - it was a tough start for him, exiting at the 2nd round stage in five consecutive Euro Tour events, but has since won the Dutch Darts Championship and made the semis of the European Darts Open in the last two events. He’ll be keen to keep that momentum going as he heads into the World Matchplay, defending a lot of ranking money from making the final two years ago.

The Welshman does have a very tough quarter of the draw to contend with, with the likes of Van Veen, Rock, Anderson and Cross to keep him company. He won’t have an easy match on paper all tournament, but I think that’s been fairly reflected in his price at 25/1, which I still think is worth backing considering the consistently good form he’s showing this year.

0.5pts Daryl Gurney each-way (1/2 - 2 places) @ 66/1

I’ve opted to go for one outlandish pick this week, with that man being Daryl Gurney. It’s been well documented how impressive Northern Ireland’s glory was at the recent World Cup in Frankfurt, Rock took a lot of the plaudits for that but there’s no denying Gurney played a big role too and stepped up even more on that final day.

His form had already been on an upwards trajectory this year before that success, but it looks like the win has given him an extra spring in his step since then - Superchin has won at least two matches in all five Pro Tour events he’s played in since the World Cup, with only one sub-90 average across eighteen matches.

He’ll need to improve on his Euro Tour form so far this year - he’s made the final day in four of his six Euro Tour events in 2025, but has made the Sunday evening session just once. This could be the time to do just that as he looks to be in a fairly winnable mini section, facing Martin Lukeman on Friday, a win there would lead to a 2nd round tie against a relatively out of form Dave Chisnall. If he wins that then he’s got another winnable match against most likely Luke Woodhouse or James Wade, which would see him make the Sunday evening again.

He’ll look to roll back the years as his last and to date only previous Euro Tour victory was way back in 2019. This is arguably the best form he’s been in since then though and will also be looking to go into the World Matchplay next weekend on a high. 66/1 was too tempting to refuse given the consistency in Daryl’s game lately.

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