US PGA Championship In-Play Betting Tips: Two picks for Saturday’s action

Quail Hollow continued to catch the top players off guard in the round two, which has left us with an open-looking contest as we enter the weekend of the 107^th PGA Championship in North Carolina. The third day promises to be a belter with Jhonattan Vegas currently leading the way as we head into the weekend. 

This is where things get serious, so our expert golf tipster Jamie Worsley has assessed the current state of play and given us his picks for Saturday's action. Check out his US PGA Championship in-play betting tips below...

US PGA Championship Odds

Leaderboard after round two:

1^st – Jhonattan Vegas (-8)

T2 – Matthieu Pavon (-6)

T2 – Matt Fitzpatrick (-6)

T2 – Si Woo Kim (-6)

T5 – Max Homa (-5)

T5 – Scottie Scheffler (-5)

As he did after round one, Jhonattan Vegas who sits atop the leaderboard at the halfway point, after another largely positive performance in round two. However, nerves may have already started to fray, as he made double on his final hole—cutting his then four-shot lead to two—and despite being a four-time winner on the PGA Tour, this is a completely new position for the 40-year-old Venezuelan; it will be interesting to see how he handles it over the weekend.

That international flavour continues at the top of the leaderboard, with France’s Matthieu Pavon, England’s Matt Fitzpatrick and Korea’s Si Woo Kim all tied for 2^nd on -6. Kim produced one of the moments of the tournament so far, as he made a superb hole-in-one on the mammoth 252yd 6^th hole.

Previous Quail Hollow winner, Max Homa continued his recent progress by shooting the co-round of the day to move into T5, and over 36 holes where many of the biggest names have simply failed to show up, world #1 Scottie Scheffler looms ominously just three back of the lead.

Although Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele just managed to make the weekend on the number, we had a glut of high-profile casualties. This includes the fancied Justin Thomas and Ludvig Aberg; additional major champions such as Jordan Spieth, Brooks Koepka and Hideki Matsuyama; whilst former world #1 and two-time major winner himself, Dustin Johnson finished on +12, beating just 10 of the 20 PGA Professionals who teed it up this week.

This isn’t the leaderboard anyone expected to see after 36 holes and while the first couple of rounds have been somewhat underwhelming, there is plenty of intrigue as we enter the weekend. The course continues to dry out, which will only enhance its difficulty and with some strong, gusting winds (30mph+) forecast for moving day, I suspect we’ll see a much-changed leaderboard at the end of Saturday.

Selections

3 pts Daniel Berger & Tom McKibbin to win their 2-balls (double) @ 2.45/1

2 pts Daniel Berger, Tom McKibbin & Tyrrell Hatton to win their 2-balls (treble) @ 6.25/1

Daniel Berger to beat Cameron Young

Daniel Berger’s ball striking has been far superior to Cameron Young’s over the opening two rounds, with the putter ultimately letting him down. However, this is a club with which he’d looked much more solid this season, and if he can find even modest improvements he could be too strong for his playing partner today.

Both players are tied on level par, with Berger shooting two 71s, and Young following his two-over 73 on Thursday with a two-under 69 yesterday. These contrasting scores are also reflected in their stats.

Although Young has been able to rely on his power to gain strokes with the driver, ranking 8^th off-the-tee and 12^th in driving distance, he ranks down in 126^th in driving accuracy. This has hindered his approach play, ranking 112^th and with the course firming up, iron play is bound to get more challenging into these greens, especially if you’re continually playing from the rough.

Meanwhile, Berger has been all about his long game, ranking 2^nd in ball striking, 2^nd in greens-in-regulation and 3^rd in approach. Furthermore, he’s been much more accurate off the tee and matched Young’s scrambling.

Berger is much the better player in 2025, recording nine top-25 finishes to Young’s four, and if able to make those gains with the putter, I expect him to win this 2-ball.

Tom McKibbin to beat Matt Wallace

Tom McKibbin and Matt Wallace are locked together on -1 at the halfway point and are closely matched in several areas this week. That being said, Wallace did regress with the driver on Friday and failing to really fire with his irons over either of the first two rounds, I’m hoping the more reliable ball-striking talents of Tom McKibbin can win him this matchup.

McKibbin opened with a one-under-par round on Thursday, before shooting level yesterday and Matt Wallace vice versa.

The Englishman drove it excellently in round one, combining power with accuracy to rank 9^th, but struggled with his irons, ranking 124^th in approach and 92^nd in GIR. He went backwards with the driver yesterday, ranking 61^st and with only moderate improvements in approach, it was left to some sparkling short-game play to post that slightly better score.

McKibbin has been fairly consistent with his driver and short game over the first two days, ranking 47^th OTT, 16^th in scrambling and 39^th in putting. Although he wasn’t able to repeat his strong iron performance from day one—when he ranked 7^th in GIR and 30^th in approach—he still found plenty of greens on Friday and he’s looking sharp throughout the bag.

Performances have been solid for McKibbin since he moved to LIV, recording two top-10s and he also finished 3^rd in Singapore back on the DP World Tour four starts ago. This is better than anything Wallace has managed in an uneventful season so far, and with the younger man ranking as the sixth-best driver in this field in 2025—compared to Wallace being 108^th—he looks the better-equipped of this duo to make up some ground today.

Tyrrell Hatton to beat Joaquin Niemann

The all-LIV pairing of Tyrrell Hatton and Joaquin Niemann rounds off today’s selections. With Hatton playing largely the better golf of this twosome on the whole this week, he looks of value at odds-against.

Hatton produced a fine tee-to-green performance (ranking 2^nd) to open with a three-under 68 on Thursday and finish day one in 9^th place. He then looked set to play a starring role in round two, going two-under thru 8 holes to move into the top three, but a disastrous triple-bogey seven on 18 saw him drop down the leaderboard and he wasn’t able to get it back on the back nine.

Niemann drove the ball dreadfully in round one—ranking 154^th of 156 players—which ultimately caused him to succumb to a three-over-par round. He bounced back to shoot four-under yesterday due to some strong putting and approach play, but he again found fairways very hard to find and similarly to Young, I feel this may well hinder him as the course gets firmer.

If we ignore that 18^th hole for Hatton yesterday, he’d rank inside the top-20 in this field OTT and 2^nd around-the-greens. He looks in better control of his game overall and I think we’ll see a response from him on moving day.

You can find all Jamie's latest Golf Betting Tips over on our dedicated golf Insights hub.