US Open In-Play Betting Tips: Jamie’s 2-Ball Double for Day 4

It is the final day of the 2024 US Open at Pinehurst and Bryson DeChambeau is three shots clear heading into the final 18 holes. Betfred have boosted him to 1/1 to win the tournament.

Elsewhere for those looking for some in-play action this Sunday, our golf tipster Jamie Worsley has put together a 2-ball double coming in at just under 3/1 as he reviews Day 3 and previews Day 4 as part of his US Open Golf Tips for us at Betfred Insights...

Nicolai Hojgaard & Sam Bennett to win their 2-balls – Double @ 2.91/1 – 3 pts

Another tough but thrilling day of golf at Pinehurst claimed several casualties in the third round of the US Open, as Bryson DeChambeau hit the top and separated himself from the field. However, with big numbers just around the corner on almost every hole on this course, he’s still going to need to be at his best today to win what has been a sensational US Open thus far.

Leaderboard after round three:

1^st – Bryson DeChambeau (-7)

T2 – Matthieu Pavon (-4)

T2 – Rory McIlroy (-4)

T2 – Patrick Cantlay (-4)

T5 – Hideki Matsuyama (-2)

T5 – Ludvig Aberg (-2)

T7 – Tyrrell Hatton (-1)

T7 – Tony Finau (-1)

*You can check out the latest US Open Golf Odds over at betfred.com

After featuring heavily and entertaining crowds in our first two majors of the year, Bryson has become a big fan favourite and gave his followers plenty to cheer about on Saturday. He made a slow start with a bogey on 4 but reacted immediately by birdying the par 5 5^th and followed up with a further four birdies over his next nine holes to hit 8-under-par.

Disaster struck with a double on 16, but he bounced back straight away with a superb birdie on the par 3 17^th and after getting away with a wayward drive on the final hole, he made a comfortable par to take a three-shot lead into today’s final round.

He’ll be chased by a trio of players from three back. Matthieu Pavon continues to impress with his steep rise in the game over the last 12 months and is rewarded with a final group pairing alongside Bryson today.

Rory McIlroy leaked a couple of shots late on due to some loose approach play, that would’ve otherwise had him just a shot behind Bryson and set up a mouthwatering pairing between the two. However, he’s still right in it and his partnering in the second-last group alongside Patrick Cantlay is interesting in itself, after the Northern Irishman’s infamous spat with Cantlay’s caddy, Joe LaCava, at last year’s Ryder Cup.

There are only four other players under par, with Ludvig Aberg and Hideki Matsuyama on -2, five back and Tyrrell Hatton and Tony Finau on -1, six back. Aberg and Finau suffered similar fates on the par 4 13^th hole, making triple bogeys when right in contention, which shows just how quickly things can unravel around this testing setup.

Collin Morikawa fired the round of the day to move himself inside the top-10 on level par alongside Tom Kim and Corey Conners. Morikawa may have felt he’d be a little closer than seven shots behind when he’d finished his round. Having said that, it may well be close enough to mount a challenge should DeChambeau endure a tough final day.

SELECTIONS

The weather is very much as it has been all week, dry warm and sunny, with a little bit of breeze swirling around. Which means we’ll get another day of firm and fast conditions at Pinehurst.

Bryson is doing everything well but did get away with a few loose drives yesterday and may not be as lucky today should he repeat. It is obviously dependant on what he does but on a course like this, it doesn’t take much to get away from you and I would still give anyone at level par or better some chance of winning today.

That obviously includes pre-event pick, Hideki Matsuyama from five back and with that in mind, I don’t see any reason to dip back into the outright betting market. Instead, we’ll focus on the match-ups again and after the success of yesterday’s treble I’m hoping to close the event out by landing another multi-bet today.

Nicolai Hojgaard to beat Emiliano Grillo

I went against Emiliano Grillo with the big-hitting Min Woo Lee yesterday which just about paid off, and I’m going to take him on with another lengthy youngster today in Nicolai Hojgaard.

Both players currently sit in T32 on +5. Hojgaard has got there with some strong ball-striking, ranking top-20 in the field and has been especially good with his irons, ranking 11^th in approach and 12^th in greens-in-regulation, indeed he hit the third-most greens of anyone in the field yesterday. In addition, whilst not at the strength of his ball-striking, there have been few real short-game disasters for the Dane.

There has been a steady decline in the performances of Grillo since his level par opening round, where he was one of the straightest drivers in the field and looked solid on and around the greens. He hasn’t found as many fairways the last two days, which has seen his driving figures drop and though putting well for most of the week, he appeared to struggle on the greens on the back nine yesterday, reminiscent of his form with the putter coming into this week’s event.

The Argentinian’s approach numbers aren’t to the level they’d need to be to do any real damage here, and with Nicolai’s length a real advantage in giving himself shorter irons into these firm greens, I expect him to have the beating of his playing partner today.

Sam Bennett to beat Justin Lower

Former amateur star, Sam Bennett has been playing steady golf throughout his bag this week and was actually knocking around the top-10 entering the back nine yesterday. He suffered a torrid time there, shooting 8-over for his final eight holes, where his usually solid short game deserted him, but he can bounce back against his playing partner, Justin Lower today.

Where Bennett had been sat near the top of the leaderboard throughout the week before those closing holes yesterday, Lower has been just about hanging on, making the cut on the number and shot his worst round of the week on Saturday.

Bennett has been far superior in most areas this week, driving it solidly (accurately), hitting a good amount of greens and putting reasonably well. In comparison, Lower ranks 69^th in ball-striking and 71^st in greens-in-regulation of the 74 players to make the cut, and has also struggled on the greens, ranking outside the top-50. With his around-the-greens play his only asset.

Take away those closing eight holes yesterday and Bennett has been comfortably the better golfer this week and I expect him to show that superiority in this match-up today.

You can find all Jamie's latest Golf Betting Tips over on our dedicated golf Insights hub.