Bermuda Championship 2025 Betting Tips: Six each-way tips for PGA

In the wake of Ben Griffin recording his third victory of an impressive, breakout 2025 season in last week’s World Wide Technology Championship, the PGA Tour now heads to Bermuda for the penultimate ranking event of the season: the Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course.

Our resident golf tipster Jamie Worsley is back with six more value each-way picks this week, so let's check out his Bermuda Championship 2025 Betting Tips here at Betfred Insights...

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This is one of just two events remaining for players to secure their PGA Tour futures, as, at the end of next week's RSM Classic, the top 100 players in the FedExCup standings will earn full playing privileges for 2026, while those ranked 101–125 will retain conditional status.

TOURNAMENT HISTORY

The Bermuda Championship has been a permanent fixture on the PGA Tour since 2019, with each edition taking place at Port Royal Golf Course.

Brendon Todd was our first winner in 2019, beating Harry Higgs by four shots – the highest winning margin in the event's history. Fellow American Brian Gay followed, but the event has had a much more international feel in recent years, with the last four winners representing four different continents.

Last five winners:

• 2024

Winner: Rafael Campos (-19)

Runner-up: Andrew Novak (-16)

• 2023

Winner: Camilo Villegas (-24)

Runner-up: Alex Noren (-22)

• 2022

Winner: Seamus Power (-19)

Runner-up: Thomas Detry (-18)

• 2021

Winner: Lucas Herbert (-15)

Runners-up: Patrick Reed, Danny Lee (-14)

• 2020

Winner: Brian Gay (-15, playoff)

Runner-up: Wyndham Clark (-15)

The Bermuda Championship has thrown up some great storylines, and we had another last year, as Puerto Rican journeyman Rafael Campos won his first PGA Tour title. He returns to defend this week.

THE COURSE

Port Royal Golf Course was designed by Robert Trent Jones and opened in 1971. Roger Rulewich then completed a renovation of the layout in 2008 in preparation for the PGA Grand Slam, which ran from 2009-2014.

Measuring 6828 yards, this par-71 course is one of the shortest on the PGA Tour. It contains 4x par 3s (148-235 yards), 11x par 4s (350-458 yards), and 3x par 5s (507-553 yards).

Due to its location on Bermuda's west coast, the challenge at this largely exposed, coastal venue varies depending on wind blowing in from the Atlantic. However, even in the toughest conditions so far it hasn't played brutally difficult, averaging a winning score of -19.33 across the six renewals.

Port Royal is a hilly, undulating course that features frequent elevation changes. With many holes perched on the cliffside overlooking the ocean, there are spectacular views aplenty, whilst water is in play on seven holes.

The fairways are predominantly doglegged and narrow, made to feel tighter by strategic bunkering. However, they're not too challenging to play out of and with a lack of punishing rough, the penalty for missing fairways isn't severe.

Large and gently undulating, the bermudagrass greens generally need to be attacked through the air. Bunkers litter their boundaries, and they rank around average in greens-in-regulation and scrambling percentages on the PGA Tour.

With six par 4s below 400 yards and each of the three par 5s below 560, the players will find birdie chances at every turn here. That said, the par 3s are more testing, with three measuring over 210 yards, including the signature 16^th hole, where players are required to hit an approach over the ocean into a narrow green protected by bunkers.

The elements always provide the biggest defence at Port Royal and this week's field could be welcomed by unpleasant conditions in Bermuda.

THE WEATHER

Thunderstorms are forecast in the lead up to this event, with almost 24mm of rain predicted to fall at the beginning of the week. Although this should leave us with a soft course, the field may not be able to take advantage of the receptive conditions due to strong winds during the tournament.

Those winds are scheduled to reach 20mph+ each day of the event. With gusts reaching up to 38mph over the weekend, the closing rounds could prove the toughest.

