Tour de France Stage 20 Predictions: Healy could star again

 | Saturday 26th July 2025, 9:06am

Saturday 26th July 2025, 9:06am

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The Tour de France reaches its penultimate stage on Saturday and Tadej Pogacar looks destined to be wearing the yellow jersey in Paris on Sunday evening after he passed his final serious exam in Friday's summit finish in La Plagne. 

Read on for my Tour de France Stage 20 predictions.

Tour de France Stage 20 Predictions

  • Ben Healy to win Stage 20 @ 20/1
  • Julian Alaphilippe to win Stage 20 @ 18/1

*odds correct at time of publication

The Slovene has established a 4-minute, 24-second gap to second-placed Jonas Vingegaard in the general classification, and will - barring a spectacular capitulation - win the Tour de France as long he stays on his bike over the weekend.

Saturday's stage, a bumpy 184.2km route from Nantua to Pontarlier, features four categorised climbs - the Col de le Croix de la Sierra, Cote de Valfin, Cote de Thesy and Cote de Longeville.

This is a stage which is built for the classics riders, the puncheurs, and those who are desperate to embark on a late bid for glory - likely from a significant breakaway group.

The Cote de Thesy, a short but sharp Category 2 climb, is the toughest on paper and will provide a launch pad for those who have the strongest legs at the end of a gruelling three weeks.

Ben Healy to win Stage 20 @ 20/1

Stage 20 would've been ideal terrain for a classics specialist like Mathieu van der Poel, Mattias Skjelmose or even Remco Evenepoel if the Belgian had lost enough time in the GC, but all three have abandoned the race due to a mixture of injury and illness.

Their loss will be someone else's gain, however, and it could be Ben Healy who profits at the end of a fabulous Tour in which he has claimed a valiant Stage 6 win, worn the Maillot Jaune for two stages, and remained on course for a GC top-10 finish.

The 24-year-old Irishman is more than 28 minutes down on Pogacar in ninth place, and isn't a major threat to those directly above him in the standings, so it would come as a surprise if he is not allowed to slip into the break.

Despite his early adventures, the EF Education-EasyPost rider still looks to have excellent legs - he was second in Mont Ventoux on Tuesday, 17th on the climb to Col de la Loze on Thursday, and eighth in La Plagne in Friday's final mountain stage.

Tour de France Stage 20 - Winner Ben Healy

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Julian Alaphilippe to win Stage 20 @ 18/1

Julian Alaphilippe was left red-faced in Carcassonne on Sunday, sprinting and celebrating a win only to realise he'd finished third on the day behind Tim Wellens and Victor Campenaerts, but the Frenchman could make up for that error by claiming the honours six days later.

Seemingly no worse for wear having dislocated his shoulder in that doomed finish, Loulou at his best would relish this punchy profile.

While the 33-year-old is unlikely to ever recapture the form which saw him win back-to-back world titles on the road, he was good enough to finish 10th on Mont Ventoux on Tuesday.

Tour de France Stage 20 - Winner Julian Alaphilippe

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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