Darts Betting Tips: Can we make it back-to-back winning boosts?

The PDC World Darts Championship marches on at Ally Pally and on Friday we have another boosted double from our resident darts expert Sean Rafferty that is definitely of interest. His double landed yesterday so can he make it back-to-back?

Cameron Carolissen over 1.5 180s @ 8/11

There’s a lot of hype surrounding Wessel Nijman coming into this year’s Worlds, he’s the player outside of the worlds top 32 that’s being tipped to go all the way this year. Pre-tournament, he was around sixth/seventh favourite which is pretty crazy to think for someone who only got on tour the start of this year.

Some of it is definitely justified, but a big red flag for me is still what he’s achieved to date in televised events, or rather the lack of what he’s achieved - the last 48 of the UK Open is the best he’s managed to date. A disappointing first round exit at the hands of Steve Beaton here last year has been followed up by a second round exit at World Series Finals and a first round exit at the Players Championship Finals last month, where he lost 6-1 to Kim Huybrechts. He qualified for the Grand Slam, he played some amazing stuff at that but still somehow managed to lose all three group stage matches. He still hasn’t looked too settled on the big stages and that’s my main concern around him.

Away from the TV cameras, Wessel has been playing like a dream. 16th on the rankings list for the year tells you how well he’s been performing, considering he still plays on the Development Tour too. He absolutely dominated the Development Tour, picking up a total of seven titles. After looking a threat all year, he finally picked up his maiden Pro Tour title in October.

Carolissen is being slightly underestimated by some here in my opinion, I think some are forgetting he’s been on this stage before and didn’t disgrace himself whatsoever - taking a set off Danny Noppert and actually averaged more in that match than the Dutchman did. His average for the year is 80.10 which isn’t the best but this can be somewhat dragged down playing against lower-level players. In his most recent event, he recorded averages of 98 and 93 in 7-0 and 7-2 victories against far lesser players than Nijman.

There’s a bit of value all around the South African between him being underrated and the question marks over Wessel on the TV. I’ve opted to take Carolissen to hit over 1.5 180s at 8/11 - in the last 95 legs he’s played, he’s managed to hit 24 maximums, essentially averaging 0.25 180s per leg which only requires eight legs to hit two. 0.21 180s per leg are his stats for the whole year which is still fine. Should only need ten legs to see him hit the required 2+ 180s here and I reckon we’ll see at least twelve legs.

Over 4.5 180s in Mansell vs Goto @ 1/4

This could be a long match I reckon. Some will fancy Mansell to coast through without much trouble I reckon after a great showing at the Grand Slam last month, where he went all the way to the semis. But I don’t think there’s too great a gap in their level of play - Tomoya has a 86.19 average for the year, more impressive considering he’s only playing on the Asian Tour with a lower standard of players. He really impressed at the Ally Pally last year - beating Ian White 3-1 with a 91 average, before competing well in a 3-1 defeat to Ryan Searle.

Mickey Mansell as I say really catapulted his reputation with that run to the semis of the Grand Slam. Before that he’d never really done anything of note in a televised tournament, despite being on tour for a long time. His World Championship record is pretty atrocious to be brutally honest - in eight appearances, The Cyclone has never gone beyond the last 64. He has managed to get through his opening round match the past couple years so can maybe take some inspiration from that.

One thing the pair of them can do is hit maximums - in his two matches last year, Goto hit a total of eleven 180s in eight sets and is averaging 0.23 180s per leg for the year. Mickey hit 27 maximums in his Grand Slam campaign and is averaging 0.19 180s per leg this year. 0.42 180s per leg between them means we should only need around 10/11 legs to have over 4.5, I honestly think this match will have around 15-20 legs in it, should land very easily. Could have gambled on over 6.5 but over 4.5 at 1/4 takes the double to a nice enough price.

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