David Picasso vs Kyonosuke Kameda Predictions: Relentless slugger is more artisan than artist

Unbeaten super bantamweight David Picasso goes in with Japan’s Kyonosuke Kameda this Saturday, July 19. The bout takes place at the MGM Grand Garden Arena on the undercard of Mario Barrios fighting the mummified remains of Manny Pacquiao. Prime Video PPV will broadcast the event live.
Here are my David Picasso vs. Kyonosuke Kameda predictions ahead of this crucial clash.
David Picasso vs Kyonosuke Kameda Betting Tips
David Picasso vs. Kyonosuke Kameda Odds
Picasso is a mammoth 1/16 to prevail over Kameda. The Japanese star is 7/1 to pull off the shock win. The draw is priced up at 16/1.
David Picasso vs. Kyonosuke Kameda Fight Preview
Picasso is an interesting one. Unlike the impishly unconventional painter, his boxing namesake fights how you would expect. One recoils from stereotypes, but if you imagine a Mexican boxer in their purest form; that is David Picasso.
The 31-0 slugger comes forward, invites conflict and savagely resolves it. A volume puncher rather than a knockout specialist, Picasso swarms his prey and wins by either stopping or overwhelming his foe. This balls to the wall style has netted him the mandatory position to vie for Naoya Inoue’s WBC championship. By extension, this would mean a crack at the Japanese superstar’s undisputed crown, given ‘Kaibutsu’ holds all four major titles.
Picasso had been mooted for the May title shot that went to Ramon Cardenas. But last month, Turki Alalshikh said he was targeting Inoue-Picasso for December in Saudi Arabia. Of course, that tentative scheduling is meaningless unless Picasso wins this fight.
Interestingly, one of Inoue’s countrymen stands in Picasso’s way. Kameda is a fringe contender at best, with a 15-4-2 record. He lost his first pro fight as a teenager and has been learning the hard way ever since.
Kameda did appear in the WBA world rankings as recently as January. But a seven-round knockout loss to former world champion, and Inoue victim, Luis Nery put paid to that. No one else has taken this guy out, but the names that have outpointed him are rather ordinary. The likes of Jinki Maeda and Hiroki Hanabusa are strictly domestic fare.
The choice of Kameda is as much about optics as anything else. Picasso walking through a hittable import from Japan will stoke the fires on both sides of the Pacific. Picasso, classically Mexican in having 31 fights under his belt at the age of 24, has already beaten better fighters than Kameda.
Picasso out-scored world title challenger Azat Hovhannisyan a year ago, surviving a low blow to out-punch the Armenian. That felt like a coming-of-age for a fighter almost too experienced to call a prospect, but too under-seasoned to truly dub world class.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Kameda will not provide a world-level test. He is essentially an obstacle, as unfair as that sounds. But some fights are matched to be competitive. This card has Sebastian Fundora vs Tim Tszyu and Isaac Cruz vs Angel Fierro. A pair of rematches that fill that quota nicely.
But some match-ups are made to ensure as safe a passage as possible. Make no mistake, even if Kameda conjures a miracle, this fight was only ever devised with a Picasso victory pre-Inoue in mind.
David Picasso vs. Kyonosuke Kameda Full Card
Mario Barrios vs. Manny Pacquiao
Sebastian Fundora vs. Tim Tszyu II
Isaac Cruz vs. Angel Fierro II
Brandon Figueroa vs. Joet Gonzalez
Gary Russell Jr. vs. Hugo Castaneda
David Picasso vs. Kyonosuke Kameda
Mark Magsayo vs. Jorge Mata Cuellar
Abel Ramos vs. Jose Luis Sanchez
Omar Salcido Gamez vs. Brian Gallegos
Eumir Felix Marcial vs. Bernard Joseph
Jursly Vargas vs. Sergio Aldana
Joseph Brown vs. Aaron Watson
David Picasso vs. Kyonosuke Kameda Prediction
As touched upon above, this is Picasso’s fight to lose. I do not think he will. The 24-year-old is a little wild at times. He needs to learn that in some fights, discretion is the better part of valour. To tell you the truth, Inoue will destroy him if each man executes their normal game.
But Picasso’s devil-may-care relentlessness is just the ticket to beat Kameda. I think the Mexican will knock his man out at 10/11.
You can find all our latest boxing betting tips and analysis at our Betfred Insights Boxing page and our latest boxing odds here.
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