KEY STATS

• Scrambling
• SG: Putting (bermudagrass)
• SG: Approach/Greens-in-Regulation/Proximity from 100-150 yards

Unfortunately, we don't have the benefit of any tournament-specific strokes-gained data for this event. Although, it is a course where those with a strong short game have enjoyed plenty of success, and with this week's conditions likely to put a premium on finding greens and quality approach/wedge play, it's these areas that I expect to be of most importance.

Rafael Campos had shown little form prior to winning last year but he did excel with his irons in 2024. Meanwhile, runner-up Andrew Novak is a player who is at his best in approach and with the short game.

2023 winner Camilo Villegas has always been decent around the greens, and he had recently found form in approach. He was chased home by short-game specialist Alex Noren.

The first four winners, Seamus Power (2022), Lucas Herbert (2021), Brian Gay (2020), and Brendon Todd (2019), all possess a tidy short game. As do other contenders such as Patrick Reed, Wyndham Clark, and Harry Higgs.

CORRELATING EVENTS (COURSES)

RSM Classic (Sea Island Resort)

The RSM Classic is played across two courses at the coastal Sea Island Resort. Both of them are short, with large bermudagrass greens, and play easy if the wind doesn't blow.

Notable correlating form:

Camilo Villegas:

Bermuda (1^st) / RSM (2^nd)

Brian Gay:

Bermuda (1^st, 3^rd) / RSM (3^rd, 4^th)

Brendon Todd:

Bermuda (1^st) / RSM (4^th)

Seamus Power:

Bermuda (1^st) / RSM (4^th, 5^th)

Patrick Rodgers:

Bermuda (3^rd, 4^th) / RSM (2^nd)

Ollie Schniederjans:

Bermuda (3^rd) / RSM (6^th)

Ben Griffin:

Bermuda (3^rd) / RSM (8^th)

Denny McCarthy:

Bermuda (4^th, 6^th) / RSM (5^th, 8^th)

Vince Whaley:

Bermuda (5^th, 7^th) / RSM (8^th)

David Hearn:

Bermuda (8^th, 8^th) / RSM (9^th)

Sony Open (Waialae Country Club)

Waialae Country Club is another short, island layout located by the coast, which means it can be impacted by wind. It provides a similar tee-to-green test to Port Royal, with large bermudagrass greens. The doglegging fairways are relatively narrow in places, but not too penal should you miss.

Notable correlating form:

Seamus Power:

Bermuda (1^st) / Sony (3^rd)

Brian Gay:

Bermuda (1^st, 3^rd) / Sony (5^th, 6^th)

Ollie Schniederjans:

Bermuda (3^rd) / Sony (7^th)

Carl Yuan:

Bermuda (4^th) / Sony (4^th)

David Hearn:

Bermuda (8^th, 8^th) / Sony (10^th)

Wyndham Championship (Sedgefield Country Club)

Sedgefield Country Club is a tighter tree-lined course located inland. However, as a reasonably diminutive setup with doglegging fairways, substantial bermudagrass greens, and an emphasis on strong wedge play, there is plenty to tie these two courses together.

Notable correlating form:

Camilo Villegas:

Bermuda (1^st) / Wyndham (1^st)

Brian Gay:

Bermuda (1^st, 3^rd) / Wyndham (6^th)

Brendon Todd:

Bermuda (1^st) / Wyndham (7^th, 10^th)

Patrick Reed:

Bermuda (2^nd) / Wyndham (1^st)

Alex Noren:

Bermuda (2^nd) / Wyndham (3^rd)

Ollie Schniederjans:

Bermuda (3^rd) / Wyndham (2^nd)

Mark Hubbard:

Bermuda (3^rd) / Wyndham (3^rd)

Ben Griffin:

Bermuda (3^rd) / Wyndham (4^th, 7^th)

Doc Redman:

Bermuda (4^th) / Wyndham (3^rd)

Matt Jones:

Bermuda (4^th) / Wyndham (5^th)

Ryan Armour:

Bermuda (8^th, 8^th) / Wyndham (4^th, 8^th)

David Hearn:

Bermuda (8^th, 8^th) / Wyndham (8^th)

Cognizant Classic (PGA National)

The host of the Cognizant Classic, PGA National, shares many characteristics with Port Royal. It's a coastal, wind-affected layout, with large bermudagrass greens, and isn't too lengthy. With the test being simplified in recent years, resulting in a much less punishing venue, it should act as a sound comp.

Notable correlating form:

Camilo Villegas:

Bermuda (1^st) / Cognizant (1^st)

Alex Noren:

Bermuda (2^nd) / Cognizant (3^rd, 5^th)

Andrew Novak:

Bermuda (2^nd) / Cognizant (9^th)

Ben Griffin:

Bermuda (3^rd) / Cognizant (4^th)

Kevin Yu:

Bermuda (3^rd) / Cognizant (9^th)

Matt Jones:

Bermuda (4^th) / Cognizant (1^st)

Denny McCarthy:

Bermuda (4^th, 6^th) / Cognizant (3^rd)

Sam Ryder:

Bermuda (5^th) / Cognizant (8^th, 9^th)

David Hearn:

Bermuda (8^th, 8^th) / Cognizant (6^th)

Houston Open (Memorial Park Golf Course)

I'll end with Memorial Park Golf Course, home of the Houston Open. This spacious course can play much longer than Port Royal, but with its sizeable bermudagrass-based greens, susceptibility to wind, and lack of penalty for missing the fairways, it's no surprise that these venues have developed solid form ties.

Notable correlating form:

Thomas Detry:

Bermuda (2^nd) / Houston (2^nd)

Alex Noren:

Bermuda (2^nd) / Houston (4^th)

Wyndham Clark:

Bermuda (2^nd) / Houston (5^th)

Taylor Pendrith:

Bermuda (5^th) / Houston (5^th)

Tyson Alexander:

Bermuda (8^th) / Houston (2^nd)

Kramer Hickok:

Bermuda (8^th) / Houston (4^th)

THE FIELD

The field for our penultimate ranking event of the year features just nine of the world's top 100. Michael Brennan, who recently won the Bank of Utah Championship on his first PGA Tour start as a pro, is top-ranked at No. 40.

Rafael Campos is our reigning champion, and he is joined by a further two former Bermuda Championship winners: Camilo Villegas (2023) and Seamus Power (2022).

With just two events remaining to secure their status for next season it's time to keep a close eye on those ranked around 100^th position in the FedExCup. Matt Wallace (No. 97), Beau Hossler (No. 98), and Max McGreevy (No. 100) all sit precariously just inside the top 100 and will need to perform positively to keep full playing privileges for 2026. Meanwhile, David Lipsky (No. 101) and Victor Perez (No. 104) are the nearest challengers in attendance, hoping to usurp them this week.

SELECTIONS 

Market leaders (1/4 5 places): Rico Hoey 20/1, Thorbjorn Olesen 22/1, Kevin Yu 22/1, Nico Echavarria 22/1, Patrick Rodgers 25/1

1 pt Eric Cole each-way (1/5 - 6 places) @ 45/1

After securing a second top-10 finish in three starts at last week's World Wide Technology Championship, Eric Cole is one player who doesn't have to worry about where he'll be playing next season. He can play with freedom this week, and as a strong wedge player who possesses a delicate touch on and around the greens, he has the skillset to earn a breakthrough win in Bermuda.

Cole's game was in decent shape at the beginning of the year, finishing 5^th in the Sony Open on just his second start of 2025. He picked up another 5^th-place finish in the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, but he lost his form following that due to some underwhelming approach play.

He returned to form with his irons in the Wyndham Championship five starts ago and his performances have improved as a result. A 9^th-place finish in the Sanderson Farms Championship was his first top-10 since May and following a more subdued effort in the Baycurrent Classic, he again hit the top 10 last week, finishing 10^th.

The American's recent approach displays see him rank 22^nd in this field over the last three months, but perhaps more importantly in relation to this week, he's 29^th from 100-125 yards and 44^th from 125-150. His putting has been particularly encouraging of late, ranking 3^rd over that same period and as one of the top-50 scramblers on tour, his game is tailor-made for this test.

Cole did miss the cut here on debut in 2022, though having also missed his previous three, he was in no kind of form at the time. He's since amassed a taking record on comp courses, finishing 2^nd at a windy Cognizant Classic in 2023, 3^rd in the 2023 RSM Classic, and with that 5^th-place finish in the Sony Open this year also boding well, I'm confident that he's a great fit for Port Royal.

1 pt Lee Hodges each-way (1/5 - 6 places) @ 60/1

Sitting in 118^th position in the FedExCup, and with his two-year exemption for winning the 2023 3M Open close to running out, Lee Hodges still has work to do to lock up his status for 2026. He’s been consistent without necessarily setting the world alight of late, but as a strong iron player who has been scrambling nicely in 2025, this classy player looks a real danger among this weak field.

Hodges has picked up three top-10 finishes this season - each coming over the first half at the Sony Open (9^th), Farmers Insurance Open (10^th), and Canadian Open (9^th). He is without a top-25 since the John Deere Classic in July, though he arrives here having made three of his last four cuts, showing positive signs throughout the bag without quite putting it all together at the same time.

He is gaining strokes with every club this season, but it’s the irons that stand out, ranking 13^th in greens-in-regulation, 29^th in approach, and inside the top 30 in proximity from 100-125 and 125-150 yards. He’s also a hugely encouraging 15^th in scrambling, which will come in handy if the worst of those winds arrive.

Hodges finished down in 71^st on his one and only visit to Port Royal in 2021, but that was a long time ago and he’s progressed since. He finished 5^th in last year’s RSM Classic and has a great record in the wind at PGA National, finishing 9^th in 2022 and 14^th in 2023.

In addition to a 10^th-place finish at the Sony Open and an 11^th-place finish in the Houston Open, his comp form makes for promising reading, suggesting he’s capable of contending this week.

1 pt Andrew Putnam each-way (1/5 - 6 places) @ 80/1

As a player who excels when the driver doesn’t carry a great deal of importance, Andrew Putnam looks a likely contender at Port Royal. This belief is strengthened by an excellent record at Waialae Country Club, and in need of a big performance to wrap up one of those 100 PGA Tour cards for 2026, he looks value to be in the mix in Bermuda.

Putnam was solid enough over the first half of 2025, missing just five of 16 cuts and picking up top-eight finishes in the Canadian Open (6^th) and Rocket Classic (8^th). It’s been a bit of a struggle since, missing five cuts in a row before last week’s World Wide Technology Championship. However, he stopped the rot there, finishing 40^th – an event in which he opened with an eight-under 64 to sit 3^rd after round one – and I’m hoping he can build on that effort this week.

He's scrambled superbly this season, ranking 5^th and at 25^th in putting, his all-round short-game performances stack up against anyone in this field. His chances here are enhanced by rankings of 14^th in greens-in-regulation, 36^th in approach, and as an eye-catching 25^th from 125-150 yards, this short but accurate player – who ranks 5^th in driving accuracy – should appreciate a shorter setup.

Putnam missed the cut on his most recent visit to Port Royal last year, but he did show potential at the course when 21^st on debut in 2021. As mentioned, he’s shown great form in the Sony Open, finishing 2^nd in 2019, 4^th in 2023, and 10^th in 2024 – indicating that he’s more than capable of challenging around this similar layout.

1 pt Chandler Phillips each-way (1/5 - 6 places) @ 90/1

Chandler Phillips hasn’t quite managed to build on the promise of his rookie season, and sat at 139^th in the FedExCup, he needs a strong end to the year to secure even conditional status for next season. However, I believe he’s been performing better than his bare form figures suggest of late and having won under similar conditions on the Korn Ferry Tour, he’s one to watch.

Phillips has just the three solo top-20s this season, going best when 13^th in the Rocket Classic at the end of June. He has missed six of his last nine cuts, but on four of those occasions he’s only missed by one or two, and it’s also noteworthy that when making the weekend at the Wyndham Championship and Sanderson Farms Championship, he thrived on the bermudagrass greens.

In addition, he has regained control over the driver over his last four starts – the club which has been most detrimental to his form this season. His short game has looked sound, ranking 32^nd around-the-greens and 50^th in scrambling, and though his approach play has been inconsistent, his ranking of 22^nd from 125-150 yards should mean he’s comfortable in this area at Port Royal.

As a Texan, it comes as no surprise that Phillips is adept in the wind. He put that ability to effective use last year, finishing 11^th at a blustery RSM Classic, and we can find further encouragement from his solo Korn Ferry Tour victory in 2023, which came at the short, coastal, and often breezy Sandals Emerald Bay Golf Club in The Bahamas Great Exuma Classic.

1 pt Jeremy Paul each-way (1/5 - 6 places) @ 110/1

I’m going to lean on form in The Bahamas for my next selection, Jeremy Paul. He was the 2024 winner of the Exuma Classic and having ended an underwhelming series of results with a 16^th-place finish in Mexico last week, everything could be coming together at the perfect time for the 131^st-ranked player in the FedExCup.

Paul made a taking start to his rookie season, hitting the top-25 on four occasions over his first 10 outings, culminating in a runner-up finish at the Corales Puntacana Championship.

His form hasn’t been quite as strong since, recording just one top-40 over his next eight PGA Tour appearances, but he sprung to life at El Cardonal, firing four rounds in the 60s to finish 16^th.

The German’s rankings of 41^st in scrambling and 43^rd in greens-in-regulation could prove to be a vital combination in the conditions that await this week. He’s also been largely solid with the putter of late, ranking 31^st in this field across the last three months.

Although Paul has little course or comp course form, that 2^nd-place finish in the Corales Puntacana Championship – which was the second-toughest edition in that event’s history due to high winds – certainly bodes well. When also taking that 2024 victory in The Bahamas into account, he has every chance of finding the result he needs in Bermuda.

1 pt Adam Svensson each-way (1/5 - 6 places) @ 110/1

This season has been one to forget for Adam Svensson, with a string of poor results leaving him in 163^rd place in the FedExCup standings. That said, the Canadian has shown signs of life over his previous six starts, including in Mexico last week, and arriving at a suitable course with absolutely nothing to lose, there’s a lot to like about his profile at Port Royal.

Svensson has only recorded two top-25 finishes this season, though two of those have come over his last six starts. He shot a superb 11-under 60 at TPC Twin Cities to take the first-round lead in the 3M Open, before eventually finishing 14^th six appearances ago. He was then in the mix entering last week’s final round of the World Wide Technology Championship, but he underperformed in the final round to finish 21^st.

He hit the ball strongly there, ranking 2^nd in greens-in-regulation, and despite his lack of form he has looked sharp with his wedges season-long, ranking 9^th from 100-125 yards. His play around the greens has also stood out, ranking 24^th and while the putter will have been causing him sleepless nights, he does usually produce his best work on bermudagrass greens.

Svensson has only played here once previously, finishing an encouraging 22^nd in 2021. He won the RSM Classic in 2022 for his first victory on the PGA Tour, and he’s another player who won in The Bahamas on the Korn Ferry Tour, claiming his maiden pro title in the 2018 The Bahamas Great Abaco Classic. Alongside top-10s in the Wyndham Championship, Sony Open, and Cognizant Classic, there is comp form in abundance, and he can lean on those experiences to find a season-changing result this week.

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