Albania vs Spain Bet Builder Tips: Manaj out to unsettle Spaniards in Dusseldorf

It all comes down to the Merkur Spiel-Arena in Dusseldorf on Monday night (20:00, BBC Two) for Albania, as the Balkan country must beat Spain to stand a chance of qualifying for the last 16 of Euro 2024.

Read below for my Albania vs Spain bet builder tips as I ponder whether the Red and Blacks can cause an almighty upset against the Group B winners.

Euro 2024 Odds

Albania vs Spain Odds

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Over 23.5 shots

The above selection has landed in both Albania and Spain's first two group games. There were 25 in Albania's 2-1 defeat to Italy before a mammoth 37 were registered in their 2-2 draw with Croatia.

Meanwhile, there were 27 shots in Spain's 3-0 victory over Croatia and 24 in their 1-0 win against Italy.

Spain have registered 31 shots across their first two matches, and I expect them to have plenty more on Monday, even with a 'weakened' side named as they are already through as group winners.

The likes of Joselu, Ferran Torres and Ayoze Perez will all be keen to impress to further their chances of being picked during the latter stages of the competition, and with the amount of possession they will have, I would be surprised if they don't pepper the Albania goal.

The Red and Blacks will be looking to spring a surprise, however, as they need a victory to stand a chance of reaching the knockout stage.

They ruffled the feathers of both Italy and Croatia, scoring three times across their first two contests, and even if finding the back of the net for a third straight game may be beyond them, they will surely leave everything on the pitch, and that means shooting whenever the opportunity presents itself.

Albania over 1.5 offsides

Spain are expected to dominate the game, but with their high line, Albania will be plotting a way past them.

Albania were flagged offside once against Italy and four times against Croatia, and they need to take risks in order to cause an upset.

The two countries last met in March 2022, with Spain triumphing 2-1 and catching Albania offside on three occasions.

Rey Manaj 2+ fouls

Armando Broja was given the nod ahead of Rey Manaj in Albania's opening game against Italy before being dropped for his teammate against Croatia.

Manaj was lively in that 2-2 draw, firing off two shots and making a nuisance of himself. He was whistled three times for a foul, adding to the single foul given against him during a substitute outing against Italy, and if he starts again on Tuesday, he will be expected to unsettle the Spanish defence.

Italy number nine Gianluca Scamacca conceded two fouls in their defeat to Spain last week, while Croatia's starting striker Ante Budimir was whistled once in their opening match.

Albania most booking points

Spain were awarded the most booking points in their first two group games, but now they have qualified as winners, the stakes aren't as high for them on Tuesday.

Albania, meanwhile, picked up 20 booking points against Italy after being awarded two yellow cards (10 points per yellow with Betfred), and they were in the thick of the action again versus Croatia as 30 booking points were dished out to them, with their opponents keeping their slate clean.

There's little need for Spain to commit silly fouls and pick up bookings while they are already secured of their spot at the top of Group B, while Albania need to be aggressive to unsettle Spain in their quest for an unlikely victory.

This selection also landed in the previous head-to-head between the sides.

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You can read all our latest Euro 2024 Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub.