Betfred World Matchplay 2025 Betting Tips: Nuke in Wednesday’s boosted double

Over 10.5 total 180s in Andrew Gilding vs Dirk Van Duijvenbode @ 2/5

There wasn’t much talk around Gilding before the Matchplay got underway, there rarely isn’t in all honesty, but I feel like his form merits at least a mention. Goldfinger reached two semi finals across the last three Pro Tour events, which have included wins over Gary Anderson, Ross Smith and Damon Heta twice.

He made it three wins in the space of a few weeks over Heta on Sunday, with a brilliant 12-10 win in what turned out to be a bit of a classic. Andrew hit a fantastic ten 180s, along with hitting 50% of his doubles in what ended up being a 101.82 average.

Van Duijvenbode completed a brilliant comeback against Rob Cross in a 10-8 victory, having been 6-2 behind. As usual, Dirk peppered the treble 20 bed as he hit eight maximums in total. The problem with Dirk is you don’t know what you’re getting from one day to the next in terms of level of performance, the range in his averages are much too big and consistency is hard to come by with him.

The only thing consistent about Dirk’s game at the moment is 180s, with the Dutchman averaging 0.42 180s per leg over the past twelve months. Gilding can chip in with them too, averaging 0.22 per leg. At a combined 0.64 180s per leg, you’d need around 17 legs to get to 11+ 180s which I fully expect to happen as I see this being a tight contest.

Luke Littler to hit under 7.5 180s vs Jermaine Wattimena @ 4/5

Well, if it wasn’t already a daunting prospect facing Littler this week, it certainly is now after a scintillating performance against Ryan Searle in the opening round. The Nuke averaged 108.92 in a dominant 10-2 win, looking in better form than ever. He later revealed that he has been practicing in the run-up to this, for around two hours a day. This is bad news for the rest of the field, as Littler has never been a big practiser in the past.

Wattimena stumbled over the line against a struggling Peter Wright 10-8. He did look to be cruising when he led Snakebite 7-3, but ended up making hard work of things. He’d be forgiven for doubting his chances ahead of this game with Littler, given how their previous meetings have panned out. Littler has completely bossed Wattimena every time they’ve played, leading the head-to-head 4-0, with victories of 10-4, 16-2, 6-1 and 6-2. For whatever reason, Littler seems to love playing Jermaine, averaging 111, 110, 105 and 104 in their previous matches. Wattimena may be nicknamed ‘The Machine Gun’, but it’s The Nuke that has all the ammo on the oche each and every time they meet.

Due to the lack of legs I feel there will be in this match, unders in most markets looks more appealing than overs. The best value in the unders is the Littler 180s for me, 4/5 for the teenager to hit under 7.5 180s looks likely, considering he usually needs around 17-18 legs to manage 8+ 180s, going off the stat that he hits 0.46 180s per leg on average over the past year